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formerlybis

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Everything posted by formerlybis

  1. If people are trying to be clever to include the postseason in calculating a magic number, it's confusing, likely wrong, and not even useful. Magic numbers are for figuring out the needed combined wins and losses vs. an opponent when you're not playing head-to-head (which you obviously are in the postseason) to secure a playoff spot or particular seed. A best of 5 series simply needs 3 wins, not a magic number of 3 (you technically would need a magic number of 6, i.e. 3 wins for you and 3 losses for them - but literally no one in the history of mankind would ever think of it that way). The Detroit Red Wings fans use octopi because you used to need 8 wins in the playoffs to win the Stanley Cup (I think you might need 2 octopi now). We want 11 wins after Sunday... not a magic number of 22.
  2. Stuffing has been ripped from the Cubs
  3. Not to pile on here, but the only reason the Brewers haven’t clinched is *because* of the tiebreaker. Take another look. MIL 95-60 CHI 88-67 7 games left for both teams
  4. Can’t dodge us - Brewers are a wrench in their plans! PS - this means we’ve clinched at least the 4-seed and home field to begin the postseason.
  5. Our next win guarantees a home series in the playoffs (i,e, at least the 4-seed). We should clinch at least the division, but ... We're throwing starter #4 and two spot starters in this series, followed by a trip out west to a likely playoff team in SD, followed by a Reds team that very well might still be in the race by next Friday. We'll likely only have 3 starts of those 9 from our big 3. It isn't hard to imagine things getting a little too interesting. It'd be good to get some help from the D-backs and Reds this weekend Speaking of the SD series, the Dads do still have a shot at the division, but they're 3 back and the Dodgers have the tiebreak, That won't be decided before our series, but they have a decent shot at sewing up at least a wild card this weekend (3 against CWS).
  6. With the Padres losing to the Mets this afternoon, we've eliminated them (and please pardon the implied profanity):
  7. I'm interested in who on the current roster will be replaced with some of our injured guys coming back. The bottom of the bullpen is probably Payamps, who I suspect will be the sacrifice for Gasser. After that, you've got Hall and Megill (maybe). Fedde is probably next in line to get the boot, but he's been relatively effective, and I'm not sure Hall is a sure upgrade. Hall and Gasser are both lefties, though, so maybe Zas?
  8. Besides the 6 for the Cubs, we’re at 7 for the Phillies, 2 for the Dodgers, and 1 for the Padres.
  9. Weellll... His complaining got us Andrew Vaughn. Where would we be without him? When Bauers and Hoskins both got injured, we'd have been playing Tyler Black for a while and probably going after someone akin to O'Hearn at the trade deadline. I get hating on a guy who's now doing the job that he balked at when we asked him to do it, though. Totally fair.
  10. No moustache, but this was an early, but long-time #7 Brewer of note
  11. I just took a look at the Angels offense stats. They've got some HR hitters - #5 in MLB in HRs and some guy named Adell leads the team with 36 of'em. TBH, I've never heard of him. But, their OPS is below average, and they're down at #23 in runs scored. So, it must be HR or nothing from these guys. The bottom of the order is not great. Keep'em in the park, fellas.
  12. It’s a worthy discussion. I do want Monasterio’s bat in the lineup more, but the gut tells me they won’t replace Ortiz when it matters. And he had a good couple of months at the plate before going on the IL, too. Just reverting a bit of late.
  13. SF can’t find us anymore.
  14. I think you’re right - I think we’ve clinched a postseason berth. I believe both Cincy and NY can no longer catch us
  15. Both the D-backs and Cards have been eliminated,
  16. Philly's magic number on SD is 15 (they were 3-3 H2H, and I don't know tiebreakers). It's 16 on the Dodgers, and there's 3 more H2Hs in LA next week. SD has a magic number of 25 to overtake Philly. With 19 games left, that means they have to go something like 13-6 while Philly goes 7-12. It's possible, but more than likely Philly will be the 2-seed.
  17. Robideaux was someone I remember being really excited to see come up from the minors, but he didn’t get promoted for multiple years. And yeah, he was disappointing given the hype (but could be misremembering wildly).
  18. The Phils have 4 against the Mets starting tomorrow and then go out west against the Dodgers for 3 next week. Plus non-cupcakes in KC and AZ. That, and Turner got hurt today. I'm feeling pretty good
  19. I have good news for you, then - you should be almost as confident. The current magic number for the 1-seed is 13 against the Phillies, only one more than the 12 for the Cubs.
  20. For those who follow such things, how close are we to the club's preferred innings limit for Miz for the season? Might be overanalyzing the situation, but hat allowance of letting him get to nearly 110 pitches seems to me like maybe that's it for the season. But, maybe it's just letting him roll - I don't know.
  21. If we had known Hall, Henderson, Mears, Anderson, and Megill (and then Miller) were all going to go on the IL after the trade deadline - holy crap, typing that out really hits home how bad it’s been - surely they would have tried harder to get a couple arms. But there really weren’t a boatload of pitchers that were available at reasonable prices that were obvious upgrades over the current roster at the time. Hindsight, blahblahblah And you could make the argument about overusing the bullpen made it more likely we’d get some breaking down, but basically every bullpen arm for every team is taxed at this time of year.
  22. Down to 5 to clinch a postseason berth. I don’t want to jinx anything, but by this time next week, several more teams will likely be eliminated from catching the Brewers - Cards, Reds, D-backs, & Gigantes. Possibly the Metropolitans, too,
  23. Buy it or not, with Yelich not being able to play, they’re down to Collins, Perkins, Frelick, and Chourio as OFs. Bauers can play OF, and is a LH bat. Hoskins and Vaughn are redundant - RH, 1Bs only. How would you platoon those two? If you DH one of them, that puts Yelich in the field (when healthy), and takes out Collins, Chourio, or Frelick.
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