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Brewcrew82

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Everything posted by Brewcrew82

  1. Brewcrew82
    Who says? Actual prospect industry scouts, experts, and evaluators...You know, people who do this for a living. As @sveumrules pointed out, Chourio and Tatis Jr. are/were top 5 multitool teenage prospects, while Singleton was a hit-only prospect who peaked at #25. Even then, Chourio's age 18 season with the bat was significantly better than Singleton's age 18 season with the bat. Also, the DSL, while technically "rookie ball", is in practice a level beneath the Brewers' Arizona rookie affiliates. Henry Mendez, for instance, was in the same international FA class as Chourio, but still did the DSL AND ACL, while Chourio skipped the ACL entirely and then progressed all the way to AA. But, yes, 25 years and Prince Fielder are more relevant for thinking about how the Brewers will handle Chourio's progression...
  2. Brewcrew82
    And Chourio is already at 2 (BA) following his age 18 season...
  3. Brewcrew82
    No. Tatis Jr. and Singleton are not, and never will be, remotely comparable prospects. Tatis Jr. and Chourio are comparable. But Singleton has no relevance to them. When you look at Chourio's actual comparables (Soto, Acuna, Tatis, Vlad Jr., Rodriguez) you can see that it's more than a "blind guess". Not a certainty, but not a blind guess... Also, you do realize that, in this past season alone, Chourio skipped rookie ball entirely, and then moved up three whole levels??? Not sure why 25 years or Prince Fielder is relevant here when we have definitive, recent evidence that the Brewers are willing to push Chourio up the ladder...
  4. Brewcrew82
    First of all, you can take his winter league stats with less than a grain of salt considering the extremely small sample size and the fact that he's more than a decade younger than the average player.... Second, he's not as far away as you think. The median expectation from industry experts is that he'll arrive in the majors sometime next season, while there are a non-trivial number of evaluators who think he could make his debut later in this coming season. I also contest that it's no more than a "blind guess" that he'll pan out for the Brewers. What he's accomplished at his age is something that only a handful of prospects have done in recent years (Soto, Acuna, Tatis Jr., Vlad Jr., Rodriguez, etc.), and all of them ended up becoming superstars. Chourio could ultimately prove to be the exception given the inherently fickle nature of prospects, but it's certainly more than a "blind guess" given the company he's established himself to be in...
  5. Brewcrew82
    Honestly, if we're talking about surplus value, Chourio is probably up there with Corbin Burnes as our most valuable franchise asset. Indeed, this is backed up by BTV, which has Chourio just three points shy of Burnes. I get that he's a prospect. but he's among the elites of elites in terms of prospects (Acuna, Rodriguez, Soto, etc.) for what he's already accomplished at his age.
  6. Brewcrew82
    I feel pretty confident in saying that Mitchell will never be playing 1B for the Brewers…
  7. Brewcrew82
    We'll see. I just don't think that one rough, injury plagued season is indicative that he'll be a problem in the clubhouse.
  8. Brewcrew82
    Zero complaints from his time as a Red. By all accounts he was a great teammate there….Last year was a tough season for him. The toughest of his MLB career. I’m sure a lot of it was borne out of frustration.
  9. Brewcrew82
    According to BTV, it's only one Mitchell...BTV isn't the Bible but I think it's pretty accurate that Mitchell and Cabrera are similar value-wise.
  10. Brewcrew82
    Exactly. ATM, it's pretty close to an even swap. And one that fulfills the needs of both parties.
  11. Brewcrew82
    Exactly. ATM, it's pretty close to an even swap. And one that fulfills the needs of both parties.
  12. Brewcrew82
    FWIW, BTV has Cabrera and Mitchell at even value...
  13. Brewcrew82
    FWIW, BTV has Cabrera and Mitchell at even value...
  14. Brewcrew82
    We also need to prepare for life after Corbin and Woody, if it eventually comes to that. Marlins have some high-ceiling young pitchers. Obviously, you’re not getting Alcantara, but guys like Cabrera, Rogers, etc. would help this team now and for the future.
  15. Brewcrew82
    We also need to prepare for life after Corbin and Woody, if it eventually comes to that. Marlins have some high-ceiling young pitchers. Obviously, you’re not getting Alcantara, but guys like Cabrera, Rogers, etc. would help this team now and for the future.
  16. Brewcrew82
    I've said this before, but I'll take Edward Cabrera for Mitchell any day of the week.
  17. Brewcrew82
    I've said this before, but I'll take Edward Cabrera for Mitchell any day of the week.
  18. Brewcrew82
    Sure, but Topa has had a ton of arm issues and has done virtually zilch at the MLB level.
  19. Brewcrew82
    Yeah. I forgot about Junk. You would have to say he’s a better prospect at this point as he’s simply more advanced. I think Hernandez could have a higher ceiling but a lot of things would have to go right.
  20. Brewcrew82
    Crazy how we got a better prospect for Topa than we did for Renfroe.
  21. Brewcrew82
    If you can produce that argument not using RF, then okay…But by DRS, OAA, fDEF, etc he’s been below average…
  22. Brewcrew82
    RF is not the greatest measure of defensive abilities, to say the least…
  23. Brewcrew82
    FWIW, Contreras just changed his profile picture on Instagram to him in Brewers gear. So if there was any worry about him pulling a Sheffield…
  24. Brewcrew82
    I would argue they have been working to build more rotation depth with the additions of Junk and now Wilson to go with Robert Gasser. Now, will those guys ultimately provide better production in the long run than Alexander, Chi Chi, and Small? It's certainly an open question, but I lean towards yes atm.
  25. Brewcrew82
    I disagree. A league worst K%, an insanely high BABIP and HR-FB ratio, allow you to draw meaningful conclusions about a player's likely future production. Brewers obviously used that information in deciding to limit Hiura's playing time. I didn't agree with them playing Hiura so frequently against LHP, but Hiura is really hurt by the fact that he's an awful defender.
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