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Lucas O.

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Everything posted by Lucas O.

  1. Lucas O.
    Looks like Henderson is probably going to start on Sunday. Brewers can probably use him for an inning or two tonight as well.
  2. Lucas O.
    Feel like this must be a precursor to O'Rae getting activated because this puts Biloxi down to 12 position players, 3 of which are catchers with Torres not playing a single inning so far this year.
  3. Lucas O.
    Very bummed we didn't get an EV and distance on that one because he hit that over the high wall in RF not the short wall down the line. That was a tank.
  4. Lucas O.
    He looked really good. Delmarva looked comfortable against all the Mudcat pitchers today outside of Johnson and Johnson frankly dominated them. He had them swinging and missing. Taking strikes. Just mowed them down with relative ease.
  5. Lucas O.
    The Carolina League average slash line coming into today was .234/.354/.337 for a .690 OPS with a 13.6% BB-rate and 24.8% K-rate. In the lower minors in general you aren't going to see a ton of power just because many players are still physically developing. You can expect decent OBP because pitchers are much more wild and walk prone. Coming into today you have a lot of hitters performing well over the league average. wRC+ league adjusts minor league hitting and here are some early performers for Carolina. Stats before today's game. Pena - 43 PA, 142 wRC+ Adamczewski - 42 PA, 209 wRC+ Bitonti - 41 PA, 130 wRC+ Payne - 41 PA, 149 wRC+ Nadal - 39 PA, 111 wRC+ Di Turi - 38 PA, 137 wRC+ Made - 25 PA, 125 wRC+ Dinges - 20 PA, 234 wRC+
  6. Lucas O.
    Brewers defense has fallen off very hard so far this year.
  7. Lucas O.
    Well I don't know about crushed haha. EBJ's HR only had an 88 EV. The wind must have been blowing out pretty hard to LF yesterday considering Pratt's 103 EV HR went 409ft and EBJ's 88 EV ball went over the fence.
  8. Lucas O.
    Honestly the tilt doesn’t even bother me. Biloxi’s present CF camera angle is better than most minor league CF camera angles because it’s actually very in line with the mound. Bigger issue for me is the CF camera isn’t synced with the behind home plate camera. The behind home plate camera is a bit ahead of the CF one, so when a player hits the ball you’re transported like a second into the future when the camera angle switches.
  9. Lucas O.
    I thought he looked a bit off running out the double. Thought nothing of it until he didn't hit in his next AB
  10. Lucas O.
    The only player who is going to have any trade value of that group of trade/release players is Freddy and he's our best SP who is pretty irreplaceable at the moment.
  11. Lucas O.
    I feel like he wasn't hit that hard even though the xwOBACON numbers are ugly. Outside of the two barrels against the damage against was pretty much entirely on bloops. By 2024 MLB wOBA these were the batted balls against him 107 EV, 31 LA flyout (1.970) 73 EV, 23 LA single (.918) 73 EV, 24 LA single (.900) 76 EV, 16 LA single (.861) 100 EV, 25 LA flyout (.685) 96 EV, 18 LA lineout (.552) 97 EV, -3 LA (.280) 74 EV, 47 LA (.269) 74 EV, 11 LA (.106) 76 EV, 36 LA (.000) So by wOBA that looks like he got hit hard but 3 of the 4 biggest wOBA contacts against him were 70 EV bloops
  12. Lucas O.
    Tyrone!
  13. Lucas O.
    Sure but like I said before Shane Smith wasn't going to be starting MLB games without the tweaks that the White Sox made with him. His best pitch is a pitch he never threw with the Brewers, so while we could have kept Shane Smith the one we would have kept isn't the one who has had a successful start to his MLB career.
  14. Lucas O.
    Rodriguez can provide length and in a bullpen setting his stuff will be better.
  15. Lucas O.
    Was a fantastic article. Really informative.
  16. Lucas O.
    Seigler has had a really nice start to the season. Maybe there's a MLB utility bench piece in there. He switch hits, can catch, has good speed. It's somewhat intriguing. Maybe we have potentially struck gold again signing a FA out of the Yankees minor league system. Through 32 PA here are his underlying numbers. .292 xBA .513 xOBP .470 xSLG 26.4% whiff rate 96.0 Avg EV 11 Avg LA 66.7% hard hit rate 6.7% barrel rate 40% sweet spot rate 18.9% chase rate 83.8% zone contact rate
  17. Lucas O.
    Not just this season related but Chourio’s last 81 games playoffs included is just freaky.
  18. Lucas O.
    We had the Age 20 Chourio thread. Time for the Age 21 thread where we can share all the incredible things he’s doing.
  19. Lucas O.
    If the starter doesn't go 5 innings they just pick a reliever they feel like deserves the win. Personally I think it's dumb. The winning pitcher if it's a reliever should be the guy who finished the 5th inning. Just makes sense to have it that way.
  20. Lucas O.
    Feel like it's less saving us money and more allowing us 4 more years of Chourio as a Brewer because the way these mid-20 FA are starting to get paid, not sure the Brewers would have been able to extend Chourio.
  21. Lucas O.
    Man you got to see an awesome game!
  22. Lucas O.
    Awesome park. California really has two of the best ballparks in the the league and then those stadiums in LA
  23. Lucas O.
    Yeah this is the part that annoys me. The version of Shane Smith that we didn't protect would not be starting and doing this well in the MLB. With the White Sox Smith both improved his velo and added a disgusting kick change that he never threw in Milwaukee. Without that changeup he's really more of a 2 pitch guy and his FB has gotten hit hard through 2 games with an Avg EV against of 95.5 and a .320 xBA and .477 xSLG.
  24. Lucas O.
    They didn't need to DFA Tyler Jay. They had open 40 man spots on 11/19. They had the spots to protect Smith without DFA'ing anyone at the time and just didn't do it.
  25. Lucas O.
    I do think there's some valid reasoning with this. I mean Brewers have continued to mostly have really good pitching success but how much of that is because of our elite defense and how much of it is because our pitching is good? Here is the Brewers SP FIP- by year since 2021. 2021 - 77 FIP- 2022 - 95 FIP- 2023 - 98 FIP- 2024 - 110 FIP- Even if you want to factor in something like contact quality saying they are just giving up soft contact now. Here's the xwOBA against the last 4 seasons from our SP. 2021 - .283 xwOBA (38 points better than league average SP) 2022 - .300 xwOBA (14 points better than league average SP) 2023 - .308 xwOBA (18 points better than league average SP) 2024 - .324 xwOBA (8 points worse than league average SP) I do think they partly feel like their defense can afford them to go after these project pitchers and get by with weak contact and average to below average stuff pitchers. Is this sustainable though?
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