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Lucas O.

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Everything posted by Lucas O.

  1. Lucas O.
    Literally zero chance. Orioles are not trading Henderson or Holliday. Would you a Brewers fan trade Chourio for 1 year of Burnes and 2 years of Williams? Would you trade 5 years of William Contreras for 1 year of Burnes and 2 years of Williams? Henderson just put up a nearly 5 fWAR and 6 bWAR season and has 5 years of team control. Holliday is near unanimously the #1 prospect in baseball.
  2. Lucas O.
    Orioles laugh you off the phone if you mention Henderson or Rodriguez name in a potential Burnes trade. Let alone one of them plus one or two more prospects.
  3. Lucas O.
    Interesting. That's a pretty narrow window you are claiming you made that comment in. Alvarez was a Dodger for less than 2 months between June and August 2016.
  4. Lucas O.
    bWAR values Turang the most because DRS is outlier positive on Turang. It's the one defensive metric that loves him and I believe that baseball reference uses DRS to factor in dWAR. If you go by fWAR/600 PA and fWAR/60 IP for Uribe, I think it better illustrates how valuable each of them were. 1. Perkins - 4.3 fWAR/600 PA 2. Frelick - 3.8 fWAR/600 PA 3. Wiemer - 1.6 fWAR/600 PA 4. Uribe - 1.2 fWAR/60 IP 5. Monasterio - 0.8 fWAR/600 PA 6. Turang - 0.3 fWAR/600 PA Even bWAR this makes it look more clear. 1. Perkins - 4.3 bWAR/600 PA 2. Frelick - 3.2 bWAR/600 PA 3. Monasterio - 2.5 bWAR/600 PA 4. Turang - 2.1 bWAR/600 PA 5. Uribe - 2.0 bWAR/60 IP 6. Wiemer - 1.3 bWAR/600 PA One thing is very clear. Blake Perkins was very underrated by the voters. On a per game basis he was the best rookie. Really just a combo of competent hitting (88 wRC+), great baserunning, and great defense is how he got there.
  5. Lucas O.
    Yeah that's honestly a pretty decent comparison. Bonds career OPS vs RHP - 1.084 Bonds career OPS vs LHP - .986 I just always forget about Bonds because he was so absurdly roided up. Dude's head size doubled in his MLB career lol
  6. Lucas O.
    I'd like the Brewers to get one Yordan Alvarez please. I honestly cannot recall another LHH that has hit LHP as well as him. Here's the best LHH in baseball career splits (vs RHP then vs LHP). Harper - 150 vs 122 Freeman - 152 vs 120 Soto - 167 vs 127 Ohtani - 156 vs 123 Olson - 144 vs 116 Alvarez - 170 vs 158 Yordan vs LHP is 31 points better than the next closest and he's also the best vs RHP. Just an absolutely insane hitter.
  7. Lucas O.
    Yeah if Adames agent came to the Brewers asking for 4/$50 the Brewers would have a contract drawn up and signed within an hour before Adames agent and Adames come to their senses.
  8. Lucas O.
    No thanks. He's seriously trending down and is on the books through his age 36 season. Even if the Padres eat salary, that is a contract that could be negative value for plenty of seasons.
  9. Lucas O.
    Does this factor in context like the Twins playing in one of the worst divisions in MLB history?
  10. Lucas O.
    Where was this voted on? Pretty flabbergasted that Turang is third ahead of Uribe, Wiemer, and Perkins. Turang was easily our worst rookie this season. Among the 212 players with 400 PA this season Turang had tied for the second worst wRC+ at 60 which is 40% worse than league average. Truly an abomination at the plate. Perkins and Wiemer were better defensively and at the plate than Turang. Uribe pitched his way into a high leverage role and was pretty dominant.
  11. Lucas O.
    This would be why. Hitting a baseball is really hard and Gallen is elite at tunneling pitches off each other like this.
  12. Lucas O.
    Dodgers with a combined 2 IP from their Game 1 and 2 SP. Just crazy. They are pretty fortunate that the NLDS has an extra off day or their bullpen would be pretty wiped out by game 3 of the series.
  13. Lucas O.
    Dbacks up 3-0 in the 1st inning. Why do we always lose to the team that happens to go on the hottest run every playoffs?
  14. Lucas O.
  15. Lucas O.
    Yeah I just realized that people complaining about the bye is probably playing right into the MLB's hands to expand to a 16 team playoff.
  16. Lucas O.
    So far the teams to earn a bye are 1-5 in the DS. I honestly kind of hope all the WC teams win and advance to the CS then the MLB gets backlash from the teams they ditch this current playoff format. Go back to 4 teams make the playoffs in each league. Then bump the DS up to a 7 game series to counteract getting rid of the WC round. Baseball is just not a sport where getting 5 extra days off after the season is an advantage. This isn’t the NFL where getting the bye and getting your team healthy can be a huge advantage.
  17. Lucas O.
    48th percentile xwOBA in 2022 which is nothing special. He had a .341 BABIP which doesn't at all seem sustainable for a guy who doesn't have a big sweet spot rate and doesn't hit the ball hard.
  18. Lucas O.
    They could always just trade for a different infielder or sign one in FA. No reason to dilute a potential Adames return getting back average players like Arcia, Grissom, Lux.
  19. Lucas O.
    Maybe talking defensively where Grissom is an absolute butcher in the middle infield? In roughly 530 career innings in the middle infield he has -10 DRS, -21.7 UZR/150, and -13 OAA. He has a 107 wRC+ but only 0.1 fWAR because his defense has been that bad.
  20. Lucas O.
    It's not set up well for the LAD and PHI. With the 3 offdays, Dbacks should be able to go Gallen in games 2 and 5 and Kelly in game 4. Philly should be able to go Wheeler in 2 and 5, Nola in 3, and Suarez in 4. That extra off day in the NLDS this year really gifted the WC teams the ability to start their best pitchers for most of the NLDS and WC.
  21. Lucas O.
    If Woodruff gets non-tendered because he’s not pitching in 2024 nobody is going to pay him the $12.5M he’s projected to make according to MLBTR. Even if he got $15M in 2025 after not pitching in 2024 it’s less money than working a 2 year deal to guarantee himself like $20M total between 2024 and 2025.
  22. Lucas O.
    If Lux is the main piece the Brewers are getting back for Burnes then I wouldn’t even bother trading Burnes. No thanks on a low/no power middle infielder.
  23. Lucas O.
    If rumors that Woodruff needs shoulder surgery and will miss all of 2024 are true then he would absolutely have a reason to guarantee himself some money.
  24. Lucas O.
    EBJ had that single in his first AB and has 3 strikeouts since then. I do have to say there are some doubts/questions entering my mind on his bat. Hopefully he can stay healthy next year and put those questions/doubts to rest.
  25. Lucas O.
    This isn’t AFL but didn’t feel like it warranted it’s own thread. Josh Norris posted some Ryan Birchard highlights. Definitely an intriguing pitcher.
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