To clinch any playoff spot would be 25. You would use Arizona because they are 7th in the NL not San Diego. They have 60 losses but the Brewers have the tiebreaker over them so it would be 162-77-60=25.
I think it will be Lockridge going down. His underlying numbers have been horrific this year and what little offensive success he's had has been on the back of a .400 BABIP. I think you can keep Lara up and rotate playing time pretty evenly between Mitchell, Frelick, and Lara in CF and RF.
Yeah it was dumb. If they wanted to buy they should have aggressively tried to buy before the deadline. By the time the deadline came around it was already looking too late for them.
I definitely think they should. If he accepts and comes back on a 1 year deal it’s not an issue. If he declines then you’ll get a comp pick of some sort.
No you need on the roster to start your rookie year or to be called up within the first two weeks of the season to be eligible for PPI so Misiorowski winning Cy Young would not net us a PPI pick.
That's a great series win and an incredible job salvaging the road trip after being swept in San Diego. Came into this 17 in 17 stretch with a 5.5 game lead in the division and exit it with a 5 game lead in the division after going 10-7.
You’ve literally admitted that is not what you do. You take smaller fragments of time that fit your preconceived opinion and ignore the whole picture. If you were looking at the whole picture you wouldn’t be picking and choosing dates from which the “real offense has showed up”
I think the real irony is the Brewers have actually hit better in the sample you use as evidence they aren’t a good offense compared to when you think they were a good offense.
Before the Colorado/Vegas road trip - 98 wRC+, .313 xwOBA
After the Colorado/Vegas road trip - 102 wRC+, .323 xwOBA
The offense slumped with RISP from mid June to the end of July and have slumped entirely in August but they still have hit better with better underlying numbers during the same you say the offense has been bad.
Seems to me you pretty heavily implied you can’t look at full season numbers because personnel has changed. You have been very clear you think the offense is worse then it was to start the year so it seems to me you’re saying Brandon Lockridge, Sal Frelick, and Luis Rengifo are better than Jackson Chourio, Andrew Vaughn, Cooper Pratt, and Luis Lara.
Henderson keeping the ball in the ball park is going to be key today. Like Misiorowski before yesterday, he’s had a bit of a HR ball issue lately with 7 HR allowed in his last 5 starts. Misiorowski cleaned it up and didn’t allow a HR. Now let’s see the same from Henderson.
Hopefully they just give him another day off tomorrow as well. LHP Skubal on the mound and Turang struggles against LHP. Give him another day off and hopefully he will be good to go when we get back to Milwaukee
xwOBA is nice but because it doesn't actually take into consider spray angle (where the ball is hit), I don't think it matters that the Cubs and Brewers have the same xwOBA. The Cubs lead MLB in air pull percentage which lets them overperform their underlying metrics and hit for more power. The Brewers are last in MLB in air pull percentage which probably helps their BA a bit but hurts their ability to hit for power this not overperforming their underlying metrics.
I don’t even think you should say Gasser has been bad. He’s had a few blowup outings that have really crushed his overall line but the large majority of his starts have been solid. He’s had an ERA of 4.50 or better in 9 of his 14 starts and an ERA of 3.00 or better in 7 of his 14 starts.
The fact this team is 7-7 this month is a testament to how good the pitching has been. If our pitching wasn’t doing well the team would probably be like 3-11 the way the offense has been swinging the bat. 14 games and 46 runs. 3.3 runs per game and have only scored more than 4 runs three times all month