wiguy94
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Everything posted by wiguy94
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Tue. 5/30 - Justin Jarvis Toes the Rubber in Biloxi
wiguy94 replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Feels like Cornielle has had 1 blowup inning in every start this season where he just completely loses it. That inning feels like it is upon us today. Already walked in a run and there are still 0 outs. -
Just not sure I agree with that. Brewers will have a ton of leverage dealing the best pitcher on the market. There would likely be a bidding war for him.
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If Burnes was made available on the trade market, he would still get quite a lot. He'd easily be the most sought after SP which will drive up his value.
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Bummed it’s not Singleton but thankful that I get some time off from watching Jesse Winker play baseball for the Brewers. With any luck we’ve seen his last AB as a Brewer.
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I would prefer they play every team home and away during the season but that probably involves too much travel. Divisional - 13 games each (52 games total) Intraleague - 5 games each, home-away 2-3 game series swapping each year (50 games total) Interleague - 4 games each, home-away 2 game series (60 games total)
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I like it for the minor leagues, but I don't think I would want it at the MLB level. I am a fan of the balanced schedule and playing every team every single year. You couldn't do that with the MiLB schedule.
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The offensive environment was far worse last season than this season so I don't know why you think it's okay to use his OBP last season in comparison to how players are performing this season. Ruf currently has a .360 OBP this season which is second to only Owen Miller. Yeah I thought you made the comment Turbo did about Hiura. I rescind the comment I made about Hiura.
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.322 OBP was 10 points better than the MLB average OBP last season. Why are you acting like that’s a bad OBP? You dislike metrics like wRC+ but then set arbitrary OBP numbers as determinants whether a player was a good or bad hitter? You’re talking crap about Hiura in this comment when your most recent comment in this thread is how the Brewers misused Hiura not playing him more??? Make it make sense please.
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Actually good is quite the overstatement.
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I'd say if we didn't pick up Ruf that we could give him a shot, but I think Ruf is just a better fit for a weakside 1B/DH platoon than Aguilar at this point.
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Just for some context on how bad this Cardinals defense has been in comparison to last season. DRS - 67 in 2022 (4th), currently -1 in 2023 (19th) UZR/150 - 6.3 in 2022 (2nd), currently -2.0 in 2023 (21st) Framing - -3.4 in 2022 (18th), currently -1.3 in 2023 (18th) OAA - 26 in 2022 (4th), currently -1 in 2023 (17th) Defensive value - 33.9 in 2022 (3rd), currently 3.4 in 2023 (13th) They've dropped off from an elite defense to a below average defense. That's a huge development for a team with a starting rotation that isn't great at striking hitters out.
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I think it's also fair to ask if this Cardinals team is as good as last years team. The pitching is clearly worse. No Yadi, Mikolas and Wainwright are each a year older, Quintana left in FA. The offense might be worse. Neither Goldschmidt nor Arenado are replicating their career offensive peaks last season. The defense is substantially worse. Loss of Bader and Yadi. Incorporating Gorman, Burleson, Yepez, Walker into the lineup who are all poor defenders. Contreras major drop off at C. The Cardinals certainly have a great offensive team but their roster has substantial holes as well and that's not being taken into consideration enough.
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Who are the pitchers that performing significantly worse than they have in the recent past? Mikolas in 2022 had an 85 ERA-, 100 FIP-, 95 xFIP- (mostly just greatly overperformed his peripherals last season) compared to 101 ERA-, 101 FIP-, 101 xFIP-. He's also 34 so a slight drop off wouldn't at all be surprising. Flaherty has struggled with injuries so hasn't pitched much the last few years but last year he had a 109 ERA-, 127 FIP-, 123 xFIP- compared to 115 ERA-, 109 FIP-, 107 xFIP- this season. Performing pretty much on par with how he did last season. Montgomery had a 90 ERA-, 91 FIP-, 87 xFIP- last year and has a 107 ERA-, 93 FIP-, 94 xFIP-. His ERA will probably stabilize as the year goes on but peripherals are largely the same. Wainwright is 40 and has lost has career battery mate so him having huge issues this year is not at all surprising. Especially considering he was terrible to close out last season. Has an ERA over 6 in his last 11 starts dating back to last season. Now if you want to talk about pitchers wildly underperforming relative to past results, Burnes and Peralta are far better examples.
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Misc. Minor League Alumni News & Notes
wiguy94 replied to Jim Goulart's topic in Brewers Minor League Talk
Lucas Erceg went 3 hitless against the Braves today with 4 strikeouts. He currently has 7 IP with a 1.29 ERA, 2.15 FIP, 3.29 xFIP and 12.89 K/9. Super happy for him excelling for the A's but equally bummed it isn't happening with us. -
Joel Payamps has been DFA'd 6 times since 2020 and the A's (the worst team in baseball) traded him to us this offseason because they were just planning on DFA'ing him as well. Yet he's been our second best RP this season and absolutely lights out in high leverage.
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You do this every time. You claim something untrue. Someone proves that it's untrue and then you transition to some other reason to complain.
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Ruf had a 116 wRC+ vs LHP last season and a 116 wRC+ vs LHP so far this season (while way underperforming his xwOBA). Voit had a -53 wRC+ vs LHP this season and yes that is a negative. Also I don't even know where the Ruf hasn't been good in a few seasons nonsense is coming from. Since Ruf returned to the MLB in 2020 these are his numbers vs LHP 2020 - 136 wRC+ 2021 - 165 wRC+ 2022 - 116 wRC+ 2023 - 116 wRC+ Where exactly is the bad season?
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You would seriously take Mikolas, Montgomery, Wainwright, Flaherty, Liberatore over Burnes, Peralta, Houser, Rea, Teheran?? I'd argue that Burnes, Peralta, Houser would all be the best SP on the Cardinals and that Rea and Teheran are both just as good as 40 year old Wainwright. Mikolas 5.06 xERA, Montgomery 4.55 xERA, Flaherty 4.58 xERA, Wainwright 6.98 xERA, Liberatore 6.11 xERA Burnes 3.80 xERA, Peralta 4.13 xERA, Houser 3.46 xERA, Rea 4.46 xERA, Teheran 3.64 xERA All 5 of the Brewers xERA are better than any of the Cardinals xERA (and yes I know Teheran, Houser, Wainwright, Liberatore are still super small sample size)
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My comment saying you're a secret Cardinal fan was obviously a joke. You have 5000 comments on this site. Of course you're not a Cardinal fan. However, your tone when talking about the Brewers and Cardinals this year have not been very even. You'd think their records were reversed with how negative about the Brewers and positive about the Cardinals you have been. We don't need you to tell us how good the Cardinals actually are when someone brings up how bad they have been.
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You're going through so many loops here trying to justify the Brewers bashing and Cardinals praise. IL days for Brewers - Ashby 61, Urias 59, Woodruff 49, Mitchell 41, Houser 39, Taylor 34, Miley 13, Lauer 8, Adames 3. Not even going to include Bush. That's a total of 307 IL days. IL days for Cardinals - Naughton 52, Wainwright 38, O'Neill 25, Woodford 25, DeJong 25, Carlson 16, Nootbaar 16. Including Woodford is generous as he absolutely sucks but even including him that is only 197 IL days over 110 fewer than us.
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ERA- isn't some crazy stat. It's just ERA adjusted for park factor and put on a scale where 100 is average so it is easier to compare across teams/players. WPA, SD, MD are to take into consideration context of bullpen ERA. Cardinals have a better bullpen ERA than the Brewers by 0.50 but that's pretty irrelevant because the WPA, SD, MD better measure how the bullpen is actually doing in leverage sitautions. Brewers have excelled in leverage situations and the Cardinals have stunk it up. Their ERA is better than ours because we have had some huge run totals mounted against our bullpen in non-leverage situations which effectively make no difference in the results of the game.
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Also Brewers have had a much tougher schedule. 6 of 9 series against teams over .500 compared to Cardinals 4 of 9 series against teams over .500
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That isn't relevant to my post. My post was about you trying to pull the "Brewers only giving up 0.25 runs per game less than the Cardinals" as some attempt to lessen the gap between the 2 pitching staffs. The Cardinals pitching is healthy and still significantly worse than the Brewers pitching staff that is battered with injuries. The Cardinals are 14-13 in April despite playing a relatively easy schedule with an opponent win% of 47.7%. Cardinals have played 9 series this month but only 4 of the 9 were against teams above .500 Brewers are obviously 10-15 this month but have played a tougher schedule with an opponent win% of 51%. We are starting our 9th series of the month tomorrow and 6 of the 9 series were against teams above .500
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Here you are arguing on behalf of the Cardinals again. Brewers SP have a 94 ERA- compared to the Cardinals SP 117 ERA-. Brewers relievers are 1st in WPA and have the best SD/MD ratio in the MLB compared to Cardinals relievers being 24th in WPA and 26th in SD/MD ratio.
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Luke Voit DFA'd.
