wiguy94
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Everything posted by wiguy94
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I hope this is a split contract not an MLB contract. Feels like it could be a Jose Urena type deal if it is a normal MLB contract.
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I mean Black was listed as 6'2 when he was drafted and was listed at 6' and 6'1 until last season where it was moved to 5'10. We've posted pictures of him standing next to people who were 6' and he's the same height as them.
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In a very small AAA sample yes he did although that was largely from like a 65% GB rate in his first month in AAA. In AA he had a 37% GB-rate and 43% FB-rate with a 41% pull rate which is pretty comparable to Bellinger's 2023 of 36% GB-rate, 43% FB-rate, 44% pull rate.
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Some of these inclusions are very odd. Satchell Norman is 21 years old and has yet to play full season ball. He's also an absolute butcher behind the plate. What about a 21 year old putting up a good offensive season in the ACL screams rocket through ths system prospect? Demetrio Nadal was a 19 year old repeat DSL player. He was about a year older than the average position player in the league. Yes he had a fantastic season but as an overage DSL repeater that's what you would expect from someone who was an above average hitter in the DSL a year earlier.
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I mean what's the point of publicly guaranteeing a currently 19 year old as your CF? Yes he very likely will be the starting CF because there's zero incentive to start him in AAA, but if he is awful in ST then you've put yourself in a tough spot if you already publicly guaranteed him as starting CF.
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1. Chourio played almost all year in AA and the first half of the year had enhanced grip baseballs that made pitchers stuff nastier. 2. Every player starts with 3 options when they are put on the 40-man roster. Just because Chourio signed a contract doesn't mean he couldn't be optioned.
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Because teams look at more than just stats when it comes to evaluating minor league players.
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14 of the 26 players have less than 1.5 seasons of service time. I feel like thst constitutes a youth movement when over half your players are rookies or second year players.
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If you’re going full retool/youth movement like your plan suggests, I just don’t see the sense to trade 3 good value prospects/young players for a guy who doesn’t fit the rest of the team’s timeline. Would make more sense to use those assets to get someone who fits the rest of the core’s timeline.
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I don’t understand the thought process of trading for Arozarena if we are trading all 3 of Burnes, Adames and Williams. That’s not a good pitching staff. The bullpen would be asked to eat a TON of innings with that pitching staff.
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It's hardly bold to say the Brewers won't sign the best 3B and best 1B on the FA market...
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Luis Severino to the Mets. 1/$13M with $2M in potential bonuses.
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I mean not really. He's sacrificing maybe $25M to guarantee himself around $80M where he still hits FA at 28.
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Rays rumored to be shopping Randy Arozarena
wiguy94 replied to wiguy94's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
If true should Brewers be interested? Randy has 3 years of team control. Randy for Mitchell and Wiemer is a fair deal according to BTV. Would you make that trade? -
Rays rumored to be shopping Randy Arozarena
wiguy94 posted a topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
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If it's only an 8 year deal it's really not that big of a risk from Chourio. He would still be hitting FA at 28 and would only be losing one year of FA money because with no deal the Brewers would service time manipulate him to get basically 7 years of service time.
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Andrews issue is his FB has been like batting practice in the MLB. If he can't throw a FB at the MLB level without it getting smashed, he won't make it as an MLB reliever.
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- ethan small
- blake holub
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If he signs 8 years for 110M or something like that he's really not risking that much money. He would still hit FA at 28 years old. Juan Soto is the most expensive ARB player ever and he's going to make around $83M before he hits FA. Let's say Chourio hits on all levels and would make $80M before hitting FA like Soto. A FA contract probably pays him around $35-40M AAV. Now if he doesn't extend the Brewers are likely going to manipulate service time to get the extra season before FA. So He would hit FA at 27 instead of 28. If he becomes a Soto level player you're probably talking $40M AAV so with no extension in his first 8 years being Soto level he would make around $80M in arb and $40M in his first year of FA. That's around $120M over 8 years. Nowhere near costing himself hundreds of millions.
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If Brewers are only buying 1-2 years of FA it won't cost anywhere near $150M to $200M
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This would be very exciting.
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Because demand will be higher at the deadline due to a smaller available pool of SP. It's a pretty strong SP FA class and there are guys like Glasnow, Cease, Bieber who could all be traded this offseason as well. Teams might not have the incentive to splurge on a Burnes trade offer when cheaper options are available or FA options are available.
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Are you 100% sure of that? Fangraphs has him with 2 options remaining to start 2024.
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Braves have said they plan to stretch Lopez out and that he will be a guy who goes back and forth between the rotation and bullpen. Based on that I don't think it will have any impact on the RP FA market or trade market.
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Rosenthal puts Burnes as least likely to be traded of the Glasnow, Bieber, Cease, Burnes group.
