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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. If I got to make the call, Sal Frelick would be our opening day RF. Naquin has looked rough this spring and Perkins is clearly not ready for the MLB.
  2. I asked Eno Sarris (creator of stuff+) about Carlos Rodriguez stuff+ numbers yesterday. His overall stuff+ was 92.5 and his best pitch was the cutter with a 114 stuff+. I loved what I saw from Carlos Rodriguez. The confidence and calm he displayed on the mound pitching against a team with 8 MLB players in the lineup was very noticeable. If he can continue improving the stuff, I definitely think he can be a mid-rotation starter in the MLB.
  3. Completely agree. Especially post Lux injury as well. SS is a huge question mark for them now. I think Padres should definitely be favorites in the West and it would not shock me if the Dodgers missed the playoffs this year.
  4. Miller's arm feels very problematic in a game that seems to be trending towards having more steals. You can improve framing/blocking. Can't really make a guy's arm significantly better through training.
  5. I already think it is too late to trade him. If they wanted to trade him this offseason, it should have been done during the winter meetings or shortly after. Doing it right before the season starts would probably deflate the whole team without enough time to come to terms with it before opening day.
  6. This is not remotely true. A large majority of the fanbase and most of the MLB media have sided with Burnes when it comes to how his arb process was handled. Trading him midseason (barring us being completely out of contention) would be a nightmare scenario when it comes to fan support.
  7. Naquin is a terrible CF. He's playable in RF. 1800 innings in RF in his career with -1 DRS, -1.7 UZR/150, -9 OAA. That's pretty comparable to what Renfroe is in RF.
  8. Assuming health, what is your opening day bullpen that puts Strzelecki in AAA? Also assume we carry 6 SP (Burnes, Woodruff, Freddy, Lauer, Miley, Houser) so you only need 7 RP.
  9. Why are the odds of an injury or "discomfort" leading to an IL stint pretty high for Strzelecki...a guy the Brewers have been talking up all offseason.
  10. I'd consider Strzelecki basically a lock. Brewers have talked about him as high leverage guy pretty much all offseason. Cousins not so much a lock. He has a chance to make the opening day roster, but likely would involve showing some improvement on his command this spring training.
  11. Ottavino had 7 BB+HBP in 81 PA against LHP and their success against him was largely on the back of a .392 BABIP. His command is miles above Cousins so comparing them is pretty pointless. Plus Ottavino's arsenal is more diverse than Cousins. Ottavino's aresenal last year: SL - 43%, SI - 33%, 4FB - 12%, CH - 7%, CU - 5%, Cousins' arsenal last year: SL - 56%, SI - 43%, CH - 1%
  12. Although the bad news is the walks/HBP were still huge issues in 2021 against LHP and they had a .386 OBP vs Cousins.
  13. I should add these splits for Cousins looked much better in 2021, but he had the elbow injury in 2022 which might have impacted his control/release point leading to the poor platoon splits.
  14. Strzelecki profiles as a better leverage RP because his pitch makeup is better against LHP and he has a capable 3rd pitch while Cousins doesn't. Cousins' 2022 OPS splits are quite evident. MLB: .589 vs RHB, .861 vs LHB AAA: .493 vs RHB, .799 vs LHB 127 total PA vs RHB with 11 BB and 4 HBP compared to 88 PA vs LHB with 16 BB and 3 HBP. Walks are out of control against LHB. Strzelecki's 2022 OPS splits look much better. MLB: .607 vs RHB, .676 vs LHB AAA: .577 vs RHB, .674 vs LHB 254 total PA vs RHB with 21 BB and 3 HBP compared to 162 PA vs LHB with 19 BB and 1 HBP. Cousins had 19 BB+HBP in 88 PA vs LHB. Strzelecki had 20 BB+HBP in 162 PA vs LHB. Seems pretty clear to me why the Brewers view Strzelecki as a high leverage guy and Cousins as a guy with question marks still.
  15. Chourio would have significantly more value...it's not even comparable. Like come on.
  16. I don't think either of these two will be on the opening day roster.
  17. The 2020-2022 version of Burnes is definitely the best peak of a pitcher in the Brewers history, but yeah he needs another season or two at that level to make up for the huge volume that Sheets and Higuera have over him. For all we know Woodruff could pitch better than Burnes this year and next and stake the claim as the best pitcher in franchise history. Would still argue that 2021 Burnes was the best season in franchise history with 2004 Sheets as a close runner up.
  18. Agree with this. Rowdy needs to have a breakout season if he wants the Brewers to keep him going forward. If he's around 110 wRC+ and 1 WAR player again then I doubt the Brewers bring him back in 2024.
  19. How would giving Burnes that extra $750K make us more successful?
  20. No don't walk it back now. You said what the Brewers did to Burnes is only something an unserious franchise with no interest in winning would do which is patently false.
  21. The Braves after winning a WS filed a $200K arb difference with their star pitcher Max Fried. I guess we now know the Braves aren't committed to making the postseason or making a legitimate World Series run.
  22. Yeah this is a pretty good summation of how I feel. Cards are favorites but nowhere near the 8 game favorites they are according to ZiPS.
  23. I'd definitely try to extend Urias. Lock him down for 1 or 2 FA years would be a good move to provide stability over the next 4 years.
  24. I think the bigger issue is that offense was down league wide and most people just didn't pay attention to that when looking at raw OPS/BA numbers. League average OPS last year was .706 which is .022 lower than 2021. Runs per game were at 4.28 which was .25 lower than 2021. Both of these numbers seeing sizable drops despite the introduction of the universal DH is the biggest reason why people think the offense was worse than what it actually was last year.
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