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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    Exactly. Need to balance winning/development. We can't just throw them into the fire and say "work your way through the inevitable struggles" especially if there are 3 of them getting routine playing time.
  2. wiguy94
    There's a difference between hard platooning them and making sure we don't have 3 LHH rookies in the lineup against a LHP. Also LHP in the minor leagues aren't comparable to LHP in the MLB, so those splits are absolutely not close to being guaranteed in the majors. We were one of the worst teams in the MLB against LHP last season. Starting 3 LHH rookies against LHP would be a great way to guarantee that happens again.
  3. wiguy94
    Mitchell is not one of our top hitting prospects. His speed/defense/position is what carries his prospect level. FG has Mitchell with both below average hit/power grades. Pipeline has him with average hit and below average power. Suggesting the Brewers shouldn't play 3 LHH rookies against LHP isn't exactly a crazy suggestion.
  4. wiguy94
    Hitting LHP in the minors is not the same as hitting LHP in the majors.
  5. wiguy94
    This is a pretty big loss. Tyrone is the only RHH OF on the 40-man (Perkins switch hitter). Definitely don't feel good about Mitchell and Naquin/Frelick being in our lineup against LHP. I guess Brewers could push Anderson to RF against LHP.
  6. wiguy94
    Brewers should definitely ask for a prospect like that, but no chance the O's would trade either of those guys for 1.5 years of Burnes.
  7. wiguy94
    Assuming health, what is your opening day bullpen that puts Strzelecki in AAA? Also assume we carry 6 SP (Burnes, Woodruff, Freddy, Lauer, Miley, Houser) so you only need 7 RP.
  8. wiguy94
    Why are the odds of an injury or "discomfort" leading to an IL stint pretty high for Strzelecki...a guy the Brewers have been talking up all offseason.
  9. wiguy94
    I'd consider Strzelecki basically a lock. Brewers have talked about him as high leverage guy pretty much all offseason. Cousins not so much a lock. He has a chance to make the opening day roster, but likely would involve showing some improvement on his command this spring training.
  10. wiguy94
    Ottavino had 7 BB+HBP in 81 PA against LHP and their success against him was largely on the back of a .392 BABIP. His command is miles above Cousins so comparing them is pretty pointless. Plus Ottavino's arsenal is more diverse than Cousins. Ottavino's aresenal last year: SL - 43%, SI - 33%, 4FB - 12%, CH - 7%, CU - 5%, Cousins' arsenal last year: SL - 56%, SI - 43%, CH - 1%
  11. wiguy94
    Although the bad news is the walks/HBP were still huge issues in 2021 against LHP and they had a .386 OBP vs Cousins.
  12. wiguy94
    I should add these splits for Cousins looked much better in 2021, but he had the elbow injury in 2022 which might have impacted his control/release point leading to the poor platoon splits.
  13. wiguy94
    Strzelecki profiles as a better leverage RP because his pitch makeup is better against LHP and he has a capable 3rd pitch while Cousins doesn't. Cousins' 2022 OPS splits are quite evident. MLB: .589 vs RHB, .861 vs LHB AAA: .493 vs RHB, .799 vs LHB 127 total PA vs RHB with 11 BB and 4 HBP compared to 88 PA vs LHB with 16 BB and 3 HBP. Walks are out of control against LHB. Strzelecki's 2022 OPS splits look much better. MLB: .607 vs RHB, .676 vs LHB AAA: .577 vs RHB, .674 vs LHB 254 total PA vs RHB with 21 BB and 3 HBP compared to 162 PA vs LHB with 19 BB and 1 HBP. Cousins had 19 BB+HBP in 88 PA vs LHB. Strzelecki had 20 BB+HBP in 162 PA vs LHB. Seems pretty clear to me why the Brewers view Strzelecki as a high leverage guy and Cousins as a guy with question marks still.
  14. wiguy94
    Chourio would have significantly more value...it's not even comparable. Like come on.
  15. wiguy94
    I don't think either of these two will be on the opening day roster.
  16. wiguy94
    The 2020-2022 version of Burnes is definitely the best peak of a pitcher in the Brewers history, but yeah he needs another season or two at that level to make up for the huge volume that Sheets and Higuera have over him. For all we know Woodruff could pitch better than Burnes this year and next and stake the claim as the best pitcher in franchise history. Would still argue that 2021 Burnes was the best season in franchise history with 2004 Sheets as a close runner up.
  17. wiguy94
    Agree with this. Rowdy needs to have a breakout season if he wants the Brewers to keep him going forward. If he's around 110 wRC+ and 1 WAR player again then I doubt the Brewers bring him back in 2024.
  18. wiguy94
    How would giving Burnes that extra $750K make us more successful?
  19. wiguy94
    No don't walk it back now. You said what the Brewers did to Burnes is only something an unserious franchise with no interest in winning would do which is patently false.
  20. wiguy94
    The Braves after winning a WS filed a $200K arb difference with their star pitcher Max Fried. I guess we now know the Braves aren't committed to making the postseason or making a legitimate World Series run.
  21. wiguy94
    Yeah this is a pretty good summation of how I feel. Cards are favorites but nowhere near the 8 game favorites they are according to ZiPS.
  22. wiguy94
    I'd definitely try to extend Urias. Lock him down for 1 or 2 FA years would be a good move to provide stability over the next 4 years.
  23. wiguy94
    I think the bigger issue is that offense was down league wide and most people just didn't pay attention to that when looking at raw OPS/BA numbers. League average OPS last year was .706 which is .022 lower than 2021. Runs per game were at 4.28 which was .25 lower than 2021. Both of these numbers seeing sizable drops despite the introduction of the universal DH is the biggest reason why people think the offense was worse than what it actually was last year.
  24. wiguy94
    I still get a chuckle when people say this. We had the 11th best wRC+ in baseball and were one of the most consistent teams at scoring 4+ and 5+ runs per game. Our offense wasn’t anemic. League-wide offense was anemic because the MLB can’t stop messing with baseballs.
  25. wiguy94
    Over the last two seasons Lauer has a 105 FIP-, 101 xFIP-, and 4.14 SIERA. By run value he only has two positive graded pitches. Last season Lauer had the third most OAA when he was on the mound with an estimated runs prevented of 9. If that defensive support was neutral and he gave up the estimated 9 more runs then his ERA would have ballooned to 4.20. There’s very little reason to commit 6 seasons to a pitcher of Lauer’s level let alone about $15M a year for the FA years.
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