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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    The offense definitely has potential outcomes both positive and negative in comparison to last year, but I think the upside is much higher this year with Winker, Contreras and some rookies coming up. If things go right we could push for a top 10 offense in all of baseball (finished 11th in wRC+ last year I believe)
  2. wiguy94
    I've noted this before but Winker also underperformed his xwOBA by .032 which was the 12th biggest underperformance in the MLB. Among qualified MLB hitters his .345 xwOBA was 34th in the MLB (would have been second on the Brewers behind Rowdy's .349). Winker was injured and one of the biggest underperformers of his expected stats but still managed to put up a 109 wRC+. Obviously it's not a guarantee that he bounces back to even his career average of 126 wRC+, but the odds are pretty darn high that he is an upgrade over Cutch as our primary DH.
  3. wiguy94
    I'd expect Winker to bounce back somewhat offensively and Wong to regress somewhat offensively because Winker is moving to a more hitter-friendly park and Wong a more pitcher-friendly. What makes or breaks this trade imo is if Wong bounces back in the field. He was one of the worst if not the worst defensive 2B in baseball last year.
  4. wiguy94
    Also giving the Feliciano move a D is pretty harsh. The Tigers DFA'd him and nobody in the MLB claimed him. He clearly isn't valued as someone deserving of taking up a 40-man spot at this point.
  5. wiguy94
    I still don't understand the F grade for Suter. Suter was not flexible the last two years. He has been one of the lowest leverage relief pitchers in baseball. Losing him as a person sucks, but $3M for the last guy in the bullpen is just a waste of an already limited budget.
  6. wiguy94
    Woodruff didn't have an arm injury. He had a sprained ankle and issues with Raynaud's syndrome.
  7. wiguy94
    Burnes pitched 145 innings in 2017 as a 22-year-old in the minors which is more than Freddy has ever pitched in a single year. Burnes also has a prototypical SP build at 6'3", 225 pounds compared to Freddy who is small by SP standards at 5'11", 199 pounds.
  8. wiguy94
    It will be interesting to see how CC plans to use our improved SP depth this year. I know he has already committed to DW being the closer, but I hope he uses our improved depth to be super flexible with our pitchers outside of DW, Burnes, and Woodruff. That could be piggyback starts, skipping starts, bullpen stretches out of Miley, Lauer, Peralta, Ashby, Houser. I'm excited to see what CC has in store for us.
  9. wiguy94
    1. Chourio - OF 2. Frelick - OF 3. Turang - IF 4. Quero - C 5. Wiemer - OF 6. Mitchell - OF 7. Gasser - SP 8. Black - IF/OF 9. Brown Jr. - IF 10. Misiorowski - SP 11. Uribe - RP 12. Moore - IF 13. Junk - SP 14. Rodriguez - SP 15. Cruz - SP 16. Mendez - OF 17. Lara - OF 18. Small - SP 19. Areinamo - IF 20. Hernandez - SP/RP
  10. wiguy94
    Are you doing a separate RP list?
  11. wiguy94
    Those arm strength numbers are the average of top 5% of his hardest throws though. I feel like that does a decent job of factoring out the easy throws. The naked eye could see the difference between Urias and Wong's double play turns at 2B.
  12. wiguy94
    Ah yes just so much crime near Fiserv Forum which is probably in the general area where a downtown baseball stadium would be put.
  13. wiguy94
    No his 2021 isn't as good as Sheets 2004. 2004 Sheets - 237 IP, 62 ERA-, 59 FIP-, 7.0 RA9-WAR, 8.0 fWAR respective ranks in MLB that year 4th, 4th, 2nd, 4th, 2nd 2021 Woodruff - 179 IP, 61 ERA-, 69 FIP-, 6.3 RA9-WAR, 4.7 fWAR respective ranks in MLB that year 20th, 4th, 6th, 5th, 9th
  14. wiguy94
    I never argued Sheets over Woodruff careers. I'm saying Woodruff doesn't have any season that touches Sheets 2004 because you said Woodruff has 4 seasons at least as good or better than anything Sheets did.
  15. wiguy94
    This is seriously underrated Sheets 2004 which is the 2nd best season in Brewers history behind Burnes 2021 season (could even have a valid argument Sheets 2004 was better because he pitched significantly more innings than Burnes 2021)
  16. wiguy94
    After putting Burnitz ahead of Yelich in RF, I am confused with your logic of Woodruff and Burnes over Sheets and Higuera. Yelich like Woodruff and Burnes has much better numbers than Burnitz like Sheets and Higuera, but you chose the longevity of Burnitz and are doing the opposite for the SP.
  17. wiguy94
    Feel like this probably makes it harder for Frelick to break into the team out of camp, but it will be better practice for Frelick playing against pitchers who are trying to win and not trying to work on their stuff.
  18. wiguy94
    I came to the same conclusion last season after the deadline when Burnes said there wasn’t much extension talks. There’s just not many pitchers who sign extensions with 2 years left in arb. From my research it seemed like you either extend them before they hit arb or when they hit their last year of arb.
  19. wiguy94
    It certainly looks and moves like a screwball, but doesn't he use a changeup grip which is why it is called a changeup?
  20. wiguy94
    So they determine OF arm strength by the average of their top 10% throws. More sample could make it go down, but his max is still really good. Renfroe - 98.4 max, 93.8 overall Mitchell - 96.8 max, 93.5 overall
  21. wiguy94
    Unrelated to who is starting in CF, but can't believe Longenhagen has Mitchell at 70 speed and 55 arm strength. The 55 arm strength is especially ridiculous when Mitchell was 96th percentile arm strength in his short MLB stint. I think the opening day job is Mitchell's to lose. If he struggles in spring training and Frelick plays well I could see Frelick being the opening day CF.
  22. wiguy94
    https://twitter.com/Wcontreras42/status/1620116740427632642?s=20
  23. wiguy94
    Yelich’s 18 and 19 were the 3rd and 4th best seasons in franchise history by position player fWAR. Only behind 2014 Lucroy and 1982 Robin Yount.
  24. wiguy94
    I think Yelich has to be number 1 in RF or number 2 in LF. I don’t think it’s fair to him to put him at HM in LF and 2 at RF. Even if you just want to use 18/19 as Yelich as a RF and 20-22 as a LF I would still put him over Burnitz in RF. Yelich in 18/19: 277 G, .327/.415/.631 for a 171 OPS+. He had 80 HR, 207 RBI, and 52 SB. He accumulated 14.2 bWAR. He won MVP and had an MVP-runner up. Burnitz had 15.7 bWAR in 782 games. Nearly 3 times as many games for 1.5 bWAR than those two years of Yelich.
  25. wiguy94
    He cleared waivers and was outrighted to AAA
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