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wiguy94

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Everything posted by wiguy94

  1. wiguy94
    Yeah San Diego is the 8th biggest US city and 17th biggest US metro. It’s much larger than Milwaukee. Their media market is small for the reasons you listed, proximity to LA and Mexico.
  2. wiguy94
    I never said we signed the steals of FA. I said the players you suggested are remarkably similar to the players we actually signed and then put out some numbers to support that. Cruz is 42 years old. The list of 42 year olds that bounce back from their worst season in 15+ years is likely pretty small. We also traded for Jesse Winker to be our DH who had a wRC+ 24 points higher than Cruz last year and an xwOBA 25 points higher.
  3. wiguy94
    Not at all. Cruz will be 42 next year and fell off a cliff last year in basically every single hitting category barrel rate, hard hit rate, EV, xBA, xSLG, xwOBA, xwOBACON, and hard hit rate. In the last two seasons Wacha has 252 IP with 4.18 ERA, 4.30 FIP, 3.95 xFIP. In the last two years Miley has 200 IP with 3.33 ERA, 3.96 FIP, 4.14 xFIP In the last two seasons Manaea has 337 IP with 4.40 ERA, 4.06 FIP, 3.78 xFIP. In the last two years Miley has 200 IP with 3.33 ERA, 3.96 FIP, 4.14 xFIP Drury had a great year last year, but he overperformed his xwOBA by 34 points. His .316 xwOBA was only 7 points higher than Anderson's .309 xwOBA despite Anderson playing injured for basically half the season. (I think Drury over Anderson is a very fair argument but acting like one is substantially better than the other is a bit too much) In the last two season Cueto has 273 IP with 3.66 ERA, 3.90 FIP, 4.33 xFIP. In the last two years Miley has 200 IP with 3.33 ERA, 3.96 FIP, 4.14 xFIP Canelario is coming off a season with an 80 wRC+ where his xwOBA was 17 points lower than Anderson and his BB-rate cratered to 6%.
  4. wiguy94
    You complained about the Miley/Anderson signings, and these are your suggestions? How are these suggestions any different than the Anderson/Miley signings?
  5. wiguy94
    Owen Miller was a trade and you included him in your four players listed. Again just another honest mistake I am sure.
  6. wiguy94
    https://twitter.com/Wcontreras42/status/1620116740427632642?s=20
  7. wiguy94
    A bit funny that you ignore the two biggest offseason moves. I am sure it was just an honest mistake.
  8. wiguy94
    Yelich’s 18 and 19 were the 3rd and 4th best seasons in franchise history by position player fWAR. Only behind 2014 Lucroy and 1982 Robin Yount.
  9. wiguy94
    I think Yelich has to be number 1 in RF or number 2 in LF. I don’t think it’s fair to him to put him at HM in LF and 2 at RF. Even if you just want to use 18/19 as Yelich as a RF and 20-22 as a LF I would still put him over Burnitz in RF. Yelich in 18/19: 277 G, .327/.415/.631 for a 171 OPS+. He had 80 HR, 207 RBI, and 52 SB. He accumulated 14.2 bWAR. He won MVP and had an MVP-runner up. Burnitz had 15.7 bWAR in 782 games. Nearly 3 times as many games for 1.5 bWAR than those two years of Yelich.
  10. wiguy94
    He cleared waivers and was outrighted to AAA
  11. wiguy94
    He cleared waivers and was outrighted to AAA
  12. wiguy94
    I totally forgot about Cameron. He absolutely should be above Podsednik as well. Cameron as a Brewer: 269 G, .247/.337/.464 for a 111 wRC+. He had 3 DRS and 8.1 fWAR.
  13. wiguy94
    Yeah I don’t see any reason for Podsednik to be above Cain. Podsednik’s as a Brewer: 308 G, .276/.344/.401 for a 95 wRC+. He had -11 DRS and finished with 5.1 fWAR. Cain as a Brewer: 415 G, .270/.344/.380 for a 96 wRC+. He had 49 DRS and finished with 8.5 fWAR. Cain’s 2018 was worth more fWAR than Podsednik’s two years in Milwaukee combined.
  14. wiguy94
    Pipeline’s top 100 is out. Brewers have 3 in the top 100. Wiemer at 90. Frelick at 30. Chourio at 8.
  15. wiguy94
    I thought he had a chance but felt it was 50/50 either way. I’m still not sold that he will start in AA. He was good in A+ but wasn’t dominant like he was in A ball. If the AA season didn’t run a week longer than the A+ season, I don’t think Chourio would have been in AA last season.
  16. wiguy94
    Why is Gasser at big league camp when the Brewers already have 7 MLB SP? Top prospects in AAA pretty much always get invited to big league camp. If a prospect has a reasonable chance of being on the MLB roster at some point in the season they will almost always be invited to big league camp.
  17. wiguy94
    Is it really that interesting? Mitchell was invited to big league camp last season despite never touching AAA.
  18. wiguy94
    Arraez won the batting title in the AL last year and didn’t even end the season with an .800 OPS.
  19. wiguy94
    In 2021 between AA and AAA, Kwan had a 154 wRC+ with a 10.6% BB-rate, 9.1% K-rate, .199 ISO, and a .335 BABIP. In 2022 between A+ and AAA, Frelick had a 137 wRC+ with a 9.3% BB-rate, 11.2% K-rate, .148 ISO, and a .361 BABIP. Kwan was a better version of Frelick in the minors and didn’t reach an .880 OPS as a rookie despite over performing his xwOBA by 29 points. Not to mention the Brewers also play in one of the least ball in play friendly parks in the MLB because of its small dimensions. In statcast’s 3-year rolling park factors, AmFam is 6% below average in singles, 8% below average in doubles, and 4% below average in triples.
  20. wiguy94
    OBP is included in OPS so not sure why them walking more matters. That’s factored into the OPS number. You’re taking minor league stats for Frelick and comparing them to major league stats with Taylor and acting like Frelick will maintain an .880 OPS in the MLB with a .361 BABIP and virtually no power. You know how many qualified hitters in the MLB had an .880 OPS last year? 7 and 6 of the 7 had 30+ HR. Frelick isn’t maintaining an .880 OPS in the MLB if he only hits 10 HR. You know how many qualified hitters had a BABIP over .361? 3. If you think Frelick can maintain his minor league numbers you’re essentially saying you think Frelick is a top 10 hitter in all of the MLB next year and a batting champion.
  21. wiguy94
    If you take out Hunter Renfroe's HR last year he had a .550 OPS. If you take out Rowdy Tellez's HR last year he had a .472 OPS. If you take out Willy Adames' HR last year he had a .513 OPS. Here I'll just take one of the best hitters in baseball last season Pete Alonso. He was 12th in wRC+. If you take out his HR he only had a .597 OPS and he was one of the best hitters in all of baseball. HR are significantly more valuable than any other hit in baseball. If you take them away from any hitter who is power over hit tool then they will look bad because you are taking away a crap ton of value.
  22. wiguy94
    HR are also a lot more valuable than singles which you’re completely ignoring. Maybe Frelick is more valuable 4 days a week but that value won’t compare to the value Taylor has in the game he homers.
  23. wiguy94
    Brewers didn’t give Boxberger $3M. Seems no chance they would claim Barnes who is making 3x that and is coming off a terrible season where his K-rate took an absolute nosedive.
  24. wiguy94
    Mitchell had a .548 BABIP and an xwOBA of .266 (which he overperformed by 99 points). It’s reading a lot into small sample noise to say he didn’t do too shabby. Winker’s xwOBA last year was .345 which was 34th in the MLB among qualified hitters and second among Brewers hitters. He woefully underperformed that number but he’s moving from Seattle (one of the least friendly parks in baseball) to Milwaukee (a neutral hitter/pitcher friendly parks). Of the 41 rookies with 250 PA last year only 2 had a better xwOBA than Winker. The likelihood of any of our rookies being better hitters than Winker next year is incredibly low. The likelihood of all of them being better hitters than Winker is basically nonexistent.
  25. wiguy94
    How good do you think the rookies will be for them to all be starting? Like if one of them is good enough to start next year it will be a success. 3 of them good enough to start is incredibly unlikely and even then. Winker’s bat will likely be much better than what any of them will offer so trading him makes our offense worse.
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