RU Rah Rah
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Everything posted by RU Rah Rah
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Time to shut down Gallardo
RU Rah Rah replied to TwinsBrewersWorldSeries's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
And just to be clear: I'm not suggesting that I think Yo is lousy or anything. He's obviously above average. I guess my question is: How far above average? -
Time to shut down Gallardo
RU Rah Rah replied to TwinsBrewersWorldSeries's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I hate to say this, but a related question regards Gallardo's overall talent. I am not -- repeat, not -- putting too much stock in the "similar pitchers" boxes on baseball-reference.com, but when you look at them for Gallardo, it's sobering. The names include such luminaries as Gary Gentry, Fausto Carmona, and Jason Bere. I know that he gets talked about in reverent tones, but do the numbers so far, after 80 MLB games, really justify it? -
PGA Golf Officials blow the call big time
RU Rah Rah replied to TwinsBrewersWorldSeries's topic in Off-Topic Forum
There were lots of photos online yesterday showing the bunker. With no one standing around/in it, you can clearly tell it's a bunker. Had the area been reasonably cleared out by the marshals, Johnson most likely would have figured out that he was in a bunker and not grounded his club. The more I think about this, the less I think it's Johnson's fault. The PGA allowed a weird situation to develop (with the gallery blocking a full view of the bunker) and then expected him to figure out the appropriate rule -- all while he prepared to hit what should have been the biggest shot of his career. At the very least, the rules official walking with the group should have been proactive about the rules and told him, "Hey, just FYI -- you're in a bunker here." (I know that they claim that the rules officials can only answer questions, but I think that's b.s. When Watson hit into the hazard on the last playoff hole, he and the rules official had a 10 minute conversation in which the official clearly volunteered information, laid out options for the drop, etc. He didn't wait for Watson to drop in the wrong place and then say, "Ah ha! You misinterpreted the rule!") The caddy really messed up, too. It's his job to be on top of stuff like this. I am wondering if someone is looking at all the PGA, TNT, and CBS tapes to see if Watson or Kaymer did anything similar earlier in the week. That would be interesting. -
PGA Golf Officials blow the call big time
RU Rah Rah replied to TwinsBrewersWorldSeries's topic in Off-Topic Forum
I'd say it was about 70% Johnson's fault. He should have hit a safer drive, and he should have realized that sand = bunker. (His caddy screwed up, too.) But I don't think the PGA is totally blameless here. If it really was a bunker, then at least the crowd should have been removed from it when Johnson approached his ball and played it. Had that happened, I think he might have realized that it was a bunker and not just a trampled-down spot in the gallery. (The positioning of the crowd clearly suggested to him that it wasn't a bunker.) Having played WS twice, I can say that you do periodically confront some grey areas -- weird sandy patches that aren't exactly bunkers and aren't exactly rough. I don't know if those qualify as "bunkers" or not. And WS doesn't really know, either -- they can't give a precise count of the total number of bunkers on the course because they change over time. -
He would give up about 20-ish HR per year, and wound up serving 303 up for his career. (Baseball-Reference tells me it was .7 HR per 9 innings.) Could you imagine hitting that many in your career in not ever having a GS? Not a stat, but I always thought he had the most graceful motion in the game.
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This Japanese play is awesome, but it's really just a really great version of a catch we see frequently. For me, what made the Buehrle play so special was that it was just completely different -- I've never seen anyone flip the ball between his legs that way, in one fluid motion.
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Now this is the way we used to roll in Balto. when idiot fans ran out onto the field.
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Gallardo would boycott 2011 ASG if elected to team
RU Rah Rah replied to PrinceEatMeat's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
This reminds me a little bit of the notorious AFL all-star game that was scheduled to be played in New Orleans in the early 1960s. The African-American players were treated horribly there because of Jim Crow (I think one even had a gun pulled on him when he tried to enter a bar?) and voted to boycott the game. IIRC, the league relented and rescheduled the game for somewhere else. (Obviously, MLB in 2011 is not the AFL in 1963 or whenever it was -- I'm not pushing the comparison that far.) -
So best case, the odds are about 140 to 1 according to these sites. I'd make that bet. I'm not saying they have a very good chance at all, but they have to be better than that (probably closer to 50 to 1 or something). I've never been able to figure out how these sites are able to quantify things like this.They "quantify things like this" with the same statistics that oddsmakers use in Vegas. You say you'd make that bet, but it's one thing to be willing to throw $5 on that bet, and another to bet your house on it. Exactly. It would be horrible to wager anything significant on 140-to-1 odds. ($5 in a bar? Sure, I do that.) The sites I referenced explain their methodology pretty clearly. I'm not saying that I completely buy it, but I'm reluctant to argue with a consensus of objective observers who conclude that the team has less than a 1% chance of making the playoffs.
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I looked at three different web sites listing post-season odds. One listed the Brewers' current chances of making the playoffs as 0.1%; another, 0.7%; another, 0.6%. So that's the kind of "chance" we're talking about here. (Next to none, basically.)
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I'm wondering about this, too. They have almost nothing beyond these three very good players. I'm not an NBA GM, but don't you need a decent PG to be able to compete? If you look at the Boston blueprint, the "Big Three" had an excellent supporting cast, including Rondo. I can't see how Miami is going to put together something comparable.
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Is there a chance to make a run at the WC? Sure, in theory. And everyone can point to recent examples of teams coming out of the nowhere in the second half (the Rockies a couple of years ago) to support the idea that it's possible. But those are the exceptions that seem to prove the rule. 9 games out the WC on July 4 -- with all but 4 teams NL in basically the same situation, or better -- means that making the playoffs is basically a fantasy, at this point. adambr2 put it in perspective earlier in the thread -- there ain't no way this team is going to play .662 baseball the rest of the way. (That isn't to say that they will be completely horrible, either.) I wouldn't advocate a complete fire sale, and I don't think Mark A. would allow it anyway. However, with Gallardo going down, it's time to think prudently about the team's medium-range interests -- building toward a more competitive roster in '11 and '12.
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I attended the game in 1983 in which Tippy Martinez of the Orioles picked off three Blue Jays in one inning. (It was a bizarre game in which former Brewer utility IF Lenn Sakata wound up catching for the only time in his career.)
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All of those baserunners, and only one balk. Otherwise . . . pretty grim.
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If the fate of the franchise hangs on the ability of the GM (and I think it does, to a large extent), why are they paid so little? It absolutely amazes me that the best GM's in the game are roughly in the same salary range as Jody Gerut and Craig Counsell.
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Should Boras not seek the most lucrative contract possible for his client?
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OK, this made me laugh.
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I suppose it's about time to revisit this thread....
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I agree with this, but Nieves was Puerto Rican The 4 Mexican born pitchers have been Higuera, Gallardo, De La Rosa, and Acevedo *edit* Elmer Dessens makes 5 No, you had it right the first time, when you excluded Dessens from the "pitcher" category....
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Cardinals TV announcer calls Brewers disrespectful
RU Rah Rah replied to apirk's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
We'd all be ok with this if the uniforms were different? Let's say that Milton Bradley hit a walk-off against the Brewers, and the Cubs staged something like this. It would still be cool, sportsmanlike, fun, etc.? -
Tigers among others interested in Cameron
RU Rah Rah replied to SeriesFinale's topic in Transaction Rumors & Proposals
I like Cameron, and I think he's a solid contributor but at the dish and with the glove. But I wouldn't be unhappy if he got dealt, if it garnered a solid return. At least we won't have to wait too long to see if this is going to work out -- it's going to be tonight or nothing, it looks like... -
Exactly. I think that, at least in theory, 1-5 were OK on Opening Day, but I never expected all of them to make 30+ starts each. (In fact, it wouldn't have surprised me if none of them had reached that plateau.) I guess DM thought that McClung and Villy could fill the void, but that was wishful thinking.
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Joe Buck and Bob Costas have this "Hey, everyone, look at me, look at me, I'm clever and funny!" quality that I find annoying.
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Bill Hall traded to Mariners for P Ruben Flores
RU Rah Rah replied to Invader3K's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Ruben Flores in return? -
I guess I find it hard to argue with his moves (or lack thereof) up to July 7, 2008. Although there were some clear missteps along the way, he helped to lift the franchise out of the semi-perpetual doldrums and into a place where it could contend for (and actually make!) the playoffs. That's a considerable accomplishment. However, the past year-plus has not seemed especially good. His failure to put together a viable starting rotation for this year was just inexcusable. Overall, the bottom line (in terms of wins and losses and rear ends in the seats at MP) has been vastly better under Melvin. That isn't to say, though, that I feel good about the team's chances in '09 or '10 (which I fear might be a complete disaster, given the disarray of the current rotation).
