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eddiemathews

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Everything posted by eddiemathews

  1. Contreras is a double play threat, too, but he really stresses pitchers at the 2nd spot. If I were making out the lineup I'd leave Yeli at lead-off and slide in one of Mitchell, Chourio, Adames, or even Black at 3 depending on spring training trends. Then you adjust as the season goes along for who is hot, who is effective, who they are facing...etc. I'd hit Frelick ninth. Actually, I'd work him out at second base and see if it's at all possible. There's plenty of outfielders, and Sal's bat would be much more palatable as a second baseman. Unlikely, I know.
  2. He's still out there. I'm a bit overly sentimental here, but dang it, Woodruf has earned it. There's now a basis for how this should work, with Kershaw's deal giving a base and escalators for appearances this year and next. I don't expect Woody to pitch for the Brewers this year, so it could be a two year deal with $2mm this year, and $3mm next with rising amounts for games started. He may never get back. But it's worth the investment to help him work towards it, and it's good PR for future potential free agents.
  3. Yup. Getting a batter via the K means you have a 99.99% chance that he will be out. If you rely on more batted ball outs the chances that it isn't an out increase astronomically. Errors, driblers, seeing-eye hits, bloops...all of these mean more baserunners. The best pitchers will almost always be the guys that are really difficult to get the bat on the ball. It is, of course, generally important to not walk tons of guys, too. Until we get to the time when MLB is filled with 13 guys like that in every roster spot (and we seem to get closer to it every year), teams will have to rely on some pitchers that don't pitch with high k rates.. And yeah, they can be inconsistent because of bad luck, injury, etc. BTW, I always have thought that Burnes has had really bad luck on batted balls. It seemed really weird. Of course, a lot of these "soft tossers" would rate as above average in velocity even 20 years ago.
  4. Haven't looked recently at the relative trade values of Adames and Turang...I seem to recall that Turang is valued a bit higher....but that deal with Miami might be better with Willy instead of Turang. But I don't see anybody giving equal value at this point, and William can DH and play first while backing up Quero. I say keep him.
  5. The moral of the story: if you don't strike guys out, any pitching success is a mirage.
  6. I'd say they'd be wise to pay some attention to this. It would be risky to alienate fans any further.
  7. Basically an accurate post. Another aspect to their signings is that none of them are slam dunks; any or several of them could fail. The redundency protects against that. One thing that hurts the Brewers is the limit of carrying just 13 pitchers. If they could carry 14, they could limit several starters to one time through the line-up, or one and a half. Using the minors could help that, too...but MLB also limited that option by doing away with the 10 day time limit, moving it to 15 last season. But they'll use it as much as they can. They really don't have any starters that you can count on going five plus innings. That may be the biggest problem this season. They'll have to send guys down for two weeks just to recover.
  8. Brewers offered him a raise. He wanted a bigger raise. Still ended up with a substantial raise.
  9. If MLB wants to maintain competetive balance (ha!) it should pay the affected teams the amounts owed yearly. It could certainly be done, but would the unaffected teams block it?
  10. Absolutely. My main problem with Hader's comment...probably my only problem...is making it sound like the Brewers are the only team that use the process to their advantage. That's absurd. They all do.
  11. He's had enough success in the minors to still be viewed as a possible solid MLB player, and if he can be he'd inherit first after Hoskins leaves.
  12. I could see him traded, but if he isn't I think he's getting at least 400 PA's at the MLB level. Unless, of course, he gets hurt...
  13. Trade simulator gives slightly more value to Turang over Adames, and that is basically a combination af age and length of control at league minimum/arb. After his hitting performance last year nobody is trading for him to be a regular. By and large, they would be trading for Willy to be a regular for one season. I don't know that either would bring much back; and I don't know that Turang is ever much more than a utility infielder. He's a very good fielder, and a left-handed bat, so there is the potential for a little more. Another factor in this calcualtion is the doubt that Willy will be worth a QO next year. Sure, we'd expect a bounceback season, but what if he doesn't? I don't know that the Marlins are interested in one year of Willy, but if they are they might send back Edward Cabrera for him and a lower level shortstop prospect.
  14. I have Hall firmly in the pen. I have little faith in Ashby, and that opens things up for Gasser. I see more of Yeli at DH with Mitchell in right and Frelick in left vs righties. And yeah, another infielder over Haase. Somebody will lose a catcher this spring and give the Brewers a low-level minor leaguer for him. But of course, waddaeyeknow. Wonder how Murph prefers his line-ups. With the three batters faced rule, alternating left/right in the line-up does seem to make sense.
  15. I also think Nola was signed to be a player-coach at AAA, and wouldn't be surprised to see him on the big league staff in a year or two.
  16. Williams' trade value is so high at this point that it'd be almost impossible to deal him.
  17. I don't see as much of a negative as others. If he just replaces Haase on the roster, that's fine. I don't see much more than 300 PAs. It could mean one of the young outfielders will be included in a trade somewhere. It certainly means that they will now have a pinch-hitter available with some pop. BTW...trading Burnes had to happen. He was gone after this year for a comp pick. Now, they get (potentially) 12 years of mlb sevice from Hall and Ortiz, PLUS they still get a pick. And the pick is a year earlier.
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