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naivin

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Everything posted by naivin

  1. naivin
    I like Braun as much as the next guy, but I would suggest it is probably not worth the effort. The math just doesn't work when you consider the size of the Cubs fan base vs. that of the Brewers. Once those knuckleheads get wind that its close, they will be doing the same thing. There are just more of them then there are of us (not to mention the entire Japanese baseball fan population. F-bomb will in all liklihood be starting the ASG, whether or not Braun can overtake someone else, is I suppose another question.
  2. naivin
    He's having an off half a season (his 3rd in the big leagues) by his standards, that most major leaguers would kill for as a good half of a season.
  3. naivin
    Given the pitching shortage around MLB, I'd say he probably already has apologized enough to get an invite to Spring Training in 2009.
  4. naivin
    I strongly disagree. he might not reinjure the knee per say, but if its not 100% and he favors it in any way , or it has some impact on his motion/mechanics (due to pain or range of motion), no matter how slight, he very well could wreck something else - like a shoulder or his elbow. If he were playing basketball, or even playing a position, I wouldn't have as much issue with it, but pitching? No sale. Too many moving parts, and even though they seem far away, they're all related.
  5. naivin
    Well actually, that could probably be viewed as some sot of badge of honor with many around here - after they get done concluding Yost is a bad manager because of his demeanor in said press conference of course.
  6. naivin
    And? He has been as reliable as anybody out there, even facing that many RH hitters. The fact that he also appears to have a rubber arm is the reason he is called upon for an inning, or to face a right hander or two. again, when he is brought in to face Derrik, Lee, Aramis Ramierez, etc. when other options are available, it will be perfectly legitimate to criticize. Until then the usage of Shouse has been anything but a problem.
  7. naivin
    Way to jinx. Well done.
  8. naivin
    Personally I hope not. October 1st would be 5 months to the day of teh injury. In my completely unprofessional medical opinion, that's too soon. Take the extra time, avoid any unnecessary risks and come back strong prepared to be the guy at the top of the rotation once Sheets is gone next year.
  9. naivin
    If he makes it through this year, Sheets will be in the 5 year/$100 million range (Even if he doesn't make it through the year, he may end up in that range.) Given his injury history, there is no way the Brewers are going to play in that sand box. Nor should they. Therefore, I hope he has a monster season and is the prize of teh FA market, because either way, there is little or no chance he will be back in Milwaukee.
  10. naivin
    Brewers are 81-81 in their last 162 games. I guess that must mean Ned has been an average manager during that stretch.
  11. naivin
    Yes, as tempting as it may be. The 5 wins have to come somewhere, so I'm not sure expectations should change yet. If they win today however, I will be looking for 6-4.
  12. naivin
    I see another busy night for the Braves' bullpen. Hopefully Bush can pitch a decent game.
  13. naivin
    If you eliminate the teams both the Brewers and Cubs have faced basically the same number of times (within a game or two), you are left with the Pirates (bad), Padres (bad), Colorado (bad), Florida (good), Dodgers (ok), Giants (bad), Cardinals (good). Even if you take home/road out of it, the schedule to this point definitely favors the Cubs, and its not close. As far as games played goes, it goes like this (for the Cubs)... Pirates +9 Padres +7 Colorado +3 Giants -3 That's 16 more games against 'bad' teams. Florida -6 Dodgers +3 Cardinals -4 That's 7 fewer games against 'good' teams (assuming you consider the Dodgers good. If not, the schedule favors ths Cubs even more.) There is simply no comparison of the schedules to the point, and I so believe if you even it out, the Brewers probably would be significantly closer than 6 games right now. The good news is, there are about 90 games yet to play, and it will even out, so we'll see. I still like the Cubs to win the division, but barring injuries, etc., it should probably tighten up.
  14. naivin
    No of course not - not at the end of the year. I think the point was that to this point, some/much of the Cubs current lead can be attributed to playing an easier schedule. These things even out over the course of 162 games, and you earn the record you end up with as well as your place in the standings. Perhaps a reason for hope for the Brewers fans, is the point I believe.
  15. naivin
    I agree with that. If that's what Ned means by being "more than a situational lefty," then I'm fine with it. But, if he starts using him in close games with no lefties due up (except for emergencies, of course), I'd have a problem with that. Here again, though... I'd be more concerned with what he does, rather than what he says.This is exactlt right, and frankly the criticism in this instance seems more than a bit contrived. Until he brings Shouse in to face Lee, Ramierez, and Soto, I'm not sure what the point of complaining about that comment is. Shouse has proven he can come in and give you an inning or two, or face a right hander or two in the right situation. Outside of a perhaps a couple instances where Ned may have had limited choices, its hard to say he has improperly used him at all.
  16. naivin
    I have to say, I just don't understand this line of thinking...and I am not icking on you, because I hear it a lot. There is a reality to all of this...First of all, Sheets will not be back next year. With his injury history, there is no way a team like the Brewers are going to give him the contract he will fetch on the FA market. So you can take that out of the equation right now. Same with resigning Sabathia. This would be a pretty straight rental situation. Therefore, the Brewers options this year are pretty simple 1) Do nothing and have little or no chance at making the playoffs. 2) Trade for a rental starting pitcher and have a realistic shot. 3) Trade for a SP who is signed for another year or two, even if not quite as good as the rental (much, much tougher to find). I'd love it if we had a playoff caliber roster and all the minor league prosects as well, but we don't. If you want to go to the playoffs, you have to have pitching, and its gonna cost something to get it. So the equation is more along the lines of... Sheets + Sabathia in 2008 >>>>> LaPorta + No Sheets in 2009
  17. naivin
    The Marmol thing is interesting. I have been telling my Cub fan friends all season that Lou has been overworking him. I haven't really paid attention the last couple weeks, but I have no reason to believe that trend has been reversed. We'll see.
  18. naivin
    It's both funny and deserved.
  19. naivin
    By season's end, Cameron will do what Cameron does. The Brewers willl likely have gotten exactly what they expected. As for Gagne, JohnBriggs is correct, signing him was a well understood risk, and viewed as anything but a sure thing, which is why they gave him a bigger number, but only one year. To this point, it hasn't worked out, and I think you'd be hard pressed to find anyone in the Brewers' front office who is overly surprised. Gagne was a roll of the dice, and they knew it. That said, the season isn't over yet either.
  20. naivin
    At this point, its all about Zambrano. If he's ok, teh Cubs will win the division easily, barring some other serious injury problems. If he's not, the Brewers have a shot, and the battle moves up to the GM's offices for the next month or so, and whichever one has the most success fortifying the pitching staff before the deadline, may just win the division.
  21. naivin
    That's great if you're Mark Attanasio or us fans, but the problem is if Sheets makes his starts this year, he'd never agreeto a contract like that. He'll get that $100M/5 year offer from somebody else anyway, withou a clause. If he doesn't make his starts this year, I'd have no interest in offering him anything but a 1-2 year, minimal money contract.
  22. naivin
    The next two weeks could be a real key for the Brewers, with a potentially brutal road trip coming up prior to a potentially very good homestand prior to the All-Star break, the next 14 games could go a long way in determining where they stand at the trade deadline, and making decisions easier, or much more difficult. If they can find a way to play around .500 or better the next 14 games, they should be in a position to put themselves firmly in the buyer category when the All-Star break rolls around. However, if they go get their brains beat in on the road, as is usually the norm, they face the prospect of floundering around .500 as the deadline approaches, and making the buy/sell question extremely difficult to answer - with Sheets' FA looming, it makes answering that question correctly that much more critical. Teams like KC, Seattle, San Diego, San Francisco all know they aren't going anywhere. I am a firm believer that Doug should strike first and go get a pitcher now, instead of waiting. Will he have to overpay somewhat? Yeah, probably, but if you can translate that into a few extra wins over the next month, you end up giving yourslef an opportunity you might not otherwise have. I would consider the Brewers buyers now. If the fail to buy however, a bad trip through Atlanta, minnesota, and Arizona, coupld pretty easily turn them into sellers. Your going to overpay for pitching anyway. Might as well overpay sooner than later to try to maximize the return.
  23. naivin
    Pretty simple...Sheets, Suppan, Parra, Bush, McClung...it perhaps has more to do with the Brewers as it does the Cubs. If the Brewers don't acquire a front line starter, I don't think they have any shot at the division, and the WC is unlikely. Now, if there is any significance to the Zambrano injury, suddenly the group above doesn't look quite as bad.
  24. naivin
    Thsi would obviously prevent a trade from happening, but I would require Carlos Marmol.
  25. naivin
    I have been thinking about this as well. If the Brewers fall out of it, I would happily trade them Sheets for a king's ransom. Depending on what the market looks like at the time, the Cubs just might be willing to way overpay given it would be an intradivision trade. Let's put it this way, there would be no shortage of bidders, so I think you could easily require about a 50% premium from the Cubs.
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