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naivin

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Everything posted by naivin

  1. naivin
    The past several years the Cubs organization has conditioned me to be very skeptical about injury news regarding Kerry Wood. I have to say this blister thing has me scratching my head just a little. The guy is a relief pitcher first of all. How on earth is he developing a blister pitcing an inning or less every coupe days and throwing 15-20 pitches. Not saying it isn't possible, I just find it a bit odd. He has also suppsedly been bothered by this for now about 4 weeks. I don't know. I'm not sayin, I'm just sayin. Wouldn't the first time the Cubs were somewhat less than forthcoming about Wood's condition. 'Tendonitis' seems to turn into Tommy John surgery quite a bit where this guy is concerned.
  2. naivin
    If Lou's that concerned with Harden's workload/injury history, why does he leave him in his second start as a Cub for 112 pitches? Well he hadn't pitched for over a week, and perhaps he's actually planning to go through with this. Also, Marquis is still in their regular 5-man rotation - as things stand right now he's making 15 starts down the stretch regardless, unless they give his rotation spot to Sean Marshall - Marshall's been pretty good this year, but nowhere near as dominant as Harden can be. For the record, that is actually how it was described, relative to what Lou is thinking. The rotation would essentially be Zambrano, Lilly, Dempster, Marshall, and Harden/a little bit of Marquis.
  3. naivin
    I don't see it that way at all. I would say its more a case of Lou looking at Harden's injury history and lack of work the past couple years, and considering the possibility of letting Marquis make 3 or 4 of his starts starts, vs. seeing Harden wear down or get hurt again and being forced to watch Marquis make 15 of his starts.
  4. naivin
    That's great, but you also seem to have missed the point.
  5. naivin
    I don't know if its a defense necessarily, but I do have a theory on it given the situation...First of all from a purely between the lines perspective, it seemed a little odd, but then again the decision was essentially between Torres with a 1 or more run lead vs. Villanueva with a 1 or more run lead, so from that perspective I do think Torres is probably the correct call, third day in a row or not. As far as Torres hitting however, I think Ned may have also been looking big picture as he often does, and perhaps saw an opportunity to simultaneously provide a vote of confidence to two guys who may have needed it, and who will be absolutely crtitical to the Brewers success this year. Sending the message to Torres that I am letting you hit because I know you will get me three outs in the bottom half no matter what, and at the same time sending the message to Rickie that if Torres doesn't get the run in, I have faith that you will. Do I know that's what went on? Not at all. Do I believe it may have played a role in the decision? I sure do.
  6. naivin
    You make it sound as if that is something new...Where you been?
  7. naivin
    Just heard on the Score that Len Casper indicated last night that Lou is considering a bit of a platoon situation for one of the spots in the rotation (I know, can you believe it?!), with Harden and Marquis, to try to protect Harden and limit his pitches. Essentially alternating those two here and there when that turn comes up. We'll see if he actually goes through with it.
  8. naivin
    Alright, with that jinx out of the way, I can go ahead and trim my trees tonight instead of watching the Brewers lose. Tonight is definitely a bit of a lynch pin game in the series. If they win tonight, with Sabathia and Sheets going the final two, a split would be disappointing. If they lose tonight, a split would be just fine. (I really want 3 of 4 though.)
  9. naivin
    Well, actually we know that that's what their saying the reason is. It may well be as simple as that, but I happen to believe there may be other factors conributing to it that they'd just as soon not talk about. Suppan's soon to be completed stint on the DL for example. It certainly makes his status/effectiveness somewhere south of 100% certain. How or how much that may or may not have played into it, I don't know, but it is awfully hard for me to conclude that the two are not in any way related. Is/was one of these guys involved in trade talks? I have no idea. Certainly doesn't seem unreasonable. Is one of these guys hurt or tiring? Again, I don't know, but based on commenst earlier today, it sure sounds possible. I don't claim to know any of these things, and I never have, but I think it is reasonable to assume that there may be things going on beyond home/road splits that we don't know about. I am simply pointing out that the AntiYostites don't seem willing to consider such possibilities because it would mean it involved more than Ned and would take away their ability to pounce if this doesn't go well.
  10. naivin
    Anyone remember the post a couple weeks ago prior to the Rockies and Reds? Something along the lines of, I have never seen such horrible pitchers...? You just never know. One thing I do know, is I am still somewhat shocked at the quality of the pitching match-ups for a Brewers-Cubs series. Hasn't exactly been the norm around here.
  11. naivin
    I guess I'm not sure why some of you have such a hard time accepting the notion that there are/could be factors playing into this decision beyond simply how each guy pitches at home or on the road, that the Brewers don't necessarily want to discuss publicly. I don't claim to know what they are necessarily, but injuries, guys tiring, trades, planned roster moves, a bullpen that has struggled, and on and on certainly seem like possibilities that may have led to them doing this. Whether McClung is truly 'hurt' or not, if they feel he would ultimately benefit from a couple weeks off, would swapping him with Suppan and waiting to see what else transpires in the next couple weeks really be such a bad idea (BTW, that type of move is not Ned Yost as much as it's Doug Melvin)? Actually, on second thought, I do know why some of you have such a hard time accepting that possibility - you have convinced yourselves that Ned is just an idiot, and that this decision is a bad one, and are unwilling to consider that perhaps there may be additional factors that have led to this decision that go beyond Ned Yost.
  12. naivin
    Yeesh...I'll grant you they weren't easy plays, but very difficult plays? Sorry, I can't go along with that. He should certainly have made at least one, if not both of them.
  13. naivin
    Unless he has a quick inning or two, I would guess we may see Bush or Villanueva start the 5th (assuming Seth gets through through the 4th).
  14. naivin
    Am I the only one who dodn't know this game started at 6:00? I just turned on Brewers Live and it was the 2nd inning... Looks like we'll see both McClung and Bush tonight at this rate.
  15. naivin
    Just to address this one point which seems to be a common argument against, what if the score tonight is 11-2 after 4 or 5 innings? Who would you rather have working in that game, Dave Bush or Carlos Villanueva. Personally, I'd be happy to let Bush eat those innings and have Villanueva available tomorrow night if needed. That's one example, there are plenty of reasons you could use Bush out of the bullpen on the road. (Before someone comes back with Mota or Gagne in that situation, the fact is you still have to get all 27 outs, and if you bring those guys in, chances are you are gonna have to use one or two guys as well when the inevitable implosion happens just to finish the game, and now you have limited who's available for the next night even more, while Bush, in theory anyway could finish the game.) Beyond that, nobody ever said he is so bad he shouldn't pitch (on the road.) What has been said is that they think it is worth a try to have him make his starts at home and have McClung make the starts on the road, so perhaps we can put the argument that he can't be used on teh road to bed right now. There will be times when Bush/McClung will not be available due to an upcoming start, but that's often true of all bullpen guys depending on what their workload has been, but depending on the situation, the other likely could be available out of the pen, so its something that will need to be managed, but the 24 man roster argument, is probably in reality a little bit of a red herring as well.
  16. naivin
    Who knows? If the Brewers have cooled on him the rest of the league probably has as well. If the market dries up and you can get him for cheap - maybe worth a shot.
  17. naivin
    Completely agree -- I hope this is what happens, but I suspect Lou may try Howry in the 9th instead.
  18. naivin
    So you're saying you wouldn't have done it, but you would have done it. Good argument logic, this way you are always covered. No I clearly said I probably would not have done it, butr I don't really have a problem with it. Is that really difficult to understand? Reading comprehension is a skill. This I am interested in. What type of 'external factors' could go into a decision to enact a home/road starting pitching platoon? Again some reading comprehension ability would be helpful here, as I was quite clear what I thought some potential factors contributing to this decision could be -- (suppan, bullpen, potential/failed trades).
  19. naivin
    Well, who can argue with sound logic like that? Its probably not the route I would go, but at the same time I really don't have a problem with it. I think its a fine way to help define roles for two guys who are going to be part of the team, who haven't exactly set the world on fire over the course of their careers. I also believe there may be more 'external factors' (suppan, bullpen, potential/failed trades) going into it than simply how these guys perform at home or on the road. I actually do think the potential upside probably outwieghs the potential downside, and I also don't think it will see August 1st, so it is incredibly insignificant.
  20. naivin
    I didn't see either, but anyone know what his velocity has been? With 6BB, I assume his control wasn't good, but was he throwing his usual velocity?
  21. naivin
    Is McClung a better option on the road? Debateable, but possible. Is Bush a better option at home? The past couple seasons would seem to indicate the answer is almost undeniably yes. That to me is the biggest driver behind this, along with the miriad of issues regarding Jeff Suppan, the bullpen, trades that may or may not have been planned or made, which may provide plenty or reason to do this for a couple weeks. There may well be plenty we don't know about this. I'll ask those who are so opposed to this one more time, what do you expct the ultimate impact of this to be in terms of wins and losses?
  22. naivin
    I'd consider that a potentially disaterous idea. It may provide some uptick at the leadoff spot, but would create a giant hole after Braun and Fielder. Hart is far too valuable in that 5 spot and needs to stay there.
  23. naivin
    Well, if you think it is valid to compare sample sizes of a half of a season to 2.5 seasons for Dave Bush, I guess I agree. With the possible exception of Suppan, the numbers prior to this season for those guys don't appraoch the consistent delta for Bush.
  24. naivin
    Perhaps -- but this argument is saying Dave Bush pitched poorly in Park A, therefore he will pitch poorly in Park B. Does Bush pitch poorly in every park that is not Miller Park? -- Of course not. Of course not, but if you would be willing to an objective look at the other side of the coin, he has 2.5 years of pitching that says on the whole he does in fact perform somewhere around 2 runs better at Miller Park, then he does at others. You're chalking that up to what, coincidence? The argument is actualy saying that Dave Bush has pitched well in Park A (Miller Park) for 2.5 seasons, and therefore it is logical to assume that he may continue to do so.
  25. naivin
    Why would Bush be allowed to pitch out of the pen on the road? Well, lets see...he could be used in situations where his impact could theoretically be minimized...large leads, large deficits. You know, they way long releivers are used. How about as an alternative to Villanueva in those situations so that you can use him in more important spots. Or perhaps they can use him as an alternative to Gagne or Mota. It really doesn't. I'd find the idea of treating 20+ parks as one composite really silly. Perhaps its not about that, as much as it is about treating Miller Park as Miller Park - a place Dave Bush pitches better and far more consistently than he does elsewhere. ...making decisions like this based on small samples of data is a misuse. Two and a half seasons all telling the same story is a small sample? OK.
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