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keephopealive

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Everything posted by keephopealive

  1. People forget that Turang was projected as the number one pick, or at least high school prospect, before his senior year. The senior year was less impressive, so he fell a bit, but still the Brewers were delighted when they were able to draft him. A bit like Aaron Rodgers falling to the Packers late in the first round.
  2. My guess is that the development of Turang had some influence on this signing. Pratt has a lot of Turang in him: excellent glove, instinctive player, contact approach at the plate but some questions about his bat and especially power. (It's a bit like JJ as well.) Turang has clearly figured it out, and I think Pratt will as well.
  3. I'm curious who would've been rated higher at 19 if they were contemporaneous, Chourio or Made? Anybody have a sense?
  4. Geez, I sure hope Priester doesn't follow the path of Myers. In 2024, a 25-year old Myers joined the team in mid-April and had a breakout season, starting 25 games, going 9-6, and pitching 138 innings with a WHIP of 1.17 and a 3.00 ERA, which overperformed his FIP of 3.91. He started a playoff game and looked to be one of the sure things in the rotation the next year. Last spring he had an oblique injury that they thought would push him off until mid-April, and now he's a Met. In 2025, a 24-year old Priester joined the team in mid-April and had a breakout season, starting 24 games, going 13-3, and pitching 157 innings with WHIP of 1.24 and a 3.32 ERA, which overperformed his FIP of 4.01. He started a playoff game and looked to be one of the sure things in the rotation the next year. This spring he has an wrist injury that they think will push him off until mid-April...
  5. Thanks, Jake. Great stuff. I am curious. Who is the player with the outlier dark blue dot/anemic exit velocity?
  6. I think we start with Sanchez, but by end of May, Quero will be looking like a top prospect again, and Sanchez will be scuffling, and they'll call Quero up. Probably the same with Jett Williams.
  7. Drohan is 27 and hasn't even debuted in the Show. He could turn out like Trevor Megill. At age 27, he debuted in the Majors spending the year on the shuttle between AAA and the Cubs to the tune of a an 8.37 ERA with the Cubs and a 5.14 ERA in AAA. At age 28, he was with the Twins, where he had a 4.80 ERA with the Twins and 3.00 ERA at AAA. After an awful 12.03 ERA start to the season at AAA, the Brewers acquired him at age 29. The next year he was closing for us, and last year he was an All-Star. .
  8. Best case scenario is that Turang takes another jump, puts together his defense and base running from two years ago and his offense from the second half of last year. He would be about a 5.8 WAR player, which is a clear all-star probably a top 15 player. If he takes another offensive leap (he's gone up 12.6 RAR two years ago and 27.2 last year) he could be a 7 or 8 WAR player, which puts him in rarified air. That's Ohtani and Witt, Jr. level.
  9. I finally watched the documentary recently, and I really enjoyed it. That was a special season, and it's much more exciting when you're young.
  10. I think you must be 22 years old now, not in '82. I have never heard anyone refer to him as Bob Rodgers. He was always Buck Rodgers.
  11. I have trouble following this article, and I have a PhD in a quantitative field. I suspect the real advantage of flat swings is simpler: you stay in the hitting zone longer with less vertical movement, giving you a bigger window to make solid contact even when your timing is off. I suspect that fastballs come in at a flatter angle themselves, so it's not as important. Whereas with off speed pitches themselves come in at a steeper angle down, so you are already more likely to get a decent launch angle, even with a flat swing.
  12. I love me some Vaughn, and he's been great in the playoffs, but it's hard saying he's even with Freeman. Freeman is a perennial all-star, a former MVP, and had the big HR last year. Even this year, Freeman's OPS is equal to Vaughn's OPS as a Brewer (ignoring the time in AAA and the White Sox).
  13. How does the framing stat work? Is the run value situation specific, e.g., framing strike 3 on the third out with guys on 2nd and 3rd worth more than framing strike 1 with the bases empty? If it is, this could all just be small sample issues with monthly data.
  14. I love calling the field the Ueck. But as a complete side point on the lead in: Names are overwhelmingly not things we assign ourselves. Names are what other people call us. In a world of one, there would be no need for names, and until modern ages where we fill out countless forms and contracts, people had very little need to use their own name. We receive names from our parents, and as babies, others have a sense of who we are before we do. Even historically, this is the case. Last names are useful for other people to further distinguish who we are and so they are inherited. We either inherit a noble family name, or were described in reference to our parents (father), or in reference to our occupation. And the fact that different groups can call people different names attests to the concept as well: Nicknames are not something we assign ourselves, as George Costanza reminded us of in the T-Bone incident. The whole concept of names is consistent with calling the field the Ueck. The name of something is what people call it.
  15. Luis PenaJesus MadeCooper PrattLogan HendersonJeferson QueroBraylon PayneMarco DingesRobert GasserAndrew FischerBrock WilkenLuke AdamsBishop LetsonEric BitontiJosh AdamczewskiMike BoeveCraig YohoBrady EbelColeman CrowLuis LaraBlake Burke
  16. This is more a general rule than a bad thing... It would be a bad thing if our starters were worse than our backups. It would speak poorly of Murph.
  17. Clearly needs to give more time off to Contreras, if not putting him on the IL for a stretch and calling up Quero. William has not been the same player offensively this year, and the lack of power indicates the thumb is causing him issues.
  18. How does Quero look defensively this year? I'd be up for bringing him up for a month or so, let Contreras take some time off and heal.
  19. Of course, we didn't have all the statistics back then, but I don't ever remember people questioning Gantner and his lack of pop. Turang has hit more HRs than Gantner did at this point. Gantner peaked at 11 HRs and 4.3 bWAR in 1983 at age 30. Turang has already beaten that bWAR last year, with 4.7. He's a good player whether he improves or not. Let's accept him for who he is.
  20. I think Turnbow should be on the honorable mention list. His overall numbers weren't special, but he was the most exciting guy in the team in 2005. They would pump that Metallica, and his hair would be flying around. Pre-Hader, Turnbow was the long-haired guy.
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