I think the Cubs are the safe pick, but nothing more than that. The Brewers actually have more talent, but with it, they also have more questions to answer at this point. There's no telling what Sheets will do, and Gallardo, Villanueva and Parra are all very short on MLB experience, so the only Brewers' SP who's really projectable right now is Suppan. Right away you can see that Milwaukee's rotation could be outstanding, but when Soup is the only known quantity, you can't just give the Brewers the edge right now. The bullpen is the same way, on talent, the Brewers could be absolutely dominant, but there are lots of miles on most of the arms out there, and many of the roles are not yet clearly defined. It's fair to worry about Gagne at this point, and also Torres, Mota and Turnbow - that's one amazing batch of ability, but not one of those guys is coming off a complete season, so it's fair to question that part of the team right now. There is no doubt that Milwaukee has more power than Chicago, and I think it's on the Cubs to prove they can score with Milwaukee, the same way it's on the Brewers to show they can outpitch the Cubs. On talent and upside - Milwaukee. On projectability through this point - Chicago. I think the Cubs should be favored by 2-3 games right now, but the Brewers could absolutely win the division. Don't be surprised if both teams make the playoffs.