"Why I think the Brewers have a scheduling advantage over the Cubs" Brewers v Cubs: Remaining Schedules Head to Head - 10 games, 7 in Mil - Advantage Brewers - 70% of these are in Milwaukee - check the Cubs' road record vs the Brewers' home record. The run differential will show the Cubs with an advantage - but I don't buy it. We're 101 games in, and one team has one more victory than the other team. The Cubs may be more likely to blow a team out on any given day, but that has not made them more likely to take two out of three. VS Common Opponents St Louis - Brewers 3 games, Cubs 9 - Advantage Brewers New York - Brewers 3 games, Cubs 4 - Advantage Brewers (in addition, Brewers home - Cubs road) Phil. - 4 games each, Brewers road, Cubs home - Advantage Cubs Cincinnati - Brewers 9 games, Cubs 6 - Advantage Cubs Atlanta - 3 each, both road - No Advantage OK, this reaches the point where it become advantageous to play the remaining teams more often, because they are the weaker teams. I left the Reds where they are because I think they're going to be a very tough team to predict the rest of the way, and because the Brewers play 6 of their remaining 9 on the road, including one series with neither Sabathia nor Sheets. Pittsburgh - Brewers 9 games, Cubs 6 - Advantage Brewers Houston - Brewers 6 games, Cubs 9 - Advantage Cubs Washington - Brewers 4 games, Cubs 3 - Advantage Brewers REMAINING SCHEDULES: Florida - Brewers, 0 games, Cubs 7 games - Advantage Brewers Dodgers - Brewers 3, Cubs 0 - No Advantage - tough call, it's in LA, with no Sheets or Sabathia...but the Brewers are clearly the better team San Diego - Brewers 7 games, Cubs 0 games - Advantage Brewers The Cubs should have a much bigger lead in the division at this point - but they don't, and that has created an opportunity for Milwaukee. With just one game separating the two teams in the standings, the Cubs have three significant factors working against them. 1. The 7/3 home-road split for the Brewers in the head to head games. 2. Six additional games vs St Louis - the Cardinals are still a team with a .553 winning percentage. 3. Marlins - Padres. The Cubs have 7 with Florida, while the Brewers have 7 with the Padres. The difference here is simply enormous - for both teams, this represents one in nine of the remaining games, and the difference in winning percentage is .525 to .373 - 152 points! It shouldn't be so, the Cubs should be up by seven games in the division right now, but the fact is - the door is wide open for Milwaukee to win the NL Central. When I break all of this down, I think the Cubs may wind up having to root for the Reds, Dodgers and Padres to derail Milwaukee, while they deal with St Louis and Florida, in preparation for the season finish....in Milwaukee. Which side would you bet on?