Thanks Topper; the Braun stats are helpful although you still need more info to conclude how much a sacrifice increases the chances of scoring 1 run if Braun comes up next as compared to the overall 13% average. I wonder what the sample size is for innings with a guy on 2d and 0 out and no sac ahead of Braun vs. innings with a guy on 2d and 0 out and a sac ahead of Braun. And then you'd have to decide how to treat situations where the batter ahead of him is trying to advance the runner by hitting to the right side. Maybe that would be slicing and dicing too much. On the SF in the 9th of the 1st game, I guess I didn't focus on that b/c in the 9th down 3 that's a fail, not a productive run-scoring out (or hit). And even if you count it it makes him 1-3 on the year, not 1-2.