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And That

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Everything posted by And That

  1. And That
    I like Shields, I think he's arguably as good as Garza. However, if both were available for the same price, I'd rather have Garza just because it would give the Brewers two "power" guys in the rotation. Shields is pretty similar to Marcum - they both rely on their changeups and have reverse platoon splits (although Shields' split isn't as distinct), essentially allowing opposing teams to be predominately right-handed against the Brewers rotation. Differentiation has at least a little value. That said, if the price for Shields is distinctly lower than the price for Garza, go and get Shields.
  2. And That
    The best shot the Brewers have at Greinke is for everyone to balk from KC's demands and wait for the asking price to come down. Unfortunately, it just takes one team to overpay.
  3. And That
    I would guess they take the buyouts out of the 2011 budget because the buyout is attached to a salary they would have owed had they not bought the contract out. Then again, if they thought it likely they were going to do some or all of the buyouts at the end of the season, they could have built in the padding to the 2010 budget when the contracts were signed. In any event, $4M is not an insignificant percentage of payroll. And if it comes out of the 2011 budget, they have to assume they are at least pushing $75M in obligations. Not knowing what the budget limit is, I don't know how concerned I am about it. I doubt they have much more than $10-12M to spend.
  4. And That
    Buyouts, all per Cot's. Suppan - $2M Zaun - $250K Hoffman - $500K Davis - $1M Riske - $250K $4M in buyouts. Not sure if they budgeted for that in 2010, or if that comes out of the 2011 payroll. That's why I didn't add it in.
  5. And That
    +Fielder: $16M (est.) +Wolf: $9.5M +Hart: $6.833M +Braun: $4.287M +Hawkins: $4.25M +Weeks: $7M (est.) +Gallardo: $3.5M +Gomez: $1.5M (est.) +Marcum: $5M (est.) +Nieves: $775K +Loe: $2M (est.) +Parra: $1M (est.) +McGehee/Dickerson/Boggs/Narveson/Escobar/Axford/Braddock/Lucroy/Cruz/Cain/Egan/McClendon/Rogers: $450K avg +$3M for callups (this number is a little low, usually closer to $5M, IIRC) =$70,495,000 The salary info came from Cot's, which includes pro-rated signing bonuses. Like I mentioned, I was liberal with arbitration estimates, so the arbitration stuff might be a little high. However, since I don't include buyouts, was conservative with callup expense and didn't include split contract expense, I think it evens out. And of course, this doesn't include anyone not on the roster.
  6. And That
    Take it for what it's worth, but the guys at Brewer Nation tweeted that: Brewers/Rays still talking. Rays don't want to give up Garza for Brewers offer. Want Brewers to take James Shields instead.
  7. And That
    I don't have time to post the whole breakdown, but a few days ago I pegged our current obligations to be a bit over $70 million. This could be off $3 million or so either way. This is not including buyouts paid to Zaun and Suppan or any deferred money owed to Randy Wolf. It does include about $3 million held aside for players called up during the season and relatively liberal arbitration estimates.
  8. And That
    Doesn't xFIP normalize HRs based on the number of outfield fly balls a team's pitching staff gives up? That's why I chose it over FIP for the comparison.
  9. And That
    The Brewers might be waiting until spring training, when they can fully appreciate that they may a need an extra body at a certain position. If three 2B get hurt in the second week of February, for instance, I'd expect to see a filler 2B come over from Toronto. And if that doesn't happen, they might be able to select from a list that Toronto puts together.
  10. And That
    Would it be fair to say that if a team's xFIP is greater than their ERA, that their defense performed well (to some degree)? And then if a team's xFIP is less than their ERA, that their defense performed poorly (to some degree)?
  11. And That
    The interest in Maine may have been more distinct if Rick Peterson was still the pitching coach.
  12. And That
    If the competition for Garza really heats up, it might be smart for the Brewers to switch gears to James Shields. If they make a solid offer on him, the Rays might be tempted to deal him and keep Garza because I don't think they want to trade both. Shields is arguably as good as Garza, though he's coming off a down year. He's signed through next season with club options through 2014.
  13. And That
    The Brewers passed in the minor league phase of the Rule 5 draft, per Jim Breen. Not certain yet if any Brewers players were selected by other teams.
  14. And That
    The Brewers passed in the minor league phase of the Rule 5 draft, per Jim Breen. Not certain yet if any Brewers players were selected by other teams.
  15. And That
    Already being discussed here.
  16. And That
    ...and the Brewers strike back by taking RHP Patrcik Egan from the Orioles, per Haudricourt.
  17. And That
    ...and the Brewers strike back by taking RHP Patrcik Egan from the Orioles, per Haudricourt.
  18. And That
    The Orioles selected Adrian Rosario from the Brewers in the Major League portion of the Rule 5 draft, per McCalvy.
  19. And That
    The Orioles selected Adrian Rosario from the Brewers in the Major League portion of the Rule 5 draft, per McCalvy.
  20. And That
    I've never understood this argument. How exactly would this help him, or the Brewers, win more games? Yes he will not be facing DH's but he also will not have one providing him with run support either. Run support has little to no effect on pitching effectiveness. The lack of a DH in the NL makes the league more pitcher-friendly for all pitchers. In general, a pitcher will tend to have better results in the NL.
  21. And That
    Marcum can/has pitched at 90 and slightly above out of the pen. And his 2005 BA Prospect Handbook profile notes he threw between 87-92 during the 2004 season, as a starter.
  22. And That
    That might well be true this year. However, it's 2012 and 2013 I'm worried about with Pavano. One of our other CF prospects should be ready by 2012, anyway.
  23. And That
    The Brewers are fine with Narveson as the 5th guy, though they'll probably keep trying to bring back Capuano to challenge him. The Brewers also will have Rivas, Rodgers and Jeffress in AAA (if Jeffress is still starting).
  24. And That
    I don't think he's an ace, but I think he'd be better than every starting pitcher we have except Gallardo and possibly Marcum. I think he's a #2/#3 in the NL. And we'd have him for three years, that's the big thing that's attractive, at least to me.
  25. And That
    I'll go with Scott Diamond AND Ed Lucas. Then the Brewers will get Brad Emaus from the Blue Jays as the Villanueva PTNBL if he isn't taken.
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