The Brewers are in an enviable position with a large division lead, playing well and a highly regarded minor league system. As it currently stands, I think the Phillies, Dodgers and Braves are a level beyond us. While I feel we could likely win the division with our current roster, I hope the team is looking to improve the talent level on the team to give us a better shot to beat the aforementioned teams in the playoffs. My thoughts are to pick up players that are not just rentals to help this year and beyond, even if it means giving up quality prospects. It is also important that the players not have outrageous contracts to not handcuff us later.
The team has 5 picks in the top 100 of this draft so they can add more talent to the roster. They are also likely getting 3 first draft picks for the following draft. I don't have any desire to trade the top 2 players in the system. (Quero and Mis)
Trade #1 (Taken from Bleacher Report): Jesus Luzardo for Tyler Black, Luis Lara, Logan Henderson and Eric Bitonti
Why it makes sense: The team needs a front end starter and Luzardo has shown he can be that in years past. Luzardo has shown he is durable and can eat innings better than most of the starters we have now. He is controlled for this season and the next two. It is likely he will command around 10 million next season which works in our payroll constraints. The Marlins defense is ranked as below average so he should benefit from an excellent Brewers defense.
Why it doesn't make sense: Luzardo has not been quite as good in 2024 as past years. He also pitches in a pitcher's friendly ballpark with numbers that are quite a bit better at home vs away. Losing the four prospects would hurt and I am particually high on Henderson.
Trade #2 (Tried to use BTV for a baseline on value): Luis Robert Jr. for Sal Frelick, Abner Uribe, Mike Boeve, and Luke Adams
Why it makes sense: When healthy, Luis Robert is one of the best players in baseball. He is a power hitting outfielder with plus defense. He is on a team friendly contract until 2027. With his injuries, he can be had for a lower package than he would have in 2023.
Why it doesn't make sense: Injuries. He has missed a lot of games. He doesn't walk and relies on bat speed to be effective. If he loses that, it could get ugly. The trade package includes two major league pieces and a player that is vaulting up the prospect lists.
The Brewers deadline trades for mostly rentals have produced mixed results. Now is the time to take advantage of a good minor league system and improve the team with long term players. The minor league system would take a bit hit from these trades no doubt but we would still have our top 2 guys along with many promising players. Other than Adames, (Hoskins will very likely opt in) the lineup would be setup for the future. The top 3 of the rotation with Woodruff, Peralta and Luzardo would be a good start to 2025.