adambr2
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Everything posted by adambr2
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I don't think Stearns is irreplacable. But you are criticizing him for things I disagree with. . Aguilar hadn't shown this type of power and average to date. I don't know how much is Counsell, but I don't think anybody was too shocked that Braun and Thames received time at 1B, until Aguilar got his chance. If anything, I think Stearns should be credited in seeing that Aguilar needed to be kept on the 25 man roster and not traded just to clear a spot because we had too many 1B. Saying he hasn't shored up the starting pitching, when our staff has generally been pretty good and 75% of the free agents that were highly touted have been pretty bad - is a stretch. Chacin has been one of the very best signings of the offseason. I don't know if you will see a trade for a starting pitcher now either, as our staff is pretty decent (have to figure get down to two of Peralta/Miley/Suter and Davies truly healthy), so why trade for a guy that isn't a real upgrade? And there are not any real upgrades available (Mets) (Happ and Archer have not been good lately). Yeah I agree with this. Finding a way to somehow criticize Stearns for Aguilar seems quite odd to me. You'd think he'd get huge kudos for getting a player like that for free.
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You guys are underrating what Stearns has done here, IMO. He took a rebuilding team with a lousy farm over and turned it into a contender almost overnight with only one losing season as GM all the while turning the farm around as well. That's a little more valuable than one ace. Think of all the under the radar moves like Guerra and Jeffress that maybe someone other than Stearns misses. Thor obviously gives us the better shot for this year. Beyond that, hopefully you strike gold at GM again.
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I think they're pretty much passed that point now. If they wanted to try to get a better t time based offer, June would have been the time to get that done or at least early July. It's just down to an auction now. Maybe somebody blinks in the next 2 weeks, otherwise the O's just take the best value at the deadline.
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https://www.brewcrewball.com/2018/7/13/17568026/milwaukee-brewers-keston-hiura-is-a-top-5-prospect-in-baseball-according-to-baseball-prospectus Baseball Prospectus ranks Keston Hiura as the #5 prospect in baseball in their midseason update. He was the only Brewer in the top 50.
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One guy this bullpen is badly missing is Matt Albers. When he was healthy he was just as effective as most of his counterparts. He ate up quite a few innings and pretty much was the glue that kept us from ever having to turn toward guys like Lopez and Houser in critical innings. No coincidence the pen hasn't been as good as a whole without him.
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For the Dodgers there is also the matter of the luxury tax that they are determined to stay under. I don't know exactly how close they are to the limit but I know they don't have much breathing room. If they expect the Orioles to pick up most of the remaining 6-7M that Machado is owed this year I would certainly think the Orioles would require a reasonably better return than from someone like say the Brewers who should have no such need to ask the Orioles for money.
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That was anticlimactic.
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Good to see the 3B umpire has his own little personal assistant in Freese.
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No. Please don't put words in my mouth. That doesn't even make any sense. I was trying to say that you were saying that you NEVER play to win the game in front of you? Come on. That's a poor assumption. I said "continually" simply in response to your use of the same word. No, but OK. Ok. Thanks for letting me know what I was saying.
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Well you've got the guy you want coming up...
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No. Please don't put words in my mouth. That doesn't even make any sense. I was trying to say that you were saying that you NEVER play to win the game in front of you? Come on. That's a poor assumption. I said "continually" simply in response to your use of the same word.
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That's a straw-man and is definitely not what's being proposed. It's been stated pretty clearly that the context was today's game, not every game. If we hadn't had a rash of short starts and more games than days coming up, it might be a different argument. I literally just took the exact thing you said and basically turned it around and stated it the opposite way and you call it a straw-man.
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And I guess that I would argue that that mentality is why so many teams run out of gas at the end of the year. If you’re unable to see the forest for the trees, it could hurt you in the bigger picture. Baseball is a marathon, not a sprint. Sometimes you’re put in the crappy position of having to choose to pass on a race to finish the marathon. Let me clarify, when you're down 6-1 and have little chance anyway, do what you gotta do to get out of there and look toward tomorrow. There are situations where you're just playing it out. Pull your starters, put a position player in to pitch, whatever. But when you're playing a tie game in extras against a far inferior team? No. Absolutely not, you never concede that. You do what you have to do to try to come out with a win. They're backed up to their last option or two in the pen also. They are having doubts also. You play to win that game. Most playoff races come down to a game or two. That sounds like one you'll remember if you play it that way.
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I strongly disagree with that viewpoint. A season is 162 games. If you continually play to win the game in front of you, you are cutting off your nose to spite your face. If you continually ignore the game in front of you while looking down the road, you're going to have a pretty good handful of games after 162 that you look back and ask yourself, "What if?" when you end up missing the playoffs by 1 game.
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It's pretty sad how reliant this offense has become on Aguilar. If he doesn't do damage, neither does the offense. It's probably not a stretch to assume this would be one of the worst offenses in baseball if we had traded or released Jesus.
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True, can't assume that, just like you can't assume 1st and 3rd with 1 out with Thames coming up will result in runs.
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Yes, that was a bit of hyperbole but I'm guessing you understand the point. I guess we just agree to disagree but I think the evidence is pretty obvious that the current state of the starting pitching isn't a sustainable situation without exposing some less than optimal choices out of the bullpen in critical situations. Yes. This is my view exactly. I think they’re caught in the tough spot of needing to be sure the main guys are available and effective at the end of the year and throughout a series at the expense of having to let a couple of close games like last night go. IMO you always play to win the game in front of you. There are always moves you can make tomorrow. Worry about tomorrow tomorrow. Even if it means burning a starting pitcher in extras. I guess yesterday might have been the rare exception since tomorrow's starting pitcher was not even on the roster.
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And if Hauser needed to be pulled after looking poor in the 5th inning, instead of now? Who pitches then? It just pushes more guys into the fire. Or, you leave him in to get shelled, which means the one AB that people are up in arms about and started this discussion is meaningless anyway.... Asher, if the game got away. If not, everyone should be available tonight. There just isn't a need to use them now because we're going to lose. In part perhaps because we let Miley bat for himself with a scoring chance in the 5th and haven't come close since.
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Sure it does. Maybe Hauser successfully eats an inning or two. Maybe he doesn't. At some point, shuffling in your last men in the bullpen catches up with you... and you end up losing close games like last night. Do you think Counsell wants Lopez in the game in a situation last night's? Of course not.... but he had no choice. The focus is, and should be, on both the rest of the series and the rest of the season. These guys are eating a TON of innings. I'm sure getting as much as they can out of Miley or whomever was the goal tonight. Houser was always going to pitch tonight. Miley was coming off shorter rehab starts. The only variable was if Houser came in the fourth, fifth or sixth inning. Exactly. Why couldn't a PH have come in for Miley in the 5th, Houser pitches the 5th-7th, and then we can see where we're at for the 8th and 9th? How is that somehow worse than blowing a scoring chance just to squeeze one more inning out of Miley who wasn't pitching well anyway?
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What would you need to see to believe it's true? They don't have a farm system where they can continually call up a Josh Hader. Short starts yes, but I don't think anyone believes that continuous four inning starts are going to cut it. You will (and they are) wear out the bull pen pretty quickly with that philosophy. It hasn't been continuous 4 inning starts. This team is 9th in starter innings pitched in the NL. Very much middle of the pack. Too much is being made of this.
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This has the early look of a really ugly series heading into the break.
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I agree with all of this... The bullpen is starting to crack because they’re exhausted. I’m sure the value in the dugout is placed on SP innings at the expense of one AB. Exactly, particularly with the top of the order coming up. I really don't think any of this is very true. They're constantly rotating bullpen guys in and out by design. Hader has pitched twice in the entire month of July. Burnes has pitched once since his promotion. The design of this pitching staff is and will continue to be short starts and quick hooks and take advantage of a deep pen. If we can deep starts from guys like Anderson or Chacin, we'll welcome it, but forcing it isn't the answer. Sacrificing scoring opportunities to squeeze one more inning out of someone like Wade Miley isn't a good strategy.
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Damn.
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Thought he was rung up for sure.
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A starting pitcher has to go more than 4+ innings at some point this week. The limitations of this roster are being pushed right now and that is exposing the weaknesses. If they have first and third with one out and Thames and Cain coming to the plate, I expect a run. Well, you can expect a run, but the numbers will tell you it still has a very good chance chance, I believe around 44%, of not happening.