adambr2
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Everything posted by adambr2
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Angel have money on this game?
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You are an absolute piece of garbage, Hernandez. And people wonder why we want machines.
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Go play in traffic, Angel Hernandez.
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Which was really 3 Ks...
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I think we can give Pina some credit there too, great throw. Saw the jump and thought they had no chance to get him.
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Been a strike all night, and now not.
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All sounds great as long as you are a Marlins fan and not a Brewer fan.
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Agreed, thanks Joseph for the explanations. I do have to play devils' advocate here. Would this not give Yelich $140M in surplus value? 5 years of control at 4 WAR per, at 9.16 per WAR is 183.2M, minus his contract is about $140M. The chart seems a little too rigid to me. There obviously isn't $27M value difference between the 25th and 26th prospects. I'd prefer a mathematical formula where there's more staggering between each pick. The 1st and 10th best prospects obviously aren't worth the same either For instance, Brinson was on the 11-25/26-50 border when we traded for him, so I'd split the difference and call him $57M. Harrison would have been firmly in the 50-75 tier at 23M, Isan a top 10 organizational at $11.5 and Yamamoto a fringe at $2M+. That would only give the Marlins $93-$94M coming back in the Yelich deal compared to $140M for Yelich. I guess my point is that while this is interesting I'm just looking for some sort of real life comparable trade of this magnitude where this appeared to actually be used as a guideline.
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Good work Domingo!
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Gotta cash in the leadoff double...
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For all the love that Hader and Jeffress get, no one really seems to talk about how awesome Albers has been.
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Ughh..
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Machado is a better 3B than a SS to be sure, but he isn't a disaster at short.
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1. Christian Yelich (L) LF 2. Ji-Man Choi (L) 1B 3. Lorenzo Cain ® CF 4. Travis Shaw (L) 3B 5. Domingo Santana ® RF 6. Jonathan Villar (S) 2B 7. Manny Pina ® C 8. Orlando Arcia ® SS 9. Jhoulys Chacin ® Interesting lineup shakeup at the top.
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This. A trade in which the biggest asset you gave up is Martin Maldonado cannot pretty much by definition be defined as horrible. Maldonado is fine. He would have been a better backup than Bandy sure, but you'd still be looking to upgrade. The biggest factor in the deal was unloading a mediocre backup who was about to get more expensive in arbitration. Maldonado is making $4M from the Angel's, would you even want to give him that as a FA?
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As someone who has said I would understand the Brewers 'going for it' on someone like Machado if it brought a World Series to Milwaukee, I want to point out a few things: 1. - Gleyber Torres looks like he's going to be a star. 2. - Jorge Soler looks like a really high level young outfielder. 3 - The Cubs have currently nothing to show for these two as far as their roster goes. Torres was used purely for a rental. Soler did buy a year of Wade Davis but he's gone now. I understand they won the World Series in 2016 and you can't really quantify that against what they gave up. Still you can't help but wonder if they had held their ground on these two what the Central would look like now and if they'd be far and away the team to beat in the NL.
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Braun to 10 day DL (Latest: Choi recalled)
adambr2 replied to liveforoctober's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I have no interest in seeing Braun back off the DL, get plugged right back into the 3 spot and flail away for an 0fer as the offense puts up 1 run. I know that's probably unfair and I hope he can prove me wrong, but he should not be taking time away from Aguilar right now. I hope at the very least they work him in at the bottom of the order to begin with. -
Regarding Yelich, assuming he doesn’t have another DL stint this season I think these projections would be slightly higher, correct? He has played in 36 of the 48 games so far this season. If we assume he plays in the majority of the remaining games (lets say 110 of the 114 left) I believe his projected numbers would be 3.2 fWAR, 4.1 bWAR, 3.7 avg. Yeah, that's a fair point on Yelich. Had he not missed some time he'd probably be more in that 3.5 pace which is pretty much exactly what we expected, perhaps slightly on the low side. Cain and Shaw were pretty shocking to me to see. I realize Cain has been good, but his bWAR pace is worthy of MVP candidacy. I also thought on the surface that there's been some regression with Shaw which doesn't appear to be the case at all.
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Just for fun -- as we all know WAR isn't perfect but it's just fun to see where guys would end up at the end of the season if you extrapolate out their current performances. Cain - 5.1 fWAR, 7.8 bWAR, 6.5 avg Yelich - 2.7 fWAR, 3.4 bWAR, 3 avg Aguilar - 3.7 fWAR, 3 bWAR, 3.4 avg Shaw - 4.7 fWAR, 6.1 bWAR, 5.4 avg Santana - 0.3 fWAR, 2 bWAR, 1.1 avg Villar- 0.7 fWAR, 1.7 bWAR, 1.2 avg Arcia - (-0.3) fWAR, 2 bWAR, 0.8 avg Pina - 0 fWAR, (-0.3 bWAR), (-0.2) avg For good measure, a couple of relievers: Hader - 5.1 fWAR, 4.1 bWAR, 4.6 avg Jeffress - 3 fWAR, 5.1 bWAR, 4.1 avg
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I just don't think you have any realistic shot with this, it looks more like a Rent-A-Machado offer. Realmuto has nearly 3 years control remaining, isn't expensive, and is one of the best catchers in baseball. If he's less valuable than Yelich it isn't by much. Your offer doesn't contain a single top 100 prospect, so in order to have a chance with that you need a tremendously deep offer of 4 significantly valuable prospects. Lara and Nottingham just don't fit that description. Ray as a second or third piece is great, he's regained some value but is still a far cry from his post draft worth yet. Ortiz isn't even healthy. I think any acquiring team is going to have serious reservations by this point about putting any kind of strong valuation on Ortiz because of injury concerns. Brown is fine but he's just not a needle mover in this either. I love Freddy Peralta but you're not even wanting to include him -- if you can get Realmuto with Peralta and Ray as your headliners, I don't think you hesitate. I don't see it. I don't think an offer without at least one of Hiura and Burnes even gets the Marlins to the table.
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Haven't gotten to see the last few games so I can't speak to his body language. I guess that would be something open to individual interpretation. I'm sure it may seem like a leap to some to say that, but I would guess that many of us have said similar things about Santana over the last year or two.
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Starting our relief pitchers -- doing the Tampa shuffle
adambr2 replied to ebmackenzie's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I can see the merit. It's a good way to throw off an opposing lineup that has been designed to see a certain starter. I think this could work with Williams early against a righty heavy lineup or Jennings against a lefty heavy lineup. And you'd probably have an opportunity early on to PH for the pitcher if you had a scoring opportunity, basically giving you a DH for the first few innings. And naturally you could get deeper games out of your starters. With that said, I don't see the Brewers trying this in the near future. There's risk involved, especially when you're messing with what has already been an extremely successful approach with this pen. Tampa is in a much better position than us to be experimenting. And I think we're already being fairly innovative in the pen in our own ways with basically a 3 headed monster at closer of guys we feel comfortable bringing it at any time and in any situation. That's good enough for us right now. -
I've been saying this for weeks. Just so immature and I really question his dedication to his craft. He's not the future. Offensively, he is struggling hard. Defensively, he is one of the 5 best human beings on this planet to field his position. Your comment needs a clarification or it is silly. He doesn't think that Arcia is the Brewers' shortstop of the future. Seems like a pretty straightforward statement to me.
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Totally unfair to have someone like Corey Knebel as your 3rd option in the pen.
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I said this when we were in Arizona. I'm not watching tonight and don't know what their road unis look like, but the first time I saw their home unis I thought the player I was seeing was just sweating profusely on his back and shoulders.