I've always thought such deals for almost completely unproven players are really good deals for both the player and team. Take your Broxton example for instance. 6/$15M. Now if I'm Keon Broxton, how am I looking at this? 6 months ago I was laying in bed thinking about how to fix my swing, wondering if the next time I was sent down would be my last time ever in MLB. Now you just offered me enough money where I can live comfortably the rest of my life no matter what happens tomorrow. Sure, I risk losing out on millions, but no matter what, I'm set. Whereas if I bet on myself, maybe I'm never the same after the wrist injury, or my second half was a fluke, and in 6 more months I'm right back where I was. So if I'm Broxton, I'm taking the financial security now, but that's just me. As for the team, also a great deal. If he proves the 2nd half was no fluke, you've got a hell of a bargain player on your hands for most of the rest of his career. If he tanks, you're out 2.5M a year for 6 years, pocket change in MLB terms. The only caution I'd make about these kinds of investments is that you really need to be able to gauge the work ethic and character of the guy you're betting on. If he's the kind of guy you need to keep dangling the carrot out there every year for him to keep him motivated and improving, go year to year.