adambr2
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Everything posted by adambr2
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Thing is, they'll actually be very fortunate not to be 0-5 after tonight. Other than winning on opening day, they haven't even really been close.
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When do you plan on contributing something positive, Lucroy?
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Well, if we suck this year, take heart in June knowing that we also don't have a 1st round pick to help improve our future.
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I'm not sure if it's sadder that Yuniesky Betancourt is our first baseman, or Alex Gonzalez is our cleanup hitter.
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Wow, this team sure knows how to kill the early season excitement of a new season.
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Revamped rotation looks awesome so far.
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Don't get anybody out or anything, Fiers.
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I'm getting my expectations and hopes way too high for Segura. Kid looks awesome.
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I'll never understand why people hated Helms. He wasn't lazy, he wasn't a malcontent, he didn't badmouth Milwaukee. He was just one player among many who didn't live up to expectations. Its was like a mob mentality with Helms. A few people hated him and everyone just followed the crowd. If you want a former Brewer to hate who deserves it, hate Gary Sheffield.
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Couldn't see that last pitch coming at all.
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Luc is just killing us right now.
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Yuni walked?
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Would it kill you guys to get off to a fast start one of these years? It's not against the rules.
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It's really hard to have faith in baseball fans so much of the time. Twitter poll...what is the most important thing Kyle Lohse can provide for the Brewers? 52% - Leadership 39% - Innings 9% - Wins Cliche cliche cliche. What percentage of baseball fans buy into every regurgitated cliche spewed for years and year? If we just wanted someone to chew up innings and be a leader, we may as well have brought back Jeff Suppan for much, much less money. I don't care whatsoever about Lohse's clubhouse presence. I don't want an "inning eater". I want him to come into games, pitch really well, and have his pitching really well lead to wins. 9% think him winning games is the most important thing he can do. Next to "leadership" and "innings". Seriously?
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Yes, that is the rule of thumb and it appears to be followed fairly closely. It doesn't seem like we did, though. There is no way anyone could estimate Axford's FA value as a closer as $12.5M coming into this year, is there? Not after last year. $12.5M would put him higher than anyone other than Soriano.
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I'm still trying to figure out how he even got $5M. Isn't the general rule of thumb 40/60/80? As in 40% of market FA value your first arby year, 60% your second, etc. etc? $5M in his first arby year would put Axford's FA value at $12,500,000, which makes zero sense at all. I realize that 40/60/80 is not a hard and fast rule, but I thought it was at least a general guideline.
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I doubt he's going to go on Twitter tonight and tweet "I'm leaving my fastball up, I can't locate any other pitch, and therefore I'm essentially throwing BP."
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Now that we inexplicably paid $5M for a first year arby player who led the league in blown saves, we have to offer him at least $4M next year. It does not matter how bad he sucks this year, if we tender him, it can't be less than $4M. Of course, if he ends up being that bad, he probably won't be tendered at all.
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Somebody tell me again about what a screaming deal we got getting Axford back for $5M.
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Braun, Biogenesis and the Whole Crazy Thing
adambr2 replied to splitterpfj's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Good luck with that, MLB...you weren't able to suspend Braun when you had a hot drug test, I'm sure things will go great with the Union when you try doing it without one. Selig should be ashamed of himself. This has nothing to do with the integrity of baseball anymore, this is just an agenda. -
I'm not sold on Hunter Morris yet. We said the same things about Gamel at one point. Hart is a perennial 30 HR, .850 OPS guy. That's not easy to replace as some people seem to think. That's a big hole in the lineup especially if he walks after this year. I wouldn't go into 2014 expecting Gamel or Morris to duplicate those numbers. That said, I agree you can't break the bank for him, especially at 30. I wouldn't go over a 4 year deal.
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Thanks guys for the honest feedback. And thanks DHonks once again for your snide hyperbole, it's been missed. I don't mean to be doom and gloom on the team, I think we have a legitimate shot this year. I do have concerns about the weak farm system. I fully concur that Mark A. will always be willing to make whatever moves necessary in free agency to stay afloat -- but the payroll can't sustain FA replacements at every position once the core starts to age -- so we'll need some prospects sooner or later. Braun and Lucroy seem like the best values on the team at the moment. Lucroy looks like a steal of a deal -- he's slated to make $2M, $3M, $4M, and $5M in his arby years and first bought out year of free agency. Feels like robbery.
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I'm afraid we are a lot closer than we may realize, and I think it may begin in 2014. Here's why. 1. Aging players/bad contracts. Ramirez and Lohse are still important players to this team, but at 34 years old, this may very well be the last productive year we can expect. Either way, they make up $27M of our payroll next year. Braun is elite and a great value, but he's not enough. Him, Braun, Gallardo, and Weeks, the core of our team, will all be approaching the expensive years of their contracts. While they're still good values, the needed salary is going to chew up a lot of payroll. It's very fortunate that we locked Lucroy up when we did. 2. Poor farm system. We simply don't have the farm system to sustain all the losses that are forthcoming. It's likely that we'll lose Hart and Aoki to free agency, and Ramirez and Lohse to Father Time. These are significant players, with no near equal level replacements. We're going to have to pin our hopes that we have a lot of hits on the arms in our farm system, particularly when it comes time to replace Gallardo in the rotation. If we can't, I think 2013 might be our best shot for the forseeable future.
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If he continues to be a Cy Young caliber pitcher and post a sub 3.00 ERA for the next 2 years, obviously its a great signing. Its also obvious that the chances of that happening are very unlikely. It is entirely possible that Lohse goes 10-10 with a 4.40 ERA in 175 innings pitched. I just hope people are mentally prepared for that.
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You just know that the Cardinals are going to end up getting the next Albert friggen Pujols with the 17th overall pick this year.