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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. owbc
    That’s insane. I wonder how much we spend on pitching relative to other teams that are in the middle of the pack. Our bang for the buck is probably pretty high.
  2. owbc
    Pitching machine go brrrrrrrr + acquire superstar in brilliant trade heist every 5 years + role players all embody their feisty manager = success Edit: Sveum’s comment above about run prevention via defense probably belongs somewhere in this equation too
  3. owbc
    All of the above. Pace of play changes, expanded postseason, and marketable superstars (Judge, Ohtani) being the big ones.
  4. owbc
    I like the idea of being a 5-6 seed and going on the road for the wild card round. We all know the road wild card teams have been successful, the ones that have beaten us have landed in the NLCS or beyond lately. Getting another crack at the Mets as the underdog would be lovely.
  5. owbc
    We have a Jackson Chourio. At the end of the 2025 season he’ll still be younger than Carroll was on the day of his MLB debut!!!
  6. owbc
    It feels like the HR race will probably be Ohtani vs Judge by August but it’s fun to see a catcher on top for now. Also Corbin Carroll is good at baseball.
  7. owbc
    That was about as gift wrapped as they come. But you have to put the ball in play to make those things happen. Sal’s AB in the 10th was a thing of beauty.
  8. owbc
    I have a rash but my left torso and arm are on fire all over the place. I guess millennials under 50 are just on their own because we’re not eligible for the vaccine…
  9. owbc
    Shingles
  10. owbc
    Back in my day (LOL) there was a Facebook group called “UW easy class list” and I remember “Clap for Credit” was universally considered the easiest class at UW-Madison. Nobody is going to believe that story it’s so crazy haha. I also have this dream so I feel very bad for the student who is living our worst nightmare, but my dream is always involving a very difficult math class so there was never an easy way out.
  11. owbc
    It’s not that the market panics, it’s that the market is entirely driven by the short term. The current quarter and the next quarter and not much beyond that.
  12. owbc
    Id love to see OKC get eliminated by Denver. Get them real nice and desperate to make a trade.
  13. owbc
    Exactly, not to mention the financial incentives being highly stacked in favor of pre-arbitration value. That said, there was some benefit to the Melvin “all in” approach because we got some highly memorable seasons out of it, while our more conservative approach to consistent winning is yielding mostly pain in the first round of the playoffs. The biggest question in my head is how much of that is bad luck vs. how much is it caused by running guys out there with minimal experience into high leverage postseason games?
  14. owbc
    Tampa Bay and Milwaukee are indeed the high level mark for small markets in the current economic system. Nobody has figured out how to do any better than that with a bottom half payroll. Kansas City won a World Series but also had some god awful years. I absolutely agree that the economic system needs major reform. That’s a different topic than “Is our GM doing a bad job?”
  15. owbc
    Agree with those saying that we are right at national expectations and arguably overperforming given injuries. I also agree that some of the recent trades have been whiffs, which we can’t afford. I get being frustrated at the budget but I never see us pointing to other small market teams that we should try to emulate. Instead, everyone else is pointing at us. We’re the model that fans of other teams want to copy.
  16. owbc
    So many interesting trends in the standings this year. The NL is fully asserting itself as the dominant league. 4/6 division leaders did not win their divisions in 2024. Several 2024 playoff teams are in deep doo doo yet 18 teams at or above .500 thanks to the bad teams being really, really bad. And the Mariners are now an offensive powerhouse. Crazy.
  17. owbc
    That was either a good guess or the runner on 2B relayed the pitch.
  18. owbc
    Ortiz has one of the most brutal Savant pages that I’ve seen from a regular. And his 2024 was not great either. Combined with average-at-best defense, he’s gotta be running on a short leash if he doesn’t turn the page in May.
  19. owbc
    The market has been patient, it assumed no tariffs until Liberation Day, now it’s assuming trade deals will happen. To be fair that is probably a safe assumption, consumers are already getting upset over Temu import fees and we haven’t even seen the empty shelves yet which may force Trump’s hand. I’m bearish anyway, especially long. Tariffs are going to go up to some extent and the global economy will realign against us to some extent. Manufacturing will not return in any appreciable numbers (although I’m sure there will be cherry picked news stories). The immigration crackdown is going to cause labor costs to go up. I’m going to stick to my conservative strategy this year, the recent bump only makes me want to sell more.
  20. owbc
    Yeah it’s hard to disagree with any of this. At the end of the day they got the ‘ship and then made a bunch of failed desperation moves to get another and got nowhere close. Blow it up and start over.
  21. owbc
    Don’t forget, the Cubs were also 17-10 last year.
  22. owbc
    Somebody needs to field the damn ball. Terrible way to send that game down the drain.
  23. owbc
    They are good but not going to run away with it. Top-3 offense with below-average pitching is a recipe for a mid-season slump. Tucker and Suzuki are legit, but beyond that? Carson Kelly has a 321 OPS+, Michael Busch is playing out of his mind, and PCA is having a breakout at age 23. CC doesn't have the Brewers' pitching lab feeding him more quality arms...the offense will regress to ~10th in MLB, the pitching will remain below average, and it will take somewhere in the 87-89 win range to finish ahead of them.
  24. owbc
    He’s fun to watch but rough around the edges. I bet it is frustrating for Reds fans. I saw quite a bit of him against Seattle last week and his play was pretty brutal for the most part. Makes the spectacular play but botches routine ones. Lacks plate discipline. Common things with young guys but enough to keep him below superstar tier for now…
  25. owbc
    It’s pretty wild that the best strategy to lower interest rates would have been to do nothing.
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