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owbc

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Everything posted by owbc

  1. They can get quite a bit worse and still make the playoffs. Presumably the Reds will be a hot pick to win the Central in 2023 but that's far from certain and the wild cards will be sitting there for the taking. Building a team with an upper-80s win ceiling isn't the worst idea in the world, especially if it depends on someone like Chourio coming up and having an immediate impact similar to Julio Rodriguez and Corbin Carroll. I'm still in favor of trading Burnes, I think can make the playoffs anyway.
  2. This isn't a pretty situation. They shouldn't offer Woody arbitration if he isn't going to pitch in 2024. But it would suck to release someone of his caliber who is rehabbing. I agree with the idea to offer 2/25. The Brewers have some leverage here so it might not even take that much cash.
  3. Yeah we were well-positioned for another NLCS run if we had drawn the Marlins. Unfortunately I think the NLCS was probably our ceiling after Woodruff went out and the inevitability of running into either the Phillies or the D'backs in the NLCS.
  4. Most of the complaints sound like whining from the big markets. Out of the 4 teams in the LCS, the Diamondbacks are the only one that are a true surprise to anyone paying attention, and the Dodgers put up such a pathetic performance in the NLDS that nobody in their right mind would expect them to have won a series of any length against the Diamondbacks. They cobbled together a pitching rotation and then failed to score off Brandon Pfaadt. The thing about playing 162 games is that it's been a long, long time since April and May. If you ask the Texas Rangers, I bet they would say it's been a long, long time since their inexplicable collapse in August. And the two defending league champions advanced, both of which returned basically the same teams that won the pennant last year. On what planet is either of those two teams winning an upset???
  5. Congrats!
  6. I think they have changed their approach at the plate in the postseason.
  7. My main issue is that the quality of the postseason baseball is really, really bad this year. It's little more than home run derby and most of the games have been blowouts. Phillies/Braves game 2 is the only DS game that was any good. The Brewers/D-Backs wild card were actually pretty good as well, but not a single wild card series even made it to the third game. I don't even think juiced baseballs are to blame -- it's just the natural response to bullpen optimization. Nobody will ever be able to string hits together, so everybody waits for the one mistake pitch that they can hit for a home run. Occasionally somebody comes in who can't pitch and you get like 4-6 runs scored in a span of like 5 minutes, then nothing for the next 2+ hours. The solution to this is to deaden the baseball, but nobody is ever going to allow that to happen.
  8. Maybe we're just living in an Astros dynasty and everyone else is mediocre? They don't seem to have any problems with the postseason format. And they also seem to have figured out that regular season wins don't matter. Same for the Phillies perhaps. Didn't Castellanos admit last year that he doesn't try as hard in the regular season? It's increasingly likely that the World Series will be a rematch of last year. That doesn't seem like random luck.
  9. Thanks for the correction. We clearly would have had the advantage against the Dodgers although I doubt we could have matched this performance by Arizona.
  10. The Braves and Dodgers had a week to line up their rotations and this was the best they could do in game 4?
  11. There are no home field advantages in baseball. Except in Philadelphia apparently. 45,000 were all thinking the same thing and Harper delivered. Again.
  12. Then we would be giving him away to the competition for essentially nothing -- a straight up salary dump.
  13. The Boston Red Sox lead the AL East in October wins with 1.
  14. Rumors of the Astros' death have been greatly exaggerated.
  15. This isn't going to spread beyond what it currently is. Hamas did this to kill the Israel - Saudi peace deal. Israel will respond and then things will go back to the way they have been for seemingly forever. We already heavily support Israel so I don't know what can change there, presumably this will be used as an excuse to not fund Ukraine. I'm still waiting for the other shoe to drop on the US economy. I feel like I was too conservative in investing this year given that the S&P 500 is up 12% and it was only my retirement funds that really captured that. I only got the easy 4-5% in my short-term investments. However, I buy a decent amount of my company's stock and that is up 34% so overall I did fine. Curious how it's going for others -- what has worked and what hasn't this year?
  16. It was us in 2018. We had no business being one game from the World Series that year.
  17. The playoff field is never going to shrink, it’s only going to expand further if they make changes. Rangers over Orioles isn’t really an upset so I would argue the “favorites” are 3-3 so far. Too early to judge who will win the other series but does anyone actually want to see the other three higher seeds win besides their own fans? The easiest solution is to make the DS seven games.
  18. That first round bye is a disadvantage for everyone except the Astros who are apparently on another planet. The wild card winners are riding waves of momentum into the second round and five days off is an eternity for batters in particular.
  19. According to xwOBA we won the series, so I'm looking forward to our game tomorrow. (In other words, it was bad luck combined with some questionable managerial decisions)
  20. The roar of the crowd with the crack of the bat that immediately cuts to dead silence.
  21. Nothing will ever be as bad as how we went out in 2019 but it still freaking stinks. I'm not over it. I'll never take the run of success that we're having right now for granted, but part of the experience for me is chasing the joy that comes from postseason success and we came up empty. Taylor's line drive in game one could have been that moment until it wasn't. Rationally I know the silver linings are there and the future is bright but right now none of that really matters. This team didn't get it done and there's nothing else to do but try again next year.
  22. Yeah they will be right back here next year in the best-of-3 wild card with the pressure even higher because we apparently can’t win a postseason game anymore.
  23. The Brewers and Mariners are basically the same franchise. I need a third team to cheer for.
  24. Wow John Schneider is incredibly bad at managing in the postseason. This is the second straight year that he's made some very, very questionable pitching decisions.
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