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ClosetBrewerFan

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Everything posted by ClosetBrewerFan

  1. ClosetBrewerFan
    I'm still holding out hope that Mitchell starts in CF and Frelick in RF, with Taylor getting plenty of time as a backup at all three positions. I think this would be the best lineup starting on opening day. We'll see how they do in spring training, but I hope they force the issue.
  2. ClosetBrewerFan
    What made you select Oglivie higher than Jenkins? Seems like Jenkins has a slight edge if you consider WAR and bigger edge if you use OPS. Just curious what your reasoning is.
  3. ClosetBrewerFan
    Ahh, Spring training is right around the corner. Looking forward to the "I'm in the best condition of my career!" statements from players.
  4. ClosetBrewerFan
    If I had to predict the roster today, this is what I would go with as well. Except likely Brousseau over Toro/Miller. If they can find a taker for Huira, then Toro/Miller (maybe Turang) would battle for that last spot.
  5. ClosetBrewerFan
    Anderson is the guy I was hoping they would sign. A team option would have been nice but I'm very happy with this low risk signing. I think he likely starts at 3b, but I doubt he is guaranteed a job. I would expect his OPS to be closer to 750 rather than the what he did in the last two injury riddled years, assuming he stays healthy. If not, this is a low risk sign and we have additional depth (Turang). We had very little depth and were planning to rely on a lot of rookies. Anderson gives us some coverage at 3b and RF in case things dont go well as we hope.
  6. ClosetBrewerFan
    I knew Moore had good defense but this is another level. If he can continue to hit, he is going to skyrocket up our prospect lists.
  7. ClosetBrewerFan
    I'd add Tristan Lutz to the list. Probably his last shot to prove it with the Brewers since he will be a free agent after the season. His star has faded but he still has a shot as a 4th/5th OF that can mash LH pitching. Strong OF arm. He has value and could be useful to complement all the LH OFs this team has.
  8. ClosetBrewerFan
    I rarely click on player interviews because they usually tell you nothing. I'm glad Winker is excited to go to Milwaukee and he said all the right things, but wow, he did not really answer any of the questions. They spoke more about basketball than baseball.
  9. ClosetBrewerFan
    I understand the A's wanted a speedy OF, but its not like the Brewers other 4 ML ready OFs were slow. Chourio, Frelick, Weimer, and Mitchell all have great speed and above average defense. I think I would have traded any one of those guys for Contreras (Chuorio would have been tough) to get a already ML C who can hit like Contreras is rare. FWIW, MLB updated their top 30 prospects. Yeager did not slot (Castaneda slid into the top 30). A's prospects received are Muller (#5), Ruiz (6), Tarnok (11), Salinas (26). So that's quite the haul.
  10. ClosetBrewerFan
    One word, Wow. This is a really surprising trade and the fact Arnold got two additional pitchers back all for Ruiz is crazy. I think Payamps may have some limited value. He has some extreme reverse splits the last couple of years. But he gave up a lot of hits and had fairly low K rate, Yeager looks really intriguing but needs to get some control. But hard to complain we got both of them and Contreras for Ruiz!
  11. ClosetBrewerFan
    Wong also had $5M of last year's $7M salary deferred until 2023/2024. Not sure who is on the hook for that but that could be some potential cost savings if Seattle is picking that up. I think the Brewers did well here considering most of us expected they were just going to non-tender Wong. Based on that low bar, it would be hard to see the Brewers picking up a free agent of Winker's value for the $8M they saved. That does not include getting Toro as well. Trying to see a comp for Winker out of the existing free agents and the best I could find is Gallo. Could we pickup Gallo as a rebound candidate for a $8M 1year deal? Best prediction I could find is from the Athletic: 1yr, $13M
  12. ClosetBrewerFan
    I see this as a huge boom or bust trade, but still low risk. Winker was not good last year but was fantastic in Cincinnati. If he could rebound, he could be the best cleanup hitter we have had since Prince (at least vs RHs). If he repeats last year, its only for a 1 year deal and he was at least an average hitter last year (based on OPS+) He's probably just a platoon bat and should only play DH. I'd say he replaces Singleton on the roster (though he was unlikely to make it anyways). I compare Toro to Cam Devanney. Same age, both high OBP guys, but different path to the majors. Cam was still in college when Toro first made it to the majors. Toro had better numbers at a younger age than Cam. I'd give the edge defensively to Cam but Toro with a better potential bat. Still, Toro is a pretty good defensive 3b from what I can tell. Not exactly the blockbuster deal we are all waiting for, but this could be really meaningful if Winker rebounds. Winker in Am Fam field will be interesting to watch. This is the type of low risk, high reward type move the Brewers need to make. I think they still target a free agent 3b yet. And this trade opens up a spot for that. Someone like Longoria or Turner on a short term deal or maybe a hope for a rebound out of Anderson. Toro would likely block Turang in that case as the utility IF; At least in the beginning of the season.
  13. ClosetBrewerFan
    The Singleton selection is odd. He is out of options, so if he does not make the OD roster he will have to be outrighted. He has been outrighted before so he can refuse a minor league assignment and become a free agent. It just seems like he does not fit well on a team with Tellez, Yelich, and Hiura already on the roster as they all are better against RHs and play overlapping positions. IF he was a masher against LH pitchers he will fit perfectly as a platoon mate at 1b/LF/DH. Maybe this is an indication of some big shakeup on the roster. Just seems like this is a wasted roster spot.
  14. ClosetBrewerFan
    The Singleton selection is odd. He is out of options, so if he does not make the OD roster he will have to be outrighted. He has been outrighted before so he can refuse a minor league assignment and become a free agent. It just seems like he does not fit well on a team with Tellez, Yelich, and Hiura already on the roster as they all are better against RHs and play overlapping positions. IF he was a masher against LH pitchers he will fit perfectly as a platoon mate at 1b/LF/DH. Maybe this is an indication of some big shakeup on the roster. Just seems like this is a wasted roster spot.
  15. ClosetBrewerFan
    I agree that all of the names would be nice adds, but I think the Brewers will be closer to the dumpster in their free agent diving. Someone in the mold of Brett Anderson. A 1yr $5M contract in a prove it type year. A Ryan Yarbrough just got DFAd and would not cost much, but I think they could do better than that.
  16. ClosetBrewerFan
    I agree that all of the names would be nice adds, but I think the Brewers will be closer to the dumpster in their free agent diving. Someone in the mold of Brett Anderson. A 1yr $5M contract in a prove it type year. A Ryan Yarbrough just got DFAd and would not cost much, but I think they could do better than that.
  17. ClosetBrewerFan
    Singleton provides some insurance in case the Brewers find a taker for Tellez in order to reduce payroll. Other than that I think he is a AAAA type player. Who knows, maybe they strike gold with him, but I think its highly unlikely. I'm fairly confident Devanney will sneak through the draft but will be bummed if he gets picked. I see him as a solid Utility player as a floor with an average starting 3B at peak. That has a lot of value.
  18. ClosetBrewerFan
    Singleton provides some insurance in case the Brewers find a taker for Tellez in order to reduce payroll. Other than that I think he is a AAAA type player. Who knows, maybe they strike gold with him, but I think its highly unlikely. I'm fairly confident Devanney will sneak through the draft but will be bummed if he gets picked. I see him as a solid Utility player as a floor with an average starting 3B at peak. That has a lot of value.
  19. ClosetBrewerFan
    Its kind of amazing he was a decent defensive CF, considering his body type and lifestyle. He was a big guy with a big appetite. My memory thinks of him as a Vogelbach body type but looking at pictures from his prime, he was pretty sveldt. Interesting that he even played some infield in his early days. He never had a season with an OPS above 900, even with 45 home runs. But still was an incredibly productive player in his prime. He had a lot of rough seasons as well, which is reflected in his career 772 OPS. Thanks for the trip down memory lane!
  20. ClosetBrewerFan
    Its kind of amazing he was a decent defensive CF, considering his body type and lifestyle. He was a big guy with a big appetite. My memory thinks of him as a Vogelbach body type but looking at pictures from his prime, he was pretty sveldt. Interesting that he even played some infield in his early days. He never had a season with an OPS above 900, even with 45 home runs. But still was an incredibly productive player in his prime. He had a lot of rough seasons as well, which is reflected in his career 772 OPS. Thanks for the trip down memory lane!
  21. ClosetBrewerFan
    Should be noted that the Brewers will have at least five open spots to protect players, so the three that most people are suggesting should be no issue to protect. The roster is currently full at 40 with one man on the 60 day IL. They have five players who will be free agents and I expect they will decline Wong's club option but select Boxberger's very reasonable $3M club option. There are a couple non-tender candidates (Suter, Gustave) plus some players they could clear (Kelley, J.Davis, Topa) so there really is no reason to not at least protect three and possible one or two more. I think it will be just three as the Brewers like 40 man roster flexibility. If Frelick gets called up this year, I would expect he would take Davis's spot so that wont affect the rule 5 protection. Cant imagine Davis making it through the offseason with Frelick, Ruiz, Mitchell, and Wiemer all waiting in the wings to fill outfield spots. This is the most OF depth the Brewers have had as far as I can imagine (counting Chourio, Mendez, Hedbert, Avina, Castillo, Lutz, etc)
  22. ClosetBrewerFan
    Should be noted that the Brewers will have at least five open spots to protect players, so the three that most people are suggesting should be no issue to protect. The roster is currently full at 40 with one man on the 60 day IL. They have five players who will be free agents and I expect they will decline Wong's club option but select Boxberger's very reasonable $3M club option. There are a couple non-tender candidates (Suter, Gustave) plus some players they could clear (Kelley, J.Davis, Topa) so there really is no reason to not at least protect three and possible one or two more. I think it will be just three as the Brewers like 40 man roster flexibility. If Frelick gets called up this year, I would expect he would take Davis's spot so that wont affect the rule 5 protection. Cant imagine Davis making it through the offseason with Frelick, Ruiz, Mitchell, and Wiemer all waiting in the wings to fill outfield spots. This is the most OF depth the Brewers have had as far as I can imagine (counting Chourio, Mendez, Hedbert, Avina, Castillo, Lutz, etc)
  23. ClosetBrewerFan
    I agree with the three to protect as well as the other four as outside shots. Cam went from long shot to a near lock with his meteoric rise thru the system. I also think Erceg and Devanney have outside shots as well, though probably a bit lower than the four you mentioned. Devanney could fill a utility role with some team and Erceg's heater may be tempting for team to pick. Lutz has worked his way back into the conversation but still quite a longshot. His strikeout numbers are still too high.
  24. ClosetBrewerFan
    I agree with the three to protect as well as the other four as outside shots. Cam went from long shot to a near lock with his meteoric rise thru the system. I also think Erceg and Devanney have outside shots as well, though probably a bit lower than the four you mentioned. Devanney could fill a utility role with some team and Erceg's heater may be tempting for team to pick. Lutz has worked his way back into the conversation but still quite a longshot. His strikeout numbers are still too high.
  25. ClosetBrewerFan
    As said above, Reetz had an opt out clause which is why he was placed on the 40 man roster and then the poor performance at AAA is what got him off the roster. This makes a lot more sense now. They can still keep him if he clears waivers, which is what the Brewers were probably hoping for. Link from MLB trade rumors: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2022/08/brewers-designate-jakson-reetz-for-assignment.html As noted in the article, the Brewers now have only two healthy catchers on the 40 man roster (Narvaez and Jackson on the IL). I dont see that as a huge issue, They could add Severino back if they needed a backup before Narvaez is ready. The 40 man roster is getting pretty full though. There are fewer obvious candidates they could drop to make room for somebody.
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