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rluzinski

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Everything posted by rluzinski

  1. rluzinski
    Like it or not, Mench is still the best option in LF when a lefty is on the hill. Mench isn't going anywhere unless Melvin can acquire another right handed OF option.
  2. rluzinski
    Well, let me drop my pants here. Yep, as big as ever. I like the Sunset Wheat and the Shandy. Oh well. I like them as well, although I can't drink more than 1 or 2. I don't find them as grotesquely sweet as Berrywise, for whatever reason. I'll drink a Murphy's Irish Stout and follow it up with Sunset Wheat, so I guess I like everything.
  3. rluzinski
    Save rule or not, that's the exact time to bring in the closer. Want to give him margin of error in case he throws the first pitch or two fat and gets taken out. If you are going to use your closer when you have a 99% chance of winning, you won't have him when you actually need him.
  4. rluzinski
    It's an absolute joke that this is a save situation. The Brewers have a 99% win probability: LINK
  5. rluzinski
    A single? Braun had enough time to pause and even pump the ball once. Just a bad play. man, nice play there for Braun. The rule of thumb on plays like that is you'd rather throw it low and in the dirt, since then the 1b has a chance to dig it. Prince should have had that one. I agree that Prince should have had it but it appeared that the runner would have been safe anyway, no?
  6. rluzinski
    A good rule of thumb is that a lead off double or a runner at 3rd with 1 out both score about 2/3rds of the time. I kinda was hoping to see Capellan. Yeh, wasting Wise on a 4 run lead seems incredibly shortsighted, IMO. Still, a 2/3 chance of scoring the extra run isn't worth the tradeoff of avoiding our shaky bullpen with the starter at less than 80 pitches and cruising. The Brewers were up 5 to 1 at the time, so I have to agree. Using that chart I linked to, you can look at the run probabilities of each situation to better analyze the cost of Suppan sacrificing there.
  7. rluzinski
    Russ, I've come to trust your opinion, along with others here. I'm just curious as to when the turning point comes, the point at which this "experiment" has obviously failed? I really don't know but 60 games isn't really that long. I think it really depends on the specific player and Melvin is in a much better position to judge when to bail than I am. No stats to help me here!
  8. rluzinski
    I don't have the stats in front of me, but I'd strongly doubt that a run scores from 3rd with 1 out half the time. A team scores at least 1 run in that situation about 2/3rds of the time: LINK
  9. rluzinski
    If the Brewers hold on for the win and Houston beats the Cards, the Brewers will have a 7.5 game lead in the Central, with 4 teams tied for 2nd place. Of course, 2 of those teams are playing each other tomorrow, so the Brewers will have to win to hold onto that 7.5 game lead.
  10. rluzinski
    Eh...the Marlins would have just countered with a LOOGY anyway. I think you might need to reread my post http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif
  11. rluzinski
    After watching Weeks (2B) and Hall (SS) transform into decent defenders after it looked hopeless, I'm willing to give Melvin the benefit of the doubt.
  12. rluzinski
    And Mench shuts me up!
  13. rluzinski
    Bases loaded and 2 out against a righty... why isn't Jenkins pinch hitting for Mench? I'd rather Gross vs. a lefty than Mench vs. a righty ANY day. SIGH.
  14. rluzinski
    so close for hart!
  15. rluzinski
    This one? LINK
  16. rluzinski
    You didn't include your Halloween costume prize in income? Run, hide, the IRS is coming. I gave that to my sister. In return, I own my brother-in-law for a weekend for drywalling. Does that mean I have to pay income tax on the prize AND offer health insurance to my brother in law? http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/wink.gif
  17. rluzinski
    Sure Braun will hit, its just not likely to be soon. Which is why Yost's decision to bat him 3rd is pretty odd. Of course he also is sticking with Estrada 5th, so what are you going to do?
  18. rluzinski
    You don't just have to pay sales tax on a prize?
  19. rluzinski
    Very nice win. Much needed.
  20. rluzinski
    LUCKY!
  21. rluzinski
    but now that Billy got his big money, I dont think he's so eager to do that. Yeh, that's obviously it. Bill Hall just isn't trying anymore.
  22. rluzinski
    Hart having a monster game!
  23. rluzinski
    Do you think people might actually come to the realization that this team is in trouble What does that mean? The Brewers are a slightly above average team with a good starting lineup. The fact that they scored 3 runs in 6 IP against Obby is not surprising at all.
  24. rluzinski
    Unreal. This will be one frustrating loss if we do lose it. I bet Marlin fans are thinking the same thing.
  25. rluzinski
    everyone should complain about Hall and say he's anti-clutch. Just stating that I am no longer excited when his turn to hit comes around. Fair enough.
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