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fleehaw

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Everything posted by fleehaw

  1. fleehaw
    Per the JS blog, Davis will return for a game (didn't specify) vs. SF. Macha mentions he will be replacing someone in the rotation, so no 6-man rotation. If it's Parra, I may have to take a break from this team.
  2. fleehaw
    I thought it was essentially a foregone conclusion that Werth was gone next year and would not be re-signed? With long term deals all over that lineup, Brown ready to come up in the near future, I didn't think they were keen on giving Werth the 12-13 per he'd likely command. I was also under that impression that Werth would not be back. And it's likely he'll be a type A FA. I could see the Phillies acquiring Hart and decreasing (maybe alot) the amount of playing time for Ibanez. Let Werth leave, get the pick(s). The OF in 2011 would then be Ibanez, Victorino, & Hart giving them the luxury of having Brown in AAA for the whole year if they want. After 2011, they could let Hart walk and likely see type A compensation for him as well. I just don't know what the Brewers would receive in return if a deal like that was to go down.
  3. fleehaw
    Granted it's only 25 games, but Gamel has cut his K rate by 10 per 100 AB's over last year in AAA while his walk-rate has remained steady. He certainly isn't tearing the cover off the ball, but it looks like he could be making progress in some of his weaker areas. We'll see how he does the rest of the season. As far as the lineup goes, here's my fantasy take: CF Cain 3B Gamel LF Braun RF Joyce* 2B Lawrie 1B Anderson* C Lucroy SS Escobar Joyce & Wade Davis will be acquired From Tampa for Fielder plus. Anderson will be acquired from Boston for ? That leaves Hart & McGehee to be dealt for pitching/prospects. Warranted or not, I just get the sense that the power trio in the AL East are all going to make deals for their playoff run. Why not take advantage if it looks beneficial.
  4. fleehaw
    Ibanez is hitting poorly and Werth will be a FA after the year. I know they have Dominic Browne in the minors, but he's only in AA at the moment. Hart would provide a lift for them this year and allow them to ease Browne into the lineup next year. The question is, do the Phillies make a good trade partner? What players would make for a good return?
  5. fleehaw
    FS Wisconsin is terrible. There have been 'technical difficulities' for pretty much every televised game. And of course, I miss Macha finally showing some emotion and getting the boot. No breaks for the Brewers tonight.
  6. fleehaw
    I agree that McGehee could have a lot of value to certain teams. The Rays, in particular, are a good fit. Yes, in a vacuum, Fielder would make more sense for them. But, they are cutting costs and Fielder doesn't fit that mantra. Currently, they are a blackhole at 1b & DH, and very left-handed there to boot. A deadline deal similar to the following would be very beneficial to both clubs IMO. McGehee & Stetter for Niemann McGehee slots into one of the positions where the Rays are lacking. McGehee is inexpensive and I believe he & Niemann have the same amount of service in. Stetter is the sweetener considering the Rays LOOGY (Choate) is not having a lot of success. Stetter is also inexpensive and currently one of many lefties on the Brewers roster. A Gallardo/Niemann combo is a legitimate 1-2 punch. I'm not crazy about dealing a pre-arby player that's producing at a high level, but you are getting the same in return at a position of greater need. This would also open up the possibility of sending Fielder to the Rangers for Smoak if the Rangers would do that.
  7. fleehaw
    There was an article linked on MLBTR suggesting that the Rangers would/might part with Smoak if it put them over the top this year. What about Fielder for Smoak? It doesn't address the pitching, but 6 years of a top prospect for 1.5 of Fielder is intriguing.
  8. fleehaw
    Sorry to hijack the thread, but do you think the Rays would really part with Hellickson? I could see them possibly parting with him (and not also Jennings) if it was a deadline deal this season for Fielder. But given the Rays spending habits and their stated goal of payroll reduction, I could see either Garza or Shields dealt this offseason to open up a spot for Hellickson. Shields is signed to a team-friendly long term deal whereas I believe Garza is under control for 2 more seasons and I have no idea it's he's open to a long term deal but he's looking at a hefty raise in arbitration. I would be on board with a Fielder along with 1-2 pitching prospects of the Rays choice for either Shields or Garza. I would prefer Shields due to his contract status unless Garza would agree to an extension as part of the deal. I can't see many teams giving up 6 years of an advanced top pitching prospect for 1 to 1.5 years of Fielder. I could see a team dealing a good/very good pitcher with about the same amount of control for Fielder this offseason. Whatever happens with Fielder, I doubt it will be unprecedented.
  9. fleehaw
    One way to think about it is that the Brewers/Macha don't have any confidence in Parra. Another way is that they're keeping Parra stretched out somewhat behind-the-scenes to take over for Suppan if he falters (I was very tempted to put when instead of if). It seems plausible that the Brewers didn't like the idea of upping Narveson's IP to the extent it would be if he was in the rotation. I wouldn't mind it much if he is being groomed for Davis' spot next year (and potentially sooner) along with Parra taking over for Suppan any time now.
  10. fleehaw
    Parra is exactly the type of pitcher everyone was clamouring for in the offseason. A youngish, inexpensive, breakout candidate. I will be utterly shocked if he is traded especially when his competition Bush and Suppan with Davis as a 'lock' in the rotation. It would truly be a pound foolish move considering he, Gallardo, and Wolf are the only members of the rotation under contract next year.
  11. fleehaw
    Point taken, but I have Gerut penciled in as a regular.I hope only as a regular against RHP. He has not been good vs. lefties.
  12. fleehaw
    Baker signed a 4 year 15.25M deal that runs thru '13. He's due 3M in '10, 5M in '11, and 6.5M in '12. I think they can easily afford Baker and Slowey. They may have to make a decision between Slowey, Blackburn, and Liriano though in '11 or '12.
  13. fleehaw
    I'd do a Hart for McCarthy trade and concurrently ship Suppan to the D-backs for Byrnes. A Gerut/Byrnes platoon in RF could easily be better overall than Hart.
  14. fleehaw
    The Lee and Sabathia trades would indicate that's not necessarily the case.
  15. fleehaw
    Perhaps I'm in the minority, or the only one, but it's really hard to take anything you post seriously. You have a stated relationship with Salome, but that doesn't mean you can't have some objectivity in your posts. Many of them just gush about Salome without any real useful information in the progress he is supposed making. I apologize if I'm being rude, but instead of just opining superlatives regarding Salome, maybe you could give us actual updates since many of us Brewer fans are rooting for him and interested in his development.
  16. fleehaw
    I like Gamel quite a bit and think he should be starting at 3rd next season if he's not traded. However, I certainly would be fine in dealing him for a pitcher of Johnson's caliber. The Marlins are as right-handed as the Brewers, so I'd imagine they'd prefer Gamel to McGehee when all things considered.
  17. fleehaw
    Not to hijack the thread, but why is Parra included in many of these proposals? More than one person has suggested looking for youngish breakout pitching candidates and since he costs nothing to obtain, Parra may be the Brewers most attractive option to do so in 2010. While he may never fulfill what seems to be vast potential, he seems too inexpensive, and youngish to ship out. It would seem to go against everything a small market team should do.
  18. fleehaw
    CC says hi Yes, but it's one thing to offer a 'fair' contract offer with the knowledge that you'll be greatly outbid at near certainty versus negotiating an extension at that rate with a player you're attempting to trade for. Perhaps the Bruce should have said, 'I can't imagine a world where the Brewers sign a pitcher at $20 mil a year.'
  19. fleehaw
    What are people's feeling regarding Anibal Sanchez? He pitched pretty well at the end of the year. He's 26 and has had some serious injuries, but now appears to be healthy. Going by fangraphs, he doesn't seem to have lost any velocity on his pitches. Here are some career stats. Season Team K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 AVG WHIP BABIP LOB% FIP Total - - - 6.61 4.40 1.50 0.93 .254 1.45 .291 76.6 % 4.61 I would put him in the buy low category of young, cost-controlled pitchers possibly ready to 'break out'. I'd imagine he'd be worth a McGehee and that would be alright by me.
  20. fleehaw
    I can't imagine that Philadelphia would go for this. I understand they just let Pedro Feliz go, and McGehee would likely be an upgrade at 3rd for them, but they don't seem to be the type of team that would go with a relatively unproven player at 3B, when they are trying to reach their 3rd straight World Series next year. They also have a decent catcher in Ruiz, so I can't imagine they'd go with Salome over him, though he would definitely be valuable depth, if things don't work out. Braddock would help sweeten the deal for them, but the big kicker of this proposition is that there is no way they would downgrade from Hamels to Parra, even with the other decent talent you are suggesting be included.Funny, I wouldn't think Milwaukee would go for this. That is a large haul for 2 years of Hamels. Also, I think it'd be a big mistake to give up on Parra. IMO, you pencil him in at the back end of the rotation and see what he offers this year. If he fulfills his potential, he's exactly what the Brewers need, a good, young, cost-controlled pitcher and if he doesn't, you've given your most advanced pitching prospects (Butler, Rogers, etc.) half a more year to develop. The Brewers need to upgrade the Suppan/Looper part of the rotation rather than replace Parra with Hamels. I do agree with others that McGehee makes more sense than Gamel b/c he bats RH. The Phillies also need bullpen help and if I were them, I'd be asking for Coffey. Throw in a very good prospect and it may be enough. So, it would be McGehee, Coffey, and Rivas/Scarpetta/Braddock/Gindl/Salome...
  21. fleehaw
    I'd also throw Chris Snyder in the discussion. He's coming off back surgery (supposed to be healthy for ST), and blocked in ARI. His contract isn't pretty 2yrs/~$12M, but ARI might be interested in a swap of bad contracts (Suppan for Snyder).
  22. fleehaw
    I would much rather trade for Kawakami than sign Davis. They are the same age (34) and Kawakami could regress from his 2009 numbers and still be better than Davis. The Braves are rumored to want to move him or Lowe, so his price tag could be very little beyond picking up his remaining 2yrs at $6.67M per. Davis will most likely require more years and more money than that. Davis, Kawakami, Washburn...they really don't matter too much. It's the pitcher the Brewers need to acquire to pair at the top of the rotation with Gallardo is what matters the most.
  23. fleehaw
    But not all humans are built the same. Should Randy Johnson and Tim Lincecum have the same mechanics just because the mechanics are supposed optimal? Additionally, it would be interesting to know the numbers of pitchers analyzed that had no red/yellow flags yet still had injury issues. Or the number of pitchers that had these flags, but remained healthy. That said, it is an interesting pitching philosophy and it would be equally interesting to see how the Brewer's system/pitchers would take to such a philosophy.
  24. fleehaw
    I would like to see Escobar in the 2 hole and Weeks in the 5 hole. Escobar is lightening quick and doesn't strike out very often (makes good contact). In the 2 hole, he'd likely see a lot of good pitches to hit. His speed would also make it harder to double him up, plus put more pressure on the pitcher when he is on base and Braun and Fielder at the plate. IMO, Weeks would be an absolute terror in the 5 hole. A 3-6 of Braun, Fielder, Weeks, and Gamel is something I'd be very excited to see. To answer the question, I hope the leadoff hitter isn't on the Brewers roster yet. Fernando Perez and David Dejesus are two examples of guys I'd like to see in that role.
  25. fleehaw
    Kawakami, Gallardo, and Davis in 2009. K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 OAvt WHIP BABIP LOB% FIP 2009 Braves 6.04 3.28 1.84 0.86 .258 1.34 .291 73.3 % 4.21 2009 Brewers 9.89 4.56 2.17 1.02 .223 1.31 .288 77.9 % 3.97 2009 Dbacks 6.46 4.56 1.42 1.11 .261 1.50 .294 76.0 % 4.84 Kawakami certainly seems to be a better pitcher than Davis and isn't a far fall off of Gallardo's 2009 season. Granted, it's his first and only year in the majors, but he will cost less in salary going forward than Davis, and only require a 2 year commitment. His age is somewhat of a risk (same age as Davis), and there's a risk that Hart suddenly turns it on in ATL, but it's a calculated risk that doesn't break the bank. Even if Kawakami regresses off his 2009 stats, he'll still be a better pitcher than Davis.
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