There's no such thing as a can't miss prospect. If there was the Braves would have a rotation full of at minimum #3 starters. The Brewers would have Corey Ray in the outfield and they wouldn't have made the trade for Urias because Arcia would have shortstop locked down. That is true, but when a pitcher is drafted #7 overall, it would be considered a major failure if he were to not develop into an upper-rotation starter. I know, plenty have flamed out over the years. But unless Fried develops into a #2-#1-type, it's going to be very hard for him to meet expectations. Ian Anderson Riley Pint A.J. Puk Braxton Garrett Dillon Tate Tyler Jay Brady Aiken Tyler Kolek Carlos Rodon Aaron Nola Mark Appel Jon Gray Kohl Stewart Trey Ball Kevin Gausman Kyle Zimmer Max Fried Gerrit Cole Danny Hultzen Trevor Bauer Dylan Bundy Archie Bradley Jameson Taillon Drew Pomeranz Barret Loux Matt Harvey Stephen Strasburg Matt Hobgood Zack Wheeler Mike Minor Brian Matusz David Price Daniel Moskos Ross Detwiler Those are pitchers drafted between 1 and 7 between 2007 and 2016. How many of them turned into "upper-rotation starters?"