Halfway to the All Star Break Playoff Odds Risers & Fallers

[sveumrules]

Halfway to the All Star Break seems like a good time as any to see which teams have done the most (or the least) to improve their postseason chances through the first 30% or so of the season. Format is Team | preseason FanGraphs Playoff Odds | today FanGraphs Playoff Odds | difference.

NATIONAL LEAGUE

BIG GAINERS
PHI: 54.6% | 98.5% | +43.9%
MIL: 30.0% | 67.9% | +37.9%
CHC: 41.3% | 62.4% | +21.1%

ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE
SDP: 41.6% | 53.3% | +11.7%
LAD: 93.3% | 99.5% | +6.2%
ATL: 98.3% | 98.7% | +0.4%
WAS: 0.2% | 0.4% | +0.2%
COL: 0.0% | 0.0% | +/- 0.0%
PIT: 16.2% | 12.1% | -4.1%

BIG FALLERS
NYM: 29.9% | 17.0% | -12.9%
SFG: 43.4% | 28.5% | -14.9%
CIN: 23.1% | 8.0% | -15.1%
ARI: 51.2% | 33.8% | -17.4%
MIA: 28.8% | 0.3% | -28.5%
STL: 48.2% | 19.6% | -28.6%

AMERICAN LEAGUE

BIG GAINERS
KCR: 13.0% | 57.7% | +44.7%
BAL: 52.8% | 87.8% | +35.0%
CLE: 33.4% | 62.4% | +29.0%
NYY: 72.0% | 96.4% | +26.4%

ARE WHO WE THOUGHT THEY WERE
SEA: 60.1% | 67.6% | +7.5%
CHW: 0.5% | 0.0% | -0.5%
OAK: 2.5% | 0.2% | -2.3%
BOS: 22.9% | 19.3% | -3.6%
MIN: 65.3% | 56.8% | -8.5%
DET: 28.1% | 18.1% | -10.0%

BIG FALLERS
TEX: 37.9% | 23.6% | -14.3%
LAA: 16.8% | 1.8% | -15.0%
TBR: 59.6% | 37.9% | -21.7%
TOR: 49.0% | 18.0% | -31.0%
HOU: 85.9% | 52.5% | -33.4%

[Underachiever]

Any statistic that has STL at the bottom is a good stat.

[wiguy94]

Cardinals are playing some good baseball right now unfortunately. 2 innings away from being 7-2 since their series in Milwaukee and 2 innings away from sweeping the Orioles who haven't been swept in 2 years. Maybe they aren't quite dead yet.

[Frisbee Slider]

I most appreciate the computers thinking Colorado had absolutely zero chance to make the playoffs at the start of the year.

[sveumrules]

39 minutes ago, Frisbee Slider said:

I most appreciate the computers thinking Colorado had absolutely zero chance to make the playoffs at the start of the year.

Haha, that was definitely my favorite nugget when comparing the numbers.