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TooLiveBrew

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Everything posted by TooLiveBrew

  1. TooLiveBrew
    Good call on Houston, forgot they're moving to the AL West. That will be hard to get used to for me.
  2. TooLiveBrew
    I bet there's a strict "shirts tucked in" policy for THIS crew.
  3. TooLiveBrew
    I like that name. Since it's Florida (admittedly the wrong part of the state), can we go with Swamp Thing?
  4. TooLiveBrew
    Don't forget about A-Rod. I realize he wasn't dismissed, 3&2 wanted to talk about Pujols. But Rodriguez is at 629, and if he puts up 30 HR/season, he'd have the record in 2016, his age-40 season. Very plausible, especially if he can stick around as a DH & play into his 40s. Hell, if he can stay that healthy & productive, we won't be talking about him chasing Bonds, we'll be talking about him chasing #800.
  5. TooLiveBrew
    If you do decide to visit Portland (soon or later on), shoot me a PM for sure. I'm obviously no lifetime resident, but I'd love to help make sure you see the stuff you'd be interested to see
  6. TooLiveBrew
    The first team I think of in terms of 'taking care' of keeping other players signed & paid is the Cardinals. At the time of the Holliday extension, all the MLB-covering talking heads were spouting that without extending Holliday, the Cards had no shot at re-signing Pujols. That sure worked out for them. I get all the assumptions about how Greinke may be taking this signing (& others), but I definitely hope the reason this contract was tendered is because it's a good idea to keep Lucroy in the fold at a reasonable price. And, also, I get how that would/could impact Greinke's decision or situation, but I just hope Greinke wasn't used as anything close to a major reason why Luc was extended. It's hard to know, given the language used so far, if this is a 5-year extension counting this season, or if the extension starts after this season. Because you could be right, & that's the thinking I used when I said earlier in this thread that I was miffed the deal didn't buy out any FA seasons. Has anyone put out any specific numbers on when this extension starts & ends? EDIT: I should've read PrinceEatMeat's post # more closely. Per Ken Rosenthal, if Lucroy doesn't qualify for Super 2 status, the breakdown is So the deal basically buys out one year of FA if the Brewers still want Lucroy. If not, the buyout is pretty cheap. Fwiw, the Rosenthal piece PEM linked to also has numbers for the contract if Luc qualifies as a Super 2.
  7. TooLiveBrew
    This is retired MassHaas. I bow to greatness!
  8. TooLiveBrew
    Angel Stadium was 25th of 30 MLB parks in 2011, in terms of HRs. And beyond that, I have to imagine it's tougher on RHB HRs than LHB HRs, just given its outfield fence dimensions. It was 23d for HRs in 2010, then randomly 2d in 2009, and 17th in 2008. Hard to be sure, but given its dimensions & three of the past four seasons, it sure looks like a pretty HR-unfriendly park. On top of that, the AL West includes OAK, SEA, & TEX, and the first two teams also play in HR-unfriendly parks. I think the ballparks in which he'll be playing most will, overall, hurt his chances to run down #763. With all that said, though, Busch Stadium's HR PF ranks for the past four seasons are (oldest to most recent), 19th, 28th, 26th, & 27th. This is, without a doubt, one of the best power hitters & hitters of all-time. So the 'general rules' need to be either thrown out, or at least considered with a bit more scrutiny. I think he has a tangible shot at catching Hank & Barry, but if I were betting, I'd bet against it.
  9. TooLiveBrew
    I tried to see if you can sort by halves at FanGraphs, but you can't. So I looked at 2010 out of curiosity, again at least 600 inn. caught - rSB: 8/33 (part of a 4-way tie for 8th-best rSB... behind a 4-way tie for 4th-best) DRS: 13/33 (tied w. one player) CPP: 5/33 RPP: 11/33 (tied w. one player) Again, DRS isn't a good stat for catchers, but it's one of very few stats included for catchers at FanGraphs, so I used it here. So I think the broken pinkie finger in ST 2011 is probably a very relevant detail to include if we're attempting to rate him as a defender. I wish we had a way to explore catching defensive data by month, or by season halves, but I don't know that it's readily available.
  10. TooLiveBrew
    I don't have 2B-only data, but Lucroy was 28th of 30 catchers in 2011 MLB (link, min. 600 innings caught) in The Fielding Bible's Stolen Base Runs Saved (abbreviated as rSB). rSB "measures how many 'runs' a catcher contributes to their team by throwing out runners and preventing runners from attempting steals in the first place." In the same innings-played sample, Luc was 8th-worst in terms of Defensive Runs Saved (DRS), but FanGraphs notes that DRS isn't adequate alone for catchers, since they have very specific & unique skills/things asked of them. Lucroy was 3rd-best in terms of CPP (Calculated Passed Pitches), which attempts to project how many passed balls a catcher 'should' have allowed, based on pitches caught/seen. Strangely enough, he was 7th-worst (again, of C with at least 600 inn. caught in 2011) in RPP, Passed Pitch Runs, which, "calculates the number of runs above / below average a catcher is at blocking pitches." - Link to FanGraphs post explaining their catcher defense Lucroy is a decidely below-avg. defensive catcher (aside from framing pitches), which jives with the draft-day scouting reports that he was a bat-first type of catcher. Beyond that, it seems his quick release helps compensate for an arm that isn't particularly strong or accurate... although I'm of the belief that lack of arm strength leads to poor accuracy when a guy tries to throw a ball harder than he's really adequately capable of doing. So in short, I think he has an accurate arm overall, but not when he has to add some extra mustard to his throws.
  11. TooLiveBrew
    Lucroy's ability to get strikes called for his pitchers is undeniably valuable, but he's not a good hitter (yet), & his arm leaves a lot to be desired. I like the guy, but I'm not sure I see the need for this contract. The Brewers don't even get a year of free agency. EDIT: D'oh. One year of free agency. Nevermind on that part.
  12. TooLiveBrew
    I approve this message. Well done, sir.
  13. TooLiveBrew
    I agree on the aquarium wall. I just wish that was the gimmicky element of that stadium that was getting attention.
  14. TooLiveBrew
    I sincerely think this is the best possible explanation
  15. TooLiveBrew
    Agree on Lupe, Dmiles. I haven't had a chance to look yet at the whole menu, but not only do I think Lupe makes good music, he gives off the impression to me that he'd hold up well in live performance.
  16. TooLiveBrew
    Meh, I just made a bad joke. Don't sweat it.
  17. TooLiveBrew
    I just hope someone can find a bigger version of the screenshot
  18. TooLiveBrew
    Kentucky just recruits a bunch of one and dones; an all star team if you will Not to mention that Calipari has cheated in recruiting at all of his D1 jobs. Gee, I wonder if he's finally broken those habits...
  19. TooLiveBrew
    I'm guessing any contract discussions with Marcum went so badly (team & agent being super-far apart is my guess) that there's no point in hiding that he's not going to be re-signed. Maybe this can drum up trade interest in Marcum? Other than that, I have no idea.
  20. TooLiveBrew
    My uncle (KS native) calls Roy Williams "Deputy Daawwg" (think Kansas/great-plains-almost-southern accent). I can never un-hear that now.
  21. TooLiveBrew
    Chris Mehring is a machine. Chris, I know you read these forums occasionally, so nice work & keep it coming please!
  22. TooLiveBrew
    Wow, that's surprising, but I agree that the creativity is interesting to see. It's a bit surprising to me, since iirc Arias was getting a lot of time at 1B & DH last season, not exactly implying "live arm"
  23. TooLiveBrew
    Look at Grieve... what an obvious juicer
  24. TooLiveBrew
    That's actually a pretty good article, I have to give Jon Heyman some love there since I typically dismiss him as being a Boras stooge. Thanks for linking that, HBH.
  25. TooLiveBrew
    True, but he was playing with his 5-year old. They like to jump in bouncy castles and stuff. Joba often seems like a stooge, but I'll cut him some slack for playing with his kid. Principessa follows Joba on Twitter, and her first reaction to the injury was that it was a shame, because Joba is always tweeting about basically being an active, involved, & loving father to his son. Really unlucky injury, & I hope he can make it back... sounds like there's no given there.
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