All of the top pitchers seem to have extreme spikes in their performance in any given season. I remember reading someone on BF.net's forums (don't remember who) talk about how overrated Justin Verlander was, and not surprisingly that was after his 2008 season (4.84 ERA). Then, of course, there was Verlander 2011. After the Brewers traded for Greinke, I posted a comparison of several top SPs with Greinke, going just year to year with ERA. All of the other guys had extreme high & low seasons, and Greinke was one of the more consistent performers. Greinke got hurt, missed a lot of time, & had his routine thrown out of whack last season. So I can't say I'm too surprised he had an off-year. He's a tremendous athlete, and exactly the type of risk you should take if you decide to offer a long contract. The Prince & Greinke situations are really interesting to compare, to me. The super-athlete v. the guy who some think will eat himself out of the league, hitter v. pitcher, both about the same age, from the same region & competitors since they were kids. I'd guess Greinke is probably going to be a lot less expensive than Fielder was, but if he isn't, there's probably close to zero chance for the Brewers to re-sign him. If he is cheaper, then the comparison gets crazy. I'm not of the mind that position players have more value because SPs only go every 5th day, so to me the Brewers could theoretically be getting the more-impactful player for less than half of the money guaranteed to Fielder.