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TooLiveBrew

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Everything posted by TooLiveBrew

  1. TooLiveBrew
    Davis has been under a 4.50 ERA each of the past three seasons, even though his home park is a hitters' park. He's absolutely not a BP pitcher.
  2. TooLiveBrew
    Last I knew, Bedard wouldn't be ready for Opening Day. Has that changed?
  3. TooLiveBrew
    I'd often wondered why he wasn't a part of the staff, given all the good work he does in general -- but specifically in the Minor Leagues forum
  4. TooLiveBrew
    It's good to see that people haven't really soured on Salome. I guess I expected Arnett to be higher, but by this time next year I'd be willing to bet he's #1 on this list. I also think Kentrail Davis has a very good chance to rocket up this list after 2010.
  5. TooLiveBrew
    Oh crap.
  6. TooLiveBrew
    It seems like you are dismissing last years results (wins) in favor of statistics. Absolutely. One is helpful in constructing a team going forward, and the other isn't. So while I absolutely agree Wolf is an upgrade over Looper, I just don't think it's enough of an upgrade to call it a day. You are stating concern over the Brewers 'calling it a day'. I am not at this point.
  7. TooLiveBrew
    He's never going to have enough plate discipline to be a good player if he doesn't have power, and if his power only arrives when he swings at everything, he'll be out of the league before he's 30... think September 2008, where Corey looked more lost than any player I've ever seen in the majors. I think it's overly simplistic to say, 'Well, what if his power is only there when he has no plate discipline?' He won't be a good full-time player without discipline, power or not, so he needs to figure out how to develop patience without losing his pop. Do you really belong in MLB if you can't be at least moderately disciplined without being late all the time on fastballs? I'd much rather see Hart continue to take pitches & put his game together from there than go back to just having the green light to swing at anything he likes.
  8. TooLiveBrew
    I think Melvin made a nice first step in getting Wolf. It's not easy to get players of his caliber without having to trade away parts and/or prospects. I don't think he's done, so I really don't see the point in evaluating the team in January just so we can complain. You can look at stat after stat after stat, but the bottom line is wins and losses. Right, except that the stats you dismiss are what leads to wins & losses. Things like Looper getting a boatload of run support are not related to his own performance... but I know you're actually aware of that even though you continue to act like it's irrelevant. You are not going to win 11 extra games replacing Looper with Wolf This is not how it works. You gain wins by improving individual player performance, and that's exactly what bringing in Randy Wolf does.
  9. TooLiveBrew
    As bad as Looper pitched, the Brewers still went 20-14 in games he started. This was a bad argument when you brought it up a while ago, and it's even worse imo now that you're trying repeating it. Nevermind the extra stress Looper's crappy pitching put on the bullpen, right?
  10. TooLiveBrew
    Oh, I see. So we sign Duscherer, who didn't realistically appear to be on the market... hope he is fully recovered after only managing 11 IP in 2009 (after only 141.2 in 2008)... and take the high 3's or low 4's FIP type production for one season in a best-case scenario. And then are priced out of retaining him beyond one season & then play the 'find the diamond in the rough!' game all over again next offseason. Or we sign Wolf, who's been able to turn in two consecutive full seasons heading into 2010, sign him to a reasonable deal, and get high 3's to low 4's FIP production without having to find the diamond in the rough again next season. *bangs head*
  11. TooLiveBrew
    On offense, he's an enigma, but he's really starting to look like the pitchers figured him out and he's having a hard time getting in any type of rhythm. His walk rate was greatly improved last season, and he wound up being hampered by an incredibly fluky injury (emergency appendectomy). I think it's way too easy & early to just say, 'Pitchers have figured him out', when Corey actually showed signs of figuring opposing pitchers out in 2009 with his increased BB rate.
  12. TooLiveBrew
    Is this kind of equivalent to signing a hard-throwing 2d or 3d-round draft pick to a $30M contract?
  13. TooLiveBrew
    Ack, yeah... duh. Got my eyes crosses up while copying those numbers from his baseball-reference page. The .776 was his OPS against LHP last year.
  14. TooLiveBrew
    Even with all the different bits of strategy that can play into things, statistically, iirc it is almost absolutely never a good idea to walk any hitter. The top-flight, best hitters in the game are still retired roughly 60% of the time.
  15. TooLiveBrew
    Damon had a tremendous 2009, but I'm very skeptical he can repeat that level of production in 2010. Perhaps the only situation in which he might pull of that feat would be playing half his games at Yankee Stadium, which isn't going to happen. I think if Brian Cashman felt that it was a good bet Damon would repeat his 2009 numbers, he wouldn't have cut off negotiations when Damon/Boras demanded of 2 yrs./$20M after Cash offered Damon 2/~$15M. Imo the two parties would've agreed on something around 2/$17M. Home/Road 2009 splits: H: .279/.382/.533/.915 R: .284/.349/.446/.795 The road line essentially looks like something Corey Hart could very reasonably do next year, and given Hart's age & price (along with Damon's), I would -- personally -- rather play the Hart bet than the Damon bet.
  16. TooLiveBrew
    I've wondered about that too, ccbrew. Kinda reminds me of the impenetrable fortress that Lambeau Field was, once upon a time. And just like the Packers, I don't think it's the venue so much as it is the quality put forth on the playing surface. Entering this season, Ryan's winning percentage away from home was .537 (73-63), and of course most are familiar with the staggering split ccbrew is referencing: .923 (120-10) at home. Before this season, the home record against Big Ten teams was 61-5, so it's not simply a matter of playing weak opponents at the Kohl Center to pad the stats. What I wonder is... 1) Perhaps the Kohl Center *is* appreciably louder & more difficult in which to play than most teams' home venues, 2) Maybe the home court advantage is more pronounced in college basketball than other sports (?), 3) A combination of #s 1, 2, & the consistently talented rosters Ryan assembles makes winning at the Kohl Center remarkably difficult to do. At Div. III UW-Platteville, Ryan established an absolutely remarkable standard of excellence, winning at a clip of .823 over 429 regular season games. This included 4 national championships in 15 seasons, and heading into the 2009-'10 season, only UNC's Roy Williams had a better career winning percentage than Ryan. So I guess my final question is: Is this a case of Ryan & his teams having some kind of magical ability at home that they lose on the road, or is it more likely the result of a very successful program displaying some extreme splits in a small sampling of games? Is 130 games a large sample? Small sample?
  17. TooLiveBrew
    I agree with your assessment on the depth next season, but Taylor is definitely much better than your typical "backup guard". He's a starter for the vast majority of teams in Div. 1 ... he just happens to play behind a strong candidate for the Big Ten POtY & the Naismith Award. I think he's going to do very well as a starter next season, but like you say -- this year is obviously 'the year' Apologies if I belabored the point you were making.
  18. TooLiveBrew
    Agreed, monty. I think, in this case, the player option was in lieu of guaranteeing Beltre a second season.
  19. TooLiveBrew
    Yes, Duke was #5 2 wins over top 10 teams now for the Badgers. Both at the Kohl center obviously, but they won with Leuer playing his worst game of the year. Hughes wasn't exactly on fire, either. I thought Bucky's fantastic depth once again proved invaluable.
  20. TooLiveBrew
    So who do you propose the Brewers should have signed to match the talent we got in Wolf? The reality of the FA market is overpaying, whether it be for 3 years of a quality SP in Randy Wolf, or for one year of so-so guys like Myers. I'd rather get the better talent, and I think Melvin did a good job of getting the most talented player the Brewers could realistically afford (as in, not Lackey)
  21. TooLiveBrew
    Another deal that makes it look like the Brewers jumped the gun on Wolf. I don't even know what to say, except that this couldn't be more untrue.
  22. TooLiveBrew
    Maybe his slow start in Oakland is just him not playing half his games at Coors, or not having the .374 BABIP he did in the second half of 2009. I'm surprised you're small-sampling it up here. EDIT: Not sure how Bay's .904 road OPS from 2009 isn't legit. He was very good at the plate last year.
  23. TooLiveBrew
    Dayton Moore wants that job in Houston once Ed Wade is fired
  24. TooLiveBrew
    I agree on the MLB.tv picture quality. I've had the Extra Innings package the past two seasons, and will definitely go with MLB.tv this coming season instead.
  25. TooLiveBrew
    And within that article Ennder linked (fwiw), there's this organizational ranking from 3/27/09 that has the Brewers as 6th out of the 30 MLB clubs. If you follow the team-specific ranking, they give the Brewers' front office an A- grade.
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