last time I checked MLB is still deciding who makes the playoffs by W and L. That's a tired line. Rluz tries to post some insightful stuff here, and routinely gets greeted with criticism. It's like there are some people that think objective analysis is people being ridiculous about the Brewers (not pointing just at you, ELCABALLO). Some posters here appear to take great joy in seeing projections fail. They're projections. All you can do in baseball (imho) is try to target certain ranges into which teams/players fall. For example, it's unwise to say, "Prince Fielder is a 50 HR hitter". Instead, I'd describe him as someone that will hit in the 35-60 HR range in any given season. Same with teams. All you can say about the Cubs is that they have the talent to win 85-95 games in 2008, and to get more precise than that imo is where people who know their way around the numbers better (like Russ) come in. No, Run Differential doesn't decide the outcomes, but you'd think someone providing the great resources that rluz does would be greeted with a bit more appreciation. These are two guys that other teams had really never seen before. Is it possible that opposing teams now have scouting reports on them and have made adjustments? I like the observation, rotoherb. That's very likely the case, though fluctuation from month to month is common. It could be scouting (I think that's played a big role), or it could be that they just randomly have fluctuated in a manner that appears to show decline. I hope it's the scouting. http://forum.brewerfan.net/images/smilies/smile.gif Something else that needs to be watched is what's going on with Carlos Marmol. The over-use of Marmol has been talked about at Brewerfan's forums for a while now. It's interesting to see some results that might fall in line with that. Guess we'll see in the second half.