there would have been a huge hole in the pen when Villanueva moved to the rotation, if you figured Thatcher would have pitched closer to whats expected of a rookie. Well, I think in terms of a balance or 'cost' analysis, given what we got from Linebrink & what we gave up, it was a very bad trade. Even if Thatcher didn't pitch as well as he did with SD, getting those 25 innings from him at average production without having to part with our most advanced pitching prospect this side of Parra would have been extremely valuable. Now this season if we lose a player for a full season, and feel that we need to add from outside the org., the trading chips we have are either way too important to the team's future (LaPorta, Parra), or very far away from proving they can fulfill even a part of their ceilings (Jeffress, Salome, etc.). In the end, all we will lose in this deal is our newly drafted prospects will be a couple of years behind Garrison and Inman. But that's assuming the players selected even live up to what Will & Steve have done thus far. No matter how great the scouting director/system, there are always variables at play that are totally out of anyone's control. It sounds dumb I suppose, but I usually pair them up in mind That's not dumb at all -- it really helps temper expectations. In fact, I wonder how accurate a 50% success rate is in terms of higher-ceiling pitchers... can't be that far off.