So as I and other have said his numbers right now can be almost exclusively explained by the fact that he had a bad start to the season (which will even out) and has a very low BABIP, he is unlucky (which will also even out) I agree for the most part. Things will not really even out though. Whatever we though Hardy would hit at the start of the season, he isn't likely to reach those stats by the end of the season. He may meet those numbers from this point forward though. That is what I would expect or a little worse. I think we have to adjust our expectations down a little. Not much though. My guess is that his BABIP is likely to end up around .270. He looks like a lower BABIP guy. Even if he had a .306 BABIP from here out, he would only pull his BABIP up to about .280. In my opinion what is important is what Hardy does from here out. The best way to guess what that will be is looking at his 2006-2008 stats or a preseason projection and making a small adjustment down. What he has done this year so far should really only affect our expectations for the rest of the year. Hardy "gets a pass" because unlike most of the other players mentioned, he was pretty good in 2008. I am not sure I would like to see Hardy signed long term. He is likely to cost quite a bit and I think he will have either back or shoulder problems in the next few years. A nagging shoulder problem would explain the lack of power. It seems pretty similar to last year when he came out of spring training with a shoulder problem and the flu.