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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. That is as much a function of turning 40 as it is the 20 lbs you've gained, particularly the energy and stamina. For me it was ~38. I'm about 10-15 lbs lighter than when I was 38, and my energy and stamina are definitely lower than when I was 38. There's a reason even the most elite athletes retire in their late 30's. The body just can't do what it used to, particularly recovery and energy.
  2. Chacin averaged 5.5 IP/start. 192.2 (i.e., 192.66666667) IP on the season over 35 starts and no relief appearances = 5.5 IP/start. https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/MIL/2018.shtml
  3. Or you can go to baseball-reference.com, and not do any math: https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/NL/2018-starter-pitching.shtml
  4. Teetering back into more of the objectivity side from the subjectivity side, let's break down the math on IP a little. There was a comment a while back about the current starters not being able to go more than 180IP. By doing the math, I don't think they need to. There are 162 games in a season. With five starting spots, that means each starting spot averages 32-33 starts per season. If they average 5.2 IP per start (important - not 5 2/3rds IP, i.e. 5 innings and 2 outs, but 5 and 2/10ths IP, or 5 innings and less than one out), for 33 starts that's ~172 innings over the course of the season. And that's exactly what the Brewers averaged per start last year - 5.2 IP. That includes the early hooks/bullpen games in September, so prior to September the average IP per start was higher than 5.2 IP. If it was 5.4 IP, for 33 starts you get ~178 IP over the course of the season; for 5.5 IP it's ~182 innings. Since seasons have ~20 off days and the All-Star break, most teams that have significantly better #1/#2 starters than #4/#5 starters will use the off days to give their #1/#2 starters more starts - they'll get ~36 starts, and averaging 5.5 IP/start yields 198 IP. However, it could be argued that this year the Brewers #4/#5 starters (Davies, Anderson, Woodruff, Peralta) aren't significantly worse than their #1/#2 starters (Chacin, Nelson, Burnes), thus the off days will likely be used to give extra rest and the starts will be spread more evenly. Add this to more multi-inning relievers (Guerra, Houser, Woodruff if he isn't starting, Hader) and expanded rosters in September, and they really don't need anyone to go more than 180 IP in a season. Not this season at least.
  5. https://madison.com/wsj/news/local/crime-and-courts/late-arriving-evidence-delays-quintez-cephus-trial/article_0f7aaa0a-07d7-5716-9ea6-915c016966ce.html Cephus' trial was set to begin this week, but "late arriving evidence" - the alleged victim's cell phone records, which were sent to the judge for initial review - caused the judge to allow the trial to be delayed while the defense is allowed to inspect certain aspects of the records (detailed billing records, but apparently not content). Initially the judge cited the alleged victim's right to privacy as a reason for not allowing the cell phone records to be evidence, but apparently the judge changed his mind after reviewing them. The other interesting thing is that apparently Danny Davis and one other player are on the prosecution's witness list, and another player (possibly A.J. Taylor) is on the defense's witness list. I had wondered how much of a distraction this was for the team last year, and if you have players as both prosecution and defense witnesses... that could cause issues. Regardless of the outcome, I would be willing to bet that Cephus has played his last game as a Badger. Between the court of public opinion and suing the university, I doubt they let him play again.
  6. Two of the last three years he's had a sub-.900 OPS. That's just not worth $40M/year.
  7. Middleton 4-17, Lopez 4-12, Brogdon 4-18, Wilson 2-8. Those four plus Connaughton a combined 1-24 from 3. Highly unlikely that happens again. Just one of those games.
  8. Since it's a minor league deal, no.
  9. I wondered why Robinson finished 20th in the MVP voting in 1960. Maybe that fight had something to do with it. He had the highest OPS in the league. I get that the Pirates won the World Series, but how Dick Groat and Don Hoak finished 1/2 and got 21 of the 22 first place votes I'll never know. Batting average was pretty back then, but Hoak didn't have it. Matthews and Aaron had great seasons and finished 10th/11th. Weird year.
  10. Had my annual review at work today. After doing a few repairs in the garage, I took my jacket off at around 4:50pm. First 16oz Tito's and water was finished by 5:11pm. Second one done by 5:35pm.
  11. Deflate-gate... video-gate... behavior is repetitive.
  12. The company I work for says they have "360" reviews. But I was not asked to provide feedback on anyone I worked with last year, and in the over two years I've been there (two annual reviews, two mid-year reviews) I've only been asked to provide feedback on a total of two people, and neither of them are my boss. (For reference, on average about 10 people are asked to provide feedback on me.)
  13. You had to mention that didn't you... can you imagine Davis in the middle of that lineup last year? 48 HRs with half of his games in Oakland (and a bunch in Seattle, San Francisco, etc.). Put that in Miller park for 81 games, and another big RH bat against Chicago's (and LA's) lefties...
  14. Negotiations 101 - ask for more than you are willing to accept. They know that NL teams are not in position to adopt the DH in 2019. And they also know that there are some free agents still out there (Harper, Moustakas, etc.) who this could create demand for indirectly (move someone else to DH after signing these guys). I like the idea of a limit on the number of plate appearances per DH. Keeps an element of strategy and defensive value.
  15. Based on the score of that game, and that history tends to repeat itself, I'm wondering if that D is enhanced by some strategically placed video cameras during the week.
  16. Thanks for the responses. It's actually a dealership that is selling the vehicle, and that dealership has a 4.8-star rating with 199 reviews on Cars.com. The CarFax report says collision damage reported on 1/5/17, insurance company declared a total loss. Two maintenance inspections were completed at a Lexus dealership after that (4/18/17 and 11/6/17). But then it says Flood Damage title issued 1/26/18. I doubt there would be a flood in Indiana in January though. On top of that there have been three recall notices for different things (two in 2016, one in 2018) so I think I'm going to steer clear and look for a Lexus Certified.
  17. What are the implications of buying a late-model vehicle (2016) with a rebuilt title? What questions should I ask, what should I be aware of, what are the risks?
  18. Exactly. To do what they did, and withstand the rush by Toronto without Giannis on the road, is pretty impressive. 3 out of 4 from Toronto, and won both games at Toronto. I'm more worried about Boston. Not sure why they aren't clicking; maybe not enough shots to go around and nobody is happy. If they start clicking though - Irving, Tatum, Horford (who has owned the Bucks for a decade), Morris, Hayward, Brown... lots of guys to defend.
  19. Guerra sort of. And "openers"? Guerra and Houser, who is out of options, profile as that eighth "emergency starter"/long reliever. Then you have Brown and Supak at AAA, and Wilkerson as your 12th emergency-emergency starter. Hopefully what this means is that Nelson is ready to go, and thus no room at the inn. Perhaps they were trying to trade Anderson but didn't find the right value in return; and if guys like Miley are getting 1/$4.5M without having to give up any players in return, then I don't blame teams for not wanting to offer much value for Anderson. Anderson has a good changeup, and was actually better against LHB last year (.677 OPS-A) than RHB (.785 OPS-A).
  20. Duke has three players averaging more than 10 points a game. Same with Marquette. Duke has six players averaging 5.5 points a game or more. Same with Marquette. Only difference is that Duke has two players averaging more than 20ppg and Marquette has one.
  21. Technically both teams were on the road, as the game was at Madison Square Garden. Closer to Maryland that Champaign, IL, but not that close to Maryland - over 200 mile drive, not easy for loud students to get to. Would say it was more of a neutral site game.
  22. I'm really getting sick of this no-call pass interference on the Rams stuff. It's not like this hasn't happened in the playoffs before (cough... Jerry Rice's fumble... cough).
  23. So 35-year-old John Lester and 35-year-old Cole Hamels are not candidates to regress, the loss of Justin Wilson from the bullpen will have no impact, Brandon Morrow's and Yu Darvish's elbows are certain to recover, Addison Russell's 40 game suspension will have no impact and he won't be a distraction when he returns, 38-year-old Ben Zobrist isn't a candidate for regression, Baez isn't a candidate for regression... The Cubs have as many question marks as the Brewers, if not more.
  24. Mets announce signing of Justin Wilson I've said a few times that all the Mets needed with their rotation was a 3B, a 1B, and a few bullpen arms. Adding Justin Wilson to Edwin Diaz and Jeurys Familia at the back end of the bullpen is a big add. Diaz, Cano, Wilson, Jed Lowrie, Familia, Wilson Ramos, JD Davis. They're, IMO, the favorites in the NL East now. More importantly, a huge loss for the Cubs bullpen as their #1 LHRP is gone.
  25. The (relatively) easy part of the schedule is over. Maryland, at Minnesota, at Michigan, Michigan State. We'll find out in the next two weeks if they are a 5 seed or a 9 seed.
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