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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    Curious what the scouting reports are on Stephen Kolscheen, as anyone with 12.2 K/9, 4.75 K/BB, 1.07 WHIP, and 1.93 ERA is strongly worth considering even if he will be 28. He struggled a bit in AAA last year, but that was the only time he ever struggled. Career 9.6 K/9. If the Brewers deal Torres he could compete with Barnes, Magnifico, and one of Peralta/Anderson for the #6 and #7 spots in the bullpen.
  2. LouisEly
    No DL of any type in the offseason - Houser would have to be on 40-man roster. Think your list of subtractions is good but would replace Nolin with Rivera. Rivera hasn't hit anywhere, ever, and they have the infield covered with Arcia, Villar, Gennett, and Perez.
  3. LouisEly
    You never know. Brinson has looked great... for all of 10 games. His bigger body of work this year says he has some work to do before he is ready. It's possible Santana may have a bigger elbow issue and need surgery. Braun could be traded to the Dodgers. Wren or Reed or both could be lost in Rule 5. Then your OF is Broxton, Perez, Liriano, Flores & Nieuwenhuis? Yikes. In that case I'd take a flyer on Gomez on a one-year-deal after the season, see if he can find it again and make another deadline trade. But no need to claim him now.
  4. LouisEly
    I wouldn't be surprised if Nieuwenhuis is brought back in ST as a NRI, but they'll have OF covered - Braun, Santana, Perez, Wren, Broxton are your likely OF next year with Brinson and Phillips also on 40-man. I don't think KN is terrible like some would have you believe, but his competition is Wren, Broxton, and Reed and I'd rather have those three than KN.
  5. LouisEly
    Including the DL they have 45 players. Must add: Brinson, Hader, Phillips, Wang, M. Diaz, Wren That means they need to drop 11: Boyer, Scahill, Elmore, Wilkins, Flores, Nieuwenhuis, Capuano, Goforth, Rivera, Middlebrooks, one of Reed/Cecchini Reed has a nice OBP but slugging .361 in Colorado Springs isn't going to do it; Wren is outproducing him, is a better CF, and is LH; with Wren and Perez (and adding Brinson and Phillips), Reed is expendable. Goforth/Rivera/Middlebrooks have never been able to produce at the major league level, and Arcia/Villar/Perez have the left side of the infield covered. On the fence: Ventura/Suter/Lambson/Coulter vs. Rowen/Cravy/Cecchini/Jones - could go either way with any of them; Ventura has not pitched well in AA so perhaps they can hide him but he still has a ~9 K/9 rate. Leaning towards Ventura and Lambson, Suter vs. Rowen depends on how they look in September. Cecchini's .712 OPS in AAA puts him last, Cravy 2nd to last. Might put Coulter over those two. If they open up any additional slots via trades the order would be: Coulter, Cooper, Pinto, T. Williams, Taylor
  6. LouisEly
    All the way to 50 and no Wang? Deliberate, or overlooked? He does qualify.
  7. LouisEly
    They mentioned on the broadcast that they had Broxton make an adjustment and lower his hands a bit. I saw that a few games ago - looks a bit goofy - but remembered that Corey Hart made a similar adjustment I think in 2010 and his next three years were three of his best four in the majors. Hopefully this can have similar results for Broxton.
  8. LouisEly
    Guzman obviously has been young for his leagues, but this is the best season he has had to date. Hopefully that's a sign that he's starting to put it together, as evidenced by his walks going up and strikeouts going down, but you can wonder if it is an anomaly. His season at AA was good, but they also play in the Texas League which typically is a hitter's league although I don't think it is as extreme as it used to be when the Brewers were in El Paso. He was 10th in OPS in the Texas League this year. He is only two years removed from a pretty awful year at low-A in 2014 as a 19-year old, which was a repeat of that level from the previous season. He didn't do well in the California League last year either, a notorious hitter's league. That can be cause for concern.
  9. LouisEly
    I think you'll find that to be quite impossible. Not exactly - if there was a 3-teamer between MKE, LAD, and ATL, ATL could send Bradley back to the Brewers as part of the package making it an indirect Bradley for Puig swap.
  10. LouisEly
    I still think a three-way between MKE, LAD, and ATL is a distinct possibility. ATL has nothing for OF in the majors or high minors; I've said this before but prior to the Kemp acquisition Nieuwenhuis had a higher OPS than anyone who played OF for the Braves this year and is younger than all but two. If there is a team who will take a flyer on Puig it is ATL. Where MKE comes into play is that dealing Puig allows them to clear some salary to take Braun, and LAD has the prospects to pay what Braun is worth as well as the revenue to not care much about his salary. MKE sends Braun to LAD, LAD sends prospects to MKE and Puig to ATL, ATL sends PTBNL to MKE depending on Puig's performance/attitude the first couple of months of the season since they have six months to name one. Deal gets done in January, have to July to evaluate Puig and the PTBNL. MKE gets a good haul of prospects from LAD because of Braun's value and for taking Puig off their hands.
  11. LouisEly
    Teixeira is supposedly going to retire (FA anyway) after the season, and there is talk of the Yankees releasing A-Rod and Beltan is gone as well. It's not like the Yankees to tank for a few years and rebuild. Ortiz is going to retire as well. I know that Boston and NYY are on Braun's no-trade list, but they put a lot of resources behind pursuing championships and NYY has a bunch of prospects to trade now. I could easily see Boston and NYY trying to talk Braun into waiving his no-trade clause. Boston would be more appealing, but the Yankees are a bit of a mess. They have lots of older players who need to be cleared, but Braun could easily slide in as DH for the Yankees with the occasional game in LF. DH for Boston would be a better fit, and I don't think they are going to let Sandoval get in the way.
  12. LouisEly
    Interview with Lucroy - it's a good read. And Lucroy does make a few good points - while Gomes isn't doing well this year, he is younger than Lucroy and under contract until 2020 (Lucroy says getting paid more, but not per year), and Napoli is a free agent after the season. There is a real possibility that Lucroy would be primarily 1B/DH for the Indians next year especially if the Indians can't move Gomes in the offseason. They don't have the payroll flexibility to have Gomes as a backup catcher. http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/17224273/texas-rangers-catcher-jonathan-lucroy-talks-vetoing-cleveland-leaving-milwaukee-getting-traded-winner
  13. LouisEly
    Not to pile on, but it's wise to be cautions comparing players from different drafts because talent levels can vary significantly from class to class. Benintendi started in short-season (NY-Penn league) and finished in low-A last year; he got his feet wet and built some confidence, and that seems to be the point of some in this thread. I tend to agree with that - build confidence first, then challenge. There are IMO legitimate concerns about Ray and I brought them up when he was drafted. Ray was drafted for his power and athleticism. He may not have the instincts to play CF, but he has the speed to cover a lot of ground. That being said, there were five players on the Louisville baseball team with >200 ABs this past season. Of those five, Ray was first in HRs and SBs; despite being first in HRs by plenty of margin, he was 2nd in SLG, fourth in BA, and tied for third in OBP among those five. There were nine players with at least 150 ABs; of those Ray was 6th in BA, 5th in OBP, and 4th in SLG. This is among players on his own team. Yes, Ray led the U.S. collegiate national team in OPS, but that was a much smaller sample of AB's than this past season at Louisville. His floor is a good solid player, but there are reasons to believe he may not have an elite hit tool. There is evidence that Ray might not hit for high average or have a high OBP. His athleticism is undeniable, no question, and no one is saying he is terrible. But as we saw with Brent Brewer, and now with Monte Harrison, elite athleticism doesn't necessarily translate into developing elite baseball skills.
  14. LouisEly
    Just remembered that Bradley was traded for PTBNL or cash. I would think that he's doing well enough to get a decent lower level lottery ticket.
  15. LouisEly
    There are four possible outcomes: 1) Player is put on waivers, another team claims player, claiming team is given player (see Alex Rios, 2009; not common) 2) Player is put on waivers, another team claims player, current team pulls player back (most common) 3) Player is put on waivers, another team claims player, current team says will pull player back unless something is offered in return, trade is made but can only be made with claiming team 4) Player is put on waivers and clears waivers, subsequently can be traded to any team afterwards There is a limit to the number of players a team can place on waivers in a day (I believe it is 3-5). Generally you want to put your big contracts and injured players out first as they are least likely to be claimed. With guys such as Torres and Nieuwenhuis you wait; if the market was there someone would have traded for them at the deadline. You wait in hopes that a market develops (injuries to a contender) increasing demand. With younger players it doesn't matter much; someone will claim them, and rarely will they offer enough in return to want to make a trade, so they just end up getting pulled back.
  16. LouisEly
    I'll throw down some odds: Pedro Payano (4:1) - Makes a lot of sense, lower level guy (low-A) with good K/9 currently on the DL thus needing more time to scout. Ariel Jurado (10:1) - I think he is the backup in case they don't get good reports on Payano. Decent in high-A (High Desert is tough on pitchers) but good not great strikeout numbers. Joe Palumbo (10:1) - my darkhorse, on nobody's radar but should be - 94 K in 69 innings at low-A, recently moved into the starting rotation, 21 year old lefty drafted out of HS, and listed at 6'1" and only 150 lbs, lots of projection here. Could be the Brewers getting Banda back. Ronald Guzman (12:1) - I think he just got bumped to AAA, decent numbers but not great for the Texas league (hitters league); he is only 21 though. I think the Brewers prefer pitching. David Garcia (15:1) - some questions about eligibility, and only 16 years old - definition of a lottery ticket, but the delay would make some sense to give time to scout him. Jeffrey Springs (18:1) - my other darkhorse, small school guy drafted in 30th round last year but ridiculous numbers in low-A, 31 IP, 11 H, 40 K; bumped up to High Desert and getting knocked around a bit (happens in High Desert) but still >9 K/9 IP. Could be their Mike Fiers. Johander Mendez (30:1) - if he was an option I think he would have been jumped on; I think his name was mentioned in the sense that it was him or Ortiz, not and Ortiz (or him or Brinson, not and Brinson).
  17. LouisEly
    I'm surprised by the number of people who don't have him in their top 15 in the top 25 prospect poll. Everybody has him in, but many have him 18th or lower. I'm just as surprised by the number of people who don't have Wang in their list at all.
  18. LouisEly
    I don't recall that being order of priority, or priority could mean in sequential order but final recommendations not necessarily in that order. You could have different scouts scouting different players, and another scout (or scouts) could have had a different recommendation. I also find it difficult to believe that they weren't scouting Brinson/Ortiz at all as they are not on that list. My understanding is that it was Brinson/Ortiz or several lower level guys with both packages on an equal value field, and they chose the former. Different scouts are going to have different recommendations. Happens all the time, especially in the draft.
  19. LouisEly
    Yeah, but Woodman's has 30-packs of Special Export and Special Export Light. Right up there with Rolling Rock as the best lawnmower beers (er, "adjunct lagers" for the beer snobs out there) out there. Not sure where it is brewed now - one website says LA - but the can says Milwaukee, WI. Owned by Pabst. I know it's not brewed in LaCrosse anymore. Ex Light is almost a regular beer - 110 calories, 8+ grams of carbs. Compare to 95 calories and 3.2 carbs for Busch Light. Tastes like a regular beer too, with a bit of corn sweetness. I remember when Special Export and Rolling Rock were premium beers... those were the days. Had Special Export at my college graduation party; my guests were raving about it.
  20. LouisEly
    Would've been the prequel to "Lucroy to the Indians" movie - highly likely Braun would have exercised his no trade clause and refused.
  21. LouisEly
    Not overlooked by me, as evidenced by my top 25.
  22. LouisEly
    TheCrew07, have you been able to watch Zack Brown pitch in person? If so, what kind of radar readings are you seeing and how is his curve and change? MLB.com draft scouting report says regularly 93-94 with sinking fastball touching 96. High effort delivery or fairly easy?
  23. LouisEly
    The funny thing is, prior to the Kemp acquisition Nieuwenhuis had a higher OPS than any OF who had played on the Braves all season, and he is younger than all but two of them. If we think the Brewers are in rough shape...
  24. LouisEly
    Technically a 3-year break, but who's counting? A bad year and it's bringing guys out of the woodwork - rluzinski, Brian, battlekow, BillScottCanRake... this isn't just coincidence. [sarcasm]Bunch of foul-weather fans.[/sarcasm] Next thing you know we'll hear from Geno, Batman, and Joel from San Francisco (can't remember for the life of me what his username was).
  25. LouisEly
    JJ is a prime example of how organizations should treat players. Discipline them if they mess up, but believe in them, support them, give them the help they need, and give them a second chance. JJ is also a prime example of how players should treat organizations who give them a second chance - own it, take advantage of the help they give you, and be good to them. Milwaukee will never win the free agency money battle, but being a first-class organization and treating players like a first class organization is what will make guys come there and want to stay there. Good luck in October.
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