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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    If anything, it raises it. If a team quietly starts proactively inquiring about trading a guy, I think it would raise more red flags as though the team might think something is wrong with him. By him or his agent coming out and requesting it publicly, the story is just that he wants a better situation for him, and not that a team is looking to pawn off potentially damaged goods.
  2. LouisEly
    He's only had five starts this year, and a lot of that "below replacement level" was due to his first start of the year where he was pitching hurt/got hurt. In the four games he's pitched since he's come back he has a 3.32 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 8.1 K/9, and 2.83 K/9, which isn't below replacement level. His .764 OPS-A isn't great, but he's been a bit unlucky as his BAbip is .327, and .364 in his last start. What we don't know is why he hasn't been allowed to throw more than 86 pitches. His first start back was rushed as they needed a starter, which is why he threw only 73 pitches. Is he still not 100%? To me, it seems more about health than production.
  3. LouisEly
    If you're going to pick MV-S and Kevin King off of a list that includes a 5x All Pro, another All-Pro, and a multi-time Pro Bowler, and dismiss another guy who had 11 TDs the prior season, I don't know what to tell you.
  4. LouisEly
    I think the elevation of Mis is due to having true long relievers in the bullpen now. With a starting 5 of Peralta - Quintana - Civale - Mis - and one of Patrick/Priester, they can move the other of Patrick/Priester to the bullpen which would give them three true long relievers in the pen: Hall Ashby The other of Patrick/Priester That can allow for piggy-backing of Mis with one of those three guys such that Mis only has to pitch 4-5 innings max. If Woody can stop having random things happen to him and finally get back to the majors, that's potentially four long relievers in the bullpen.
  5. LouisEly
    Over the last 28 days his OPS-A is .607, over the last 14 days it is .535, and over the last 7 days it's .451 For the season his OPS-A of .697 would rank 46th among MLB starters if he had enough innings to qualify.
  6. LouisEly
    I'm still looking for the part where you said move from 2nd to SS, bro
  7. LouisEly
    Since you're not willing to do the research to list them, that proves my point. Missed or limited: David Bakhtiari (5x All-Pro LT) Elgton Jenkins (Pro Bowl LG) Robert Tonyan (starting TE) MV-S (3rd in receiving yards during the regular season) Jaire Alexander (All-Pro CB, played 8 snaps) Kevin King (played 8 snaps) SFO wasn't missing their All-Pro LT. SFO wasn't missing their Pro Bowl LG. SFO wasn't missing their starting TE. SFO wasn't missing their #3 WR. SFO wasn't missing an All-Pro CB. I can't find one starter for SFO who missed the game. And it took a blocked punt for SFO to beat them. Yeah, missing their top two OL - an All-Pro and a Pro Bowl - against the team that was 5th in the NFL in sacks and SFO had five sacks that game. To pretend that didn't affect the outcome of a 13-10 game is just plain ignorant.
  8. LouisEly
  9. LouisEly
    You're missing one other reason. Go back to the last time they had a quarterback who was MVP. Who were the starters on their offensive line by the time they got to the playoffs, and who else missed, was limited, or was knocked out of the playoffs? (Please list them.)
  10. LouisEly
    Let's take a look at the 2018 draft: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2018/draft.htm Three players are out of the league JA is 24th in games played but was the 18th overall pick, so has played in fewer than average games JA is 20th in wAV, or estimated total value career to date, so slightly below expected in total value among 1st round picks that year JA is 16th in DrAV - the approximate value only for the team who drafted him. So, he has provided a slightly above average value for the team who drafted him (GB) than the average player picked in the first round that year. This says that a number of picks have moved on to other teams and are no longer with the team who drafted them, suggesting that they never got to a second contract with the team who drafted them or the 2nd contract didn't work out and they had already been released. From a productivity standpoint, JA was above-average in terms of production compared to other 1st round picks that year, but his value was reduced by playing in a below-average number of games due to injuries. In other words, he was a good pick who had some back luck with injuries. The notion that he was a bad pick is patently false. If you can predict injuries, then give the GB front office a call.
  11. LouisEly
    I don't disagree with the subjective opinion of this article, that there will be very few games where the opponents will have a QB advantage: https://www.acmepackingcompany.com/2025/5/13/24428710/packers-2025-schedule-ranking-every-opposing-quarterback-the-packers-will-play
  12. LouisEly
    Last season the Packers were 5th in total defense, 5th in yards/play given up, 13th in passing yards given up, 9th in QB rating given up. They did this with JA playing only 1/3rd of the defensive snaps. They bring back Nixon (94% of defensive snaps), Bullard (nickel, 72% of snaps), and Valentine (50%), while adding Hobbs. Hobbs replaces Stokes, Robinson will likely replace Rochell/Ballentine, and they bring back two guys who were late round picks last year in Hadden and King. I said before the draft that one of the big factors in the draft was how the Packers felt about the development of Hadden and King, and given that the Packers didn't draft a CB until the 7th round and given that they released JA, the tea leaves suggest that the Packers feel good about Hadden and King as backups.
  13. LouisEly
    Jaire's release has a lot to do with wanting to extend a number of their players, namely the 2022 draft class. They are going to want to allocate as much as they can of those extensions to 2025 via signing bonus prorations and other guaranteed $. Jaire's cash due has better uses.
  14. LouisEly
    What does Detroit have to hang their hat on? Their All-Pro center retired unexpectedly, they lost their starting RG in free agency, and they swapped one CB for another. They only gave out one free agent contract with a total - not per year, total - value of over $5M. Minnesota lost their starting QB and are pinning their hopes on an untested 2nd year QB who many thought was a reach as a top 15 pick. They gave $19M guaranteed to a 32-year-old DT who played a total of 3 games in 2024 and $23M guaranteed to a 30-year-old DT who played a total of 8 games last season. Chicago hasn't won a damn thing in the last decade plus. Just as many question marks in the division.
  15. LouisEly
    Only a week into June and Wilken already sitting on 15 dingers.
  16. LouisEly
    Former Brewer farmhand Gregory Barrios in the lineup for Montgomery. Looks like he was injured to start the season, but he hasn't exactly given any reasons so far to regret giving him up for Civale.
  17. LouisEly
    WOAH SOLVDD?
  18. LouisEly
    You realize this is the hard part, right?
  19. LouisEly
    If you're quoting a post from a prior thread page it doesn't automatically go to the most recent post (i.e. your post) after you post. I.e., if the thread is on page 5 and you're quoting a post on page 4, after you post it doesn't automatically go to page 5. Your post will be on page 5, but you will still be looking at page 4. Hope that helps.
  20. LouisEly
    I think we'll all take a single any day of the week against what happened.
  21. LouisEly
    Is it really that bad to leave the prior pitcher in for one more batter, then go to the bullpen? Am I missing something?
  22. LouisEly
    No love for Trevor Megill? Among closers, the only ones I see clearly getting a nod ahead of him are Suarez, Finnegan, and Edwin Diaz.
  23. LouisEly
    Undrafted FA so nothing invested in him, two weeks short of 26 years old still in A-ball, post-TJ, and I'm guessing that the little we saw in games was just a microcosm of what they saw in practice. He walked 42 in 49 innings with 13 wild pitches and 11 hit batters in 2023 as a 24-year old, so the control and command was never really there.
  24. LouisEly
    Don't be disheartened. Right now, not a lot of companies are hiring. I spend 10 years in sales/sales management in the pharmaceutical and medical device industries and it is hard to break into them. Took me a year of applications and interviews. Companies are always looking for good salespeople. In addition to medical device and biotech, look into lab service providers (Labcorp, etc.), other medical supplies (think of everything that goes into a hospital - surgical supplies, sterilization/disinfecting supplies, etc.), agricultural products (fertilizers, etc.), food products/ingredients/manufacturers, and others where having a base knowledge of biology could come in handy. A guy I used to manage just got hired as an inside sales rep at Exact Sciences, and I don't think he had a lot of sales or biotech experience. Inside sales could be an opportunity to work from home. If you have a good relationship with your doctor/dentist/etc, ask the people in their office to recommend any companies that supply products and services to them.
  25. LouisEly
    ISO is usually measured as SLG minus batting average. When you strike out a lot, your BA tends to be low, which artificially inflates ISO. Suarez's SLG is 21st in MLB.
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