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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    They will if they believe the long-term appreciation and value they can add is much greater than the short-term overpay. Just about everyone thought that Facebook's acquisition of Instagram for $1B was a massive overpay. Now, it looks like the bargain of the century. And certainly, what pro teams sold for 20 years ago is a fraction of what they are worth today.
  2. LouisEly
    Of course not. Your correct spelling plus usage of punctuation was a dead giveaway.
  3. LouisEly
    Just about a perfect outcome for Nashville. Myers with 6 scoreless and only 4 hits, Mitchell with a hit and a walk and no K's, Vaughn with a salami a walk and no K's, Quero 3 for 4.
  4. LouisEly
    Second in all of the minor leagues in HRs, and the guy who is one ahead of him and the guy who is tied with him are both in the PCL.
  5. LouisEly
    Frelick does have a tendency to swing at pitches out of the zone. Could have easily walked that AB.
  6. LouisEly
    Frelick? Over the last 28 days his OPS is .781, over the last 14 days it's .753, and over the last 7 days it's .871
  7. LouisEly
    Isaac Collins says _____________
  8. LouisEly
    Frey is an interesting guy, thanks for mentioning him. MLB.com has Frey at #130 which kind of belies the positive scouting report they have on him. Only red flags I see with Frey are that he doesn't have a long track record (.281 SLG in 2024 in 65 PAs, not a huge deal as he wasn't getting regular ABs, but also a low SLG in the Northwoods League in 2023) and the labrum surgery last year - that will need to be vetted and checked with a physical. I wouldn't go Frey at #20 or #32 given those risks, but I'd definitely consider him at #59/#68 if the medicals check out.
  9. LouisEly
    MLB.com has him at #18. I just think that the Brewers are so stacked at that position with 18-20 year olds (Made, Pena, Pratt, etc.) that I don't think that's the way they go. They're very short on OF bats in the org, and you can always trade pitching for anything, so I think that OF and SP are where they likely go.
  10. LouisEly
    To answer the question, Yes. I think they will both buy and sell. The Brewers don't like to let assets expire. Kind of depends what happens with Cortes, but if he can get back soon and establish that he's healthy, they could deal him or Quintana. Over the last 28 days, Durbin has an OPS of 0.766; there isn't a desperation to shore up 3B right now. SS might be a different story. I could see them buying a SS to let Ortiz get his groove back in AAA, but not necessarily in a direct transaction for Cortes/Quintana. Probably two separate transactions, thus both buying and selling. And I don't know that it will be with a "seller". I could see a contender that needs starting pitching making a deal with MKE if they have depth at SS in a depth-for-depth swap.
  11. LouisEly
    Wilken and Adams now tied for the Southern League lead in OPS. Wilken now has six more HRs than anyone else in the Southern League.
  12. LouisEly
    I believe the minimum that a team can offer is 80% of the prior year's salary, so I think technically it can be reduced. https://www.mlb.com/glossary/transactions/contract-renewal
  13. LouisEly
    When a hitter can generate a 12-pitch AB fouling off 101 mph heaters and 88 mph knuckle curves, sometimes you just have to tip your cap to the hitter.
  14. LouisEly
    Gallardo pre-2007 was #16 on Baseball America, #14 on Baseball Prospectus.
  15. LouisEly
    I don't know about LaViolette, I can't really see the Brewers being super high on a guy with a 25% K rate in college. What I'm reading is that he has some in-zone swing and miss, even on fastballs. I like Conrad, and perhaps the shoulder injury could get him a little underslot. All of those doubles and triples as a 19-year-old have the potential to turn into HRs as his power develops. The guy who really screams "Brewers" to me is Slater de Brun. Just turned 18 a week ago, plus speed and range in CF, excellent bat-to-ball and plate discipline, added some power this year. Getting some Corbin Carroll comps. I can easily see some combination of de Brun and Patrick Forbes at #20 and #32, likely Forbes at #20 and then buy de Brun down to #32, and then buy down one of Appenzeller or still-17-years-old Angel Cervantes to #59, possibly Dickerson. I can see the Brewers really liking the high spin rates Cervantes has along with his interesting changeup, and Warren (CA) isn't a high income area so I doubt that Cervantes would turn down seven figures to go to UCLA. Alternately, I could see Conrad at #20, underslot Cervates at #32, and then Appenzeller or Jaden Fauske at #59. I could easily see Cervantes being that underslot HS guy at #32 much like Knoth was.
  16. LouisEly
    I'm weird. I have Made 10th. Yes, 10th. And I'm not screwing around trying to be a contrarian. Ahead of him, in order, I have: Pena, Letson, Dinges, Wilken, Pratt, Gasser, Henderson, Quero, Mis. I give extra value to players who have already had success at the major league level (Gasser, Henderson, Mis) and I give extra value to catchers (Dinges, Quero) because of how hard it is to find ones who are good both offensively and defensively. (Martin Maldonado is still in the majors - I rest my case.) Pratt leapfrogged A+ and is -3.7 years vs league average age. Letson is -3.3. Made is -2.5. Unless my eyes are deceiving me, Wilken is #2 in the Southern League in OPS, behind only... Luke Adams, who I have right behind Made at #11 (only reason Adams is lower is because of Wilken playing 3B over Adams). And Wilken is tied for 3rd in all of the minors in HRs... and all of the others tied or ahead of him are playing in the PCL. Holy crap, this system is loaded.
  17. LouisEly
    Pallante has the highest ERA* of any starting pitcher** the Brewers have faced since May 19th, almost four weeks. (*Yes, I know ERA isn't the best stat, I'm just picking it because it's the easiest to determine what the pitcher had going into the game against MIL.) (**On May 22nd, the Brewers faced a pitcher making his season debut, so technically his ERA going into the game was 0.00. On May 20th, the Orioles opened with Keegan Akin; not a starter, but his ERA was 3.27 going into the game.) Point being, over the last four weeks, the Brewers have faced a lot of good pitchers.
  18. LouisEly
    They can only have a maximum of 13 pitchers, so a position player has to go down. It is not based on who technically replaced him on the roster.
  19. LouisEly
    I think this is getting a bit overblown. The Packers had 3 CBs who were out with injury during that practice, and Melton still had the white offense jersey on, so they could have just been short on bodies. In fact, MLF said they were just experimenting to see if he can be a two-way player. He's very athletic, he's on the roster bubble, has played well on special teams, and it's just minicamp. If this was training camp, then I'd be more inclined to think there was more to it. Every NFL team is short on depth somewhere. Teams only get 7 draft picks and have 53 roster spots to cover. In order to get more than seven picks, they have to lose something (free agents or trade a player away). I think this just aligns with when they expect extensions to be made and how the extensions will be structured. They may be putting roster bonuses earlier on contracts like they did with Banks, in which case they may need more money next year.
  20. LouisEly
    That's part of the challenge - they have top prospects who are a year to 1.5 years away. You don't want to give up too much for a guy at those positions. A short-term stopgap would be ideal but there just aren't any.
  21. LouisEly
    I think this the equivalent of saying that if you complain, you will get sent to Siberia (i.e. the White Sox). It's just nothing more than a warning to the rest of the team of what will happen if you ***** about your role.
  22. LouisEly
    Which is weird when looking at his college stats. Between his sophomore and junior seasons he walked 104 times and struck out only 51 times. His OBP over three seasons at Cal was .495 with a batting average of .374; his "take" added .120 to his BA. Even during his first half-season of pro ball he walked 30 times to 38 K's. He hit 38 HRs combined those last two seasons at Cal - a high number, but not a huge number. He wasn't a big swing, all-or-nothing type of hitter at all.
  23. LouisEly
    If my math is correct, Vaughn should have at least two options remaining. He's been sent down twice, but one was for only two days so it shouldn't count as an option. Interesting play for next season, assuming Hoskins moves on.
  24. LouisEly
    It just occurred to me that it probably is not coincidental that they are calling him up for the Cardinals series, given that they are a half game back of the Cardinals for 2nd place in the division and need to leapfrog the Cardinals eventually to have a shot at a wild card spot.
  25. LouisEly
    If anything, it raises it. If a team quietly starts proactively inquiring about trading a guy, I think it would raise more red flags as though the team might think something is wrong with him. By him or his agent coming out and requesting it publicly, the story is just that he wants a better situation for him, and not that a team is looking to pawn off potentially damaged goods.
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