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LouisEly

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Everything posted by LouisEly

  1. LouisEly
    Back in October I would have said Alt. And I generally agree that he'll be a great player in the league for a long time (barring injury). I would package those picks for him... if it was a position of need. But it's not. Debate the accuracy of PFF grades (I think they're much more accurate for the NFL than college), but PFF had Walker as the 7th best overall grade - LT or RT - from week 9 through 18. Only six tackles graded better than him. That's what we hope Alt would become. I can't give up both 2nds when the only safeties on the roster are a Anthony Johnson, Zayne Anderson, and Bennie Sapp. Unless they sign two starting quality safeties in free agency, I can't wait until late in the 3rd to draft one much less two. I'd package a 3rd to move up a few spots to get Q. Mitchell or DeJean (if the medicals check out), maybe Kool-Aid if he runs well, but that's it.
  2. LouisEly
    I don't think I'd bet on drafting a LT early:
  3. LouisEly
    You could say that about any position. They only have 53 roster spots, so they have to draw the line at some point before it shorts another position and then what happens if they have injuries at that position? I wouldn't be opposed to a 6th/7th round pick as a potential 53rd man/try to sneak onto the practice squad guy, but I don't think you can keep saying "what if" about injuries/free agents after the season/etc. with only 53 roster spots. At some point the depth has to become the practice squad.
  4. LouisEly
    I wouldn't call him a pass-rusher - in 51 career games he only has five sacks. I did an analysis on this a year ago, and very few DL with no seasons with 5+ sacks get picked in the first three rounds. And if they do, they're rarely worth it. Mazi Smith, one of the few exceptions, was widely panned as the Cowboys' 1st round pick last year and looked like just a rotational piece during the season. PFF has Sweat ranked #90, a late 3rd round pick, probably because of the lack of pass rush production.
  5. LouisEly
    Noticed that Packers.com has Wooden listed at 273 lbs. I'm thinking that Wooden becomes primarily a DE in the new system and the top backup at DE to Gary/Van Ness. That I think makes it easier to move on from Preston Smith and leaves a potential depth chart of: LDE: Gary, Wooden NT/1i: Clark, Slaton DT/3i: Wyatt, Brooks RDE: Van Ness, Cox/Odumegwu/Day 3 draft pick While moving on from Smith doesn't have much of a cap savings, I think the Packers are looking at it from a cash flow standpoint and whether they want to lay out $12M cash for a backup or if that cash is better spent on a signing bonus for a Love/Clark extension and replacing Smith with a day 3 draft pick if they don't think Cox or Odumegwu are ready/good fit. Cambpell is a little different in that they don't have the depth there now to replace him. He has a smaller roster bonus than Smith at $2.9M, making it less of a risk to keep him on 3/15 and see if they can get an ILB on day 1 or 2 of the draft before cutting him. If they do get an ILB they think can start, they can release him post 6/1 if they need cap room for 2024.
  6. LouisEly
    Between his last three years with the Dodgers and his one year with the Cubs, Bellinger had already pocketed $62M. It's not like he missed his one big payday by rolling the dice for a longer deal.
  7. LouisEly
    Interesting. Other than Cooper and Paul, looks like mid/late round/UDFA's. I've had a feeling about Paul. His run blocking is bringing down his overall grade, but his pass blocking has been great. 2 sacks and 4 hits over 1,100 pass block snaps over the last two seasons. The Packers care a lot more about pass blocking than run blocking..
  8. LouisEly
    One of the things I have wondered about is Cooper DeJean's recovery from the leg injury he suffered late in the season - if he isn't fully recovered, how will that affect his performance on standardized tests and subsequently where he goes in the draft? Looks like he isn't recovered yet and won't test at the combine. Obviously there is still Iowa's pro day (can't find the date) and individual workouts, but this helps increase the chance that he's still there at #25.
  9. LouisEly
    Nobody, but he's already started a throwing program. https://brewerfanatic.com/forums/topic/42012-brewers-re-sign-brandon-woodruff-two-year-deal-per-heyman/page/5/#comment-1565874 He has seven months to be ready by 10/1 and he's already throwing. I don't think that the Brewers would give him $2.5M for 2024 if they didn't think that he would be able to pitch at some point during the season.
  10. LouisEly
    So, back to the rotation... My take - the Brewers don't need to be set with the rotation right now. Nobody is predicted to run away with the NL Central - every team in the division has question marks. They just need to be within a couple of games of the division lead/wild card in July and then take a few of those 15 prospects that so many of us were considering for the last 5 spots on the top 20 prospect list and acquire a starter for the stretch run to get in the playoffs if one is needed. They don't need Woodruff for the whole season - they just need him to be ready to go by October 1st and get into the playoffs to boost the rotation. What the rotation is on 4/1 isn't critical - it's being in contention in July and what the rotation looks like on 8/1 and 10/1 that matters much more.
  11. LouisEly
    Keep in mind, four of the last six have been on the road and one of the two home games was against the #2 ranked team in the country. Every ranked team is losing on the road. Once you get beyond UCONN, Houston, and Purdue, every team has at least five losses on the season. There are top-15 teams with seven losses.
  12. LouisEly
    I agree with this... if you're talking about the top 15-20 picks. With the Packers picking at #25, that's getting close to 2nd round territory. If the next Nick Collins, Darren Sharper, or LeRoy Butler is sitting there at #25 I would have no issues with that pick (and to your point about few exceptions, those are just former Packers).
  13. LouisEly
    Anything I ever got from Fanatics fell apart within 3 months.
  14. LouisEly
    Saturday's game is on BTN! Won't show up under a search for "Wisconsin" or "Badgers", have to search on men's college hockey.
  15. LouisEly
    Not only that, but the Brewers want Contreras to DH to keep his bat in the lineup when he needs a break from catching. Debate the semantics of "primary" DH, but between Yelich and Contreras there aren't going to be many PAs at DH available. Certainly not enough to warrant $14M/year for the remainder. I'm really shocked at how many times I hear people say that Yelich isn't going to at the least get a lot of time at DH. I mean, who would you rather have in the OF, Yelich or all three of Frelick/Mitchell/Chourio?
  16. LouisEly
    Do we need to bring up the NCAA tournament last year?
  17. LouisEly
    The problem is that there is a difference between what teams value and what arbitrators value. Until those are more in sync, the system is not going to work for everyone.
  18. LouisEly
    Jeferson QueroTyler BlackJackson ChourioJacob MisiorowskiBrock WilkenDL HallJoey OrtizRobert GasserCarlos F RodriguezLogan HendersonEric Brown JrJosh KnothLuke AdamsMike BoeveCooper PrattEric BitontiLuis LaraOliver DunnDylan O'RaeWes Clarke
  19. LouisEly
    I'm looking at a guy right in your neck of the woods in Jack Westover of Washington. Flying under the radar because the WRs get all of the attention but he's caught 77 passes over the last two seasons. Had the 3rd most receptions on the team this past year. If not for an injury during 2021 he would have played in every one of UW's games during his career except for his redshirt freshman year. Also flying under the radar because he is a former walk-on, but he was a walk-on because he played one year of HS football and missed a majority of that season with injury. Was a basketball player, went to one of UW's camps and was so impressive that they offered him as a PWO. Didn't see him on the Senior Bowl, East-West Shrine, or Hula rosters, but he was invited to the combine. I watched a few of their games; he looked very athletic and I think he'll test a lot better than people are expecting. Lots of special teams experience.
  20. LouisEly
    You asked, "who said that?", and I assumed you were referring to endaround's comment about him being the/a DH so I provided examples of people saying that he would be a DH. Why would I think that you were referring to his words, "WooHoooo!"?
  21. LouisEly
    Nobody specifically said "2/3rds", but plenty of people called/speculated for him to be the/a DH. "Yep guessing he will be the DH" "This move is about filling the DH position and adding power to the lineup after last year's mostly punchless lineup" "especially if he's getting picked up more as a DH than a backup C. " "The power potential from the DH position just looks totally leveled up compared to last season. " "I'm assuming Sanchez will catch 1-2 times a week and DH 2-3 times a week. " "A Bauers/Sanchez platoon at DH seems like it would be fairly effective." "Brandon Belt and Gary Sanchez would make for a great DH platoon."
  22. LouisEly
    The problem is that's the best those numbers have been since 2019, which to me suggests outlier. The prior year, when he had almost twice as many PA's, his wRC+ was 89. And there's a reason he only played 72 games last year.
  23. LouisEly
    At $84 for season tickets for 14 games ($6/game) and $2/game for student tickets, not really. I think there's something there. Have to give them a choice, though. If they take NCAA money, it's a contract, and they have to sit out a year if they transfer. If they want to transfer without sitting out a year, they can't take NCAA money.
  24. LouisEly
    How many games did he play against lefties last year? (Half as many as he played against RHP, and half as many PAs as against RHP.)
  25. LouisEly
    Yes, he's great against the 30% of pitchers who are LH. Not good against the 70% of pitchers who are RH.
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