LouisEly
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Everything posted by LouisEly
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Add to that 2.5M migrants coming into the country last year, most of whom need to find some place to live if they're not sent back and can get a work permit, and that pushes the bottom of the rent spectrum up.
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The tournament committee has been good about understanding when teams have been missing star players and how that has affected their records. The biggest threat to them dropping to a 4-seed would be the teams immediately below them in the rankings (Duke, Auburn, Illinois, Baylor) sweeping through their conference tournaments with ease. Illinois has looked like that lately, but all four of those teams are in different conferences so it could be possible. If Kolek is healthy it might be good for him to get a few minutes to not get rusty, but there isn't a need for him to play if he isn't ready.
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And that's true. But with the number of people and departments involved in the creation of a contract - not just the GM, but finance, legal, etc, it's hard to cover up all of those digital fingerprints (contracts aren't written with pen and paper) and/or not have a whistleblower or someone willing to spill the beans to a reporter. Even if it's just "agreeing to terms", finance and others need to be involved to see at least how it affects their salary cap and organizational fit.
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I guarantee that Rosenhaus didn't sit there twiddling his thumbs once he found out that Jones was going to be released. I'm sure that he immediately sent a message to the GMs of every other team as soon as he was informed. It's really, really difficult in this day and age of digital fingerprints to have a "not technicallly legal" conversation about a contract with someone and have other people not know about it. I'm sure there are discussions with known free agents whose contracts are expiring prior to the legal tampering period, but they're going to be free agents so nobody cares. I think people will care a lot if there is a discussion about someone who is under contract and not scheduled to be a free agent. And if an agent is willing to do that with a player on another team... he will likely do that with a player on your team, and that won't sit well. It's not a one-way street where that happens just with one team and other teams won't care.
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The legal tampering period is for known free agents. Teams know for a month who is going to be a free agent, thus why the contracts are ready. I guarantee they aren't preparing hundreds of contract offers for players who may potentially be released but are still under contract.
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With the unemployment rate unexpectedly jumping despite a higher than expected jobs report (which have consistently been revised downward several months later), I think that two rate cuts are much more likely than a rate increase. Hopefully the Fed realizes that the unemployment rate has been artificially suppressed by 2.5M immigrants coming into the country seeking work permits last year, and that number isn't slowing down. The US population grew by 1.6M last year, with 2/3rds coming from immigrants (most of whom are in their working years) as opposed to births, who won't be in the work force for ~20 years.
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https://brewerfanatic.com/forums/topic/41879-packers-2024-off-season-thread/?do=findComment&comment=1567967
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Yes, 1) because it's tampering if they do, B) if Jones or Rosenhaus makes any reference to his market value they are going to suspect tampering and report it to the League, and 3) there was no indication that the Packers were going to release Jones until after they signed Jacobs, and nobody knew they were going to sign Jacobs until the day they released Jones. There was very little window for the Viqueens to make any offer, much less anticipate Jones being released as opposed to the hundred other players who were released that day. It's also possible that the Viqueens made a quick, above-market offer for Jones because Jones kind of knows their playbook.
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Funny that he shot 28% from 3 for the season, but of course, made 4 of 6 vs. Wisconsin. Because "chip".
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How do you know that Rosenhaus counter-offered $7M to the Packers and wasn't playing hardball? Just because Jones signed with the Viqueens for $6M+$1M incentives doesn't mean that offer was on the table for the Packers.
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Playing slot corner is really difficult. It's very difficult to cover shifty slot receivers and trying to react to what they are doing. Slot receivers also usually line up off the line of scrimmage or motion across/out, making it very difficult to jam them at the LOS or play bump and run press - they almost always get a free release. They're also paying Nixon to be an All-Pro kick returner. Packers were 5th in average KO return yardage and through the middle of December had the 2nd best average starting field position.
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Wisconsin native Marcus Domask of Illinois named 1st team all Big-Ten by coaches, 2nd team by media. Ouch. Overall I think that Storr was a better fit for what UW needed, but Domask would have been helpful if they had room for him. Maybe one more person had to transfer out to make that happen. Good for Domask who was overlooked by every D-1 team despite being Wisconsin Mr. Basketball. That's what you call a "chip".
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Keep in mind, the Vikings couldn't make that offer until after Jones was released. When the Packers offered, it was the Packers offer or get released - no other teams to compete with. Once Jones was released, it was the Vikings versus any/every other team's offer so the Vikings - if they really wanted him - had to buck up the offer to ensure that they made a better offer than anyone else. Thus why free agents often get overpaid - they're competing blindly against everyone else. Teams never know what other teams are offering or will offer. Even if a player is a FA, I'd be willing to bet that almost if not every offer has a NDA attached to it.
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And QB, or lack thereof. Teams weren't scheming to stop Aiden O'Connell or Brian Hoyer.
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Between releasing Campbell and Jones (not counting Bakh because it was kind of a given that he would get released), the Packers have saved over $22M in cash that they're parlaying into signing bonuses for McKinney and Jacobs. I'd say that's a net positive.
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Aaron Jones signed a 4 year, $48M contract in 2021 w/GB ($13M signing bonus, the only guaranteed $). He didn't see the last year of that contract, just as it is very unlikely that Jacobs sees year 4 of his 4 year, $48M contract.
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Problem is that prior to week 14 he had exactly two games with >10 carries. Dillon had 36 more rushing attempts than Jones last year. That's kind of all you need to know about why GB wasn't paying Jones $11.5M in cash this year. Sucks, but as they say, the best ability is availability.
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Microsoft engineers. What consumer research said that 8-point font size works for everybody in the Outlook email folders pane, the Excel format chart pane, etc. Google could not save me. Anyone know how to increase the font sizes on the side panes of 365 applications?
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Those were NFL.com RB rankings, not PFF. Guerendo at #113 on NFL.com, #150 on PFF, pre-combine. Benson is #89 on NFL.com pre-combine. Ray Davis is eight spots below Guerendo at 6.14, #121 overall, on NFL.com. I only listed the top 10 on NFL.com. NFL.com has 12 RBs in the top 121, so about the first 3.5 rounds, so there's quality depth in this year's class.
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Illinois is on some type of roll right now. The previous game they played Minnesota. Minnesota scored 97 points, shot 70% from 3, and committed 5 turnovers. And Illinois won.
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Those were the rankings before the combine on NFL.com. Guerendo had been rising the weeks before the combine. PFF had him at #150.
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Not sure who has them as the top backs, but NFL.com (which I have found to be most accurate as they have the most access to NFL scouts and player personnel execs) has the top backs as: 1) Brooks (6.38, #33 overall) 2) Jaylen Wright (6.28, #54 overall, one spot behind Edgerrin Cooper) 3) Benson (6.19, #89) 4) Lloyd (6.18, #95) 5) Tracy (6.18, #96) 6) Estime (6.17, #97) 7) Irving (6.17, #98) 8) Shipley (6.16, #109) 9) Corum (6.15, #111) 10) Guerendo (6.15, #113) If that's around how things play out, they probably won't be available for the Packers in the 4th. I think part of what is contributing to some rankings of RBs on some sites is that many of these players (Brooks, Wright, Lloyd, Tracy, Guerendo, and to a lesser extent Benson and Estime) weren't on the radar pre-season because they weren't starters the year before or weren't 1,000 yard rushers the year before.
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Found this little nugget in another article: "“I think this league’s a 4-2-5 league,” said Brian Gutekunst at his season-ending press conference, “and I think, I’m certainly, as Jeff comes in, and we’re very excited about that, the conversations about kind of how we’re going to want to play." https://packerswire.usatoday.com/2024/03/02/michigans-mike-sainristil-can-fill-obvious-slot-cb-need-if-packers-are-willing-to-go-off-script/ While I expect them to draft a LB or two (One early if they decide to move on from Campbell), I think this lends more credence to the notion that they will be drafting a number of DBs. I expect at least three safeties, with at least one of them demonstrating the ability to play in the slot, plus a CB or two.
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They guy who actually reminds me the most of Jones is Tyrone Tracy. His abilities were muted in their pass-oriented (and generally awful) offense, but his loose hips and ability to change directions are perhaps the best in the class. Wright is more linear with the sudden ability to jump cut and change directions, but he also has the speed (4.38) and YPC (7.4 this past year - in the SEC - and 6.2 for his career) that says that he can make people miss... and then leave them in the dust.
