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Fear The Chorizo

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Everything posted by Fear The Chorizo

  1. Fear The Chorizo
    For all the debate about the disparity in talent level between the Badgers and Buckeyes, some crazy perspective: Three of the 4 Heisman finalists this year are in or were in the OSU football program. The landslide winner this year had to transfer out of Ohio State to get himself on the field long enough to likely make him a top 2 pick in next year's NFL draft, only falling from top overall if OSU's Chase Young is the 1st pick. The 4th place vote getter would have likely transferred to OSU to be their QB this year if they had a spot for him to start.
  2. Fear The Chorizo
    I think it has alot to do with pitch recognition, which is a combination of physical skill to quickly identify rotation/pitcher wrist action at release along with having the "baseball sense" in understanding pitch sequences against you given the count, opposing pitcher's repertoire, and particular game situations. If a hitter limits the number of balls he swings at, he automatically increases his walk rate and reduces his weak contact % - which both help increase OBP. And I agree with a couple posts above - it's tough to say whether there's a way to develop a skill of fouling off tough pitches vs weakly hitting them into play, or if it's just some hitters having a knack for it.
  3. Fear The Chorizo
    They scored an average of 29PPG in their first 6 games that weren't against the Packers - and that includes a 6 point road loss at Chicago which was the one game their offense really sputtered to even put up yards. The Viking offense didn't suck early this season, just against the Packers and Bears. They put up 400+ yards against GB but managed only 16 points, with two touchdowns of that total coming off huge plays (75 yard Cook run and 50yard Diggs TD catch).
  4. Fear The Chorizo
    Having to stomach watching alot of Vikings football while living near MPLS, I'm not sure why the Vikings are assumed to be much better than they were when they first played Green Bay...Seattle had them whipped until giving up a couple quick scores late and went up and down the field against that defense. They were down 20-0 against the Broncos at home at the half and only won that game because the Broncos turtled. The lost at KC with Matt Moore as their QB. Yesterday's game at the Chargers completely turned on that Rivers fumble leading to a scoop/score right at the end of the first half - wound up being a blowout due to the turnover frenzy and some late scores when the Chargers had long since packed it in...they've racked up alot of wins that were "meh" overall as well. They can definitely score points and have an explosive enough offense to generate bigger victory margins when their defense plays well, but their defense isn't what it's consistently been over the past few seasons. Also, Cook is dealing with multiple shoulder issues and their backup RB is also struggling with a balky ankle. It will be a tough game, no doubt - but heading into it I don't see this one as Green Bay being the inferior team.
  5. Fear The Chorizo
    Agreed on game management issues hampering this team on the scoreboard, no doubt. Both that sack and the play where Rodgers got called for intentional grounding at the end of the first half cost them chances for 6 points. These issues have happened enough to notice, and they are a big reason why the team seemingly can't seem to ever bury an opponent even if they control the game throughout. Some of it is clock management and playcalling by the coaching, but I think alot of it has to do with Rodgers not being near as good in end of half/late game situations as he once was. He's got to play better in those spots to take advantage of those scoring situations, even if it means not being able to score a touchdown. It also seems like the team takes its foot off the gas offensively when they get up by a couple scores - maybe that's just personnel limitations, but it may also be the playcaller getting cut by remaining close to the vest to avoid putting too much on tape for future opponents and being conservative to avoid turnovers that can quickly flip a game. I've been more of an optimist of this team's chances in January than alot of posters here, because for whatever reason I think they can find a way to eliminate these issues that won't cost them a playoff game. To me the key to that is Rodgers, and I guess I still have trust in him to make better decisions when the lights are really on in the postseason.
  6. Fear The Chorizo
    Fair enough, but then tell me what Seattle's signature win was so far this season. The 27-24 OT win at Frisco probably is, but that could have easily wound up a loss for them. The rest of their season, they've had a horseshoe up their rear moreso than GB with alot of close wins against meh teams, and they got pummeled in a couple of their losses, too. The Rams just pasted them and they wound up beating a rudderless Carolina team by 6 today. Let's see how next sunday goes against the vikes...it sure would be sweet to win that game no matter the score as the playoff picture shakes out.
  7. Fear The Chorizo
    The NFL often isnt about style points. It's not like they have to impress the committee to make the top 4 for a CFP spot. There is something to be said about a team that finds ways to win on both sides of the ball and doesnt have to rely on one specific ability or side of the ball to advance come playoff time. The packers can pressure QBs without having to constantly blitz, and they dont turn the ball over. Those two factors plus having a healthy rodgers at qb makes them a tough postseason out even if they arent equipped to blow anyone away, either. As for the other nfc "elite", it wouldn't surprise me to see NO lose to the colts tomorrow night, seattle should probably have 2-3 more losses based on their season, and San Fran could easily go into the playoffs losers of their last 3 games. My point is there are no elite teams in the NFC, but there are a bunch of good ones. Green Bay is in that group based on their body of work and if you can't see that there's nothing I say that will convince you otherwise, too.
  8. Fear The Chorizo
    Big thing for next weekend is the vikes wont have Cook, or if he suits up he wont be near 100 percent - has a bad shoulder that knocked him out again today. The crazy Rivers fumble and return td at the end of the 1st half totally turned that game.
  9. Fear The Chorizo
    Falcons were 1-7 at one time. They are 4-2 since. I wouldn't say this was a bad loss for them. It's a 5-9 team. If we're going to call the Chargers and Eagles games bad losses, this is a "bad loss" for the 9ers. But only the packers lose to bad teams...and all packers losses are bad losses even though they themselves are apparently bad....but then again since the packers started 0-0 they've gone 11-3, so maybe they are actually kind of good?? NAHHH, that's crazy talk.
  10. Fear The Chorizo
    Do we have tiebreaker over Seahawks? 9ers still have to play vs Rams and @ Seahawks. If the Packers win out, there's a good chance they'll be a game ahead of the 9ers but tied with Seattle. No we would not. Gotta aim for a rams win next wkend then a niners win against the Seahawks in the last week.. plus packers to win out. That's the path to a #1 seed. Otherwise win out and get the #2 seed. I dont think there are any other tiebreakers that would bring the pack over a niners or Seahawks team if they have the same number of losses.
  11. Fear The Chorizo
    Yep, they sure are. The way schedules and seeding play out, there's actually a decent chance the packers would only need to beat one of the three teams who are apparently unbeatable juggernauts (saints, 49ers, seahawks) to get to the super bowl. All 3 of them have had some key injuries in the last few weeks that knock them down a peg, too - particularly on defense. If they had to play and beat all 3? Sure I dont like their chances. Needing to beat only one of them makes life much easier. Getting that 2 or 1 seed is critical for this packers team.
  12. Fear The Chorizo
    Lol, ok I guess that settles it then
  13. Fear The Chorizo
    "Is going to be" sounds pretty confident. You are taking them over the 49ers or Saints in the divisional round? Yes, both of those teams are getting beaten up pretty bad on the injury front, and those games at lambeau are far different than on the road.
  14. Fear The Chorizo
    Did you forget to use blue font? Because it should be. Time will tell, but no it should definitely not be in blue font
  15. Fear The Chorizo
    This team is going to be in the NFC title game in a loaded conference. To me, it depends whether that title game is at lambeau or on the road as to whether they get to the super bowl. Yet the mood during these game threads is that of an 8-8 also ran. Enjoy the ride people!
  16. Fear The Chorizo
    I don't think it does considering what financial commitment it would still sink the Brewers into - it's not like the Red Sox are paying 100% of Price's remaining salary with that sort of trade - not to mention Benintendi's escalating arby raises that may or may not be worthwhile if his injury-marred 2019 is any indication of red flags that make him less than all star caliber. Zach Davies and arguably Chase Anderson were better pitchers last season than David Price. Price has also only logged an average of 120 IP the last 3 seasons, and has three more seasons left on his deal. His days considered to be an actual Ace caliber pitcher in terms of MLB production are likely behind him. No thank you very much. Honestly I'd rather just hand that rotation spot to Burnes or Peralta and keep the powder dry for a FA like Keuchel or better trade target.
  17. Fear The Chorizo
    Not sure if it's been mentioned in the thread but I'm fairly certain I saw either a tweet or report that he can opt out after year 5. So if he's elite for 5 years he's definitely going to opt out and make even more money. The only way that happens is if he wins 2-3 more Cy Youngs over the next 5 seasons...and even then I'd be surprised to see a mid 30's starter decide to opt out looking for greener pastures. 95% probability he's riding this contract all 9 years all the way to the bank. I think there's a much more likely scenario that injury or simply age limits him from being the best starter on the planet, and five offseasons from now brewerfan.net is having multiple threads wondering how much $ the Yankees would need to throw in to get the Brewers to trade for him in the hopes he regains his 2018-2021 form.
  18. Fear The Chorizo
    No way do I take Price or just about any other aging veteran with a bloated contract off the hands of any large market team, even if they include a huge chunk of their remaining deal to try and justify what the Brewers would need to pay him should they be a current FA. I don't care if they include premium prospects as well. The only way a small market team can effectively compete with huge market teams on a consistent basis with the current financial system is by not allowing them to get off the hook they stuck themselves with by getting out from paying all of the contract amounts they themselves shelled out to players, particularly getting out from sticking them with all of that amount on their luxury tax balance sheets. In short, the huge market teams can monopolize the premium veteran free agent market because they have the most money to burn. If a player like Price, Happ, etc. has value to the Brewers based on their current abilities and aren't completely washed up, try to pick up these guys after they get released by the huge market teams after they can't make a trade and pay them veteran league minimum while the team that releases them is still on the hook for the balance of his remaining bloated deal. Similar to what the Yankees did with Tulo last year - he made ~$550K from the Yankees, while getting paid ~$20M from the Blue Jays after they were forced to release him when no trade partners materialized. I think the Jays are still on the hook for ~$18M in 2020-2021 for him despite the fact he's retired.
  19. Fear The Chorizo
    Yeah I think that ship has sailed. I do find it a bit interesting that this type of offseason is happening likely right before the owners and players try to hammer out a new CBA over the next year to try and avoid a potential labor problem after 2021. I do think it's important to the longterm health of the game and benefit of players to try and find ways to maximize the dollars players earn during their perceived prime years - both sides would benefit from players making the most money when they are providing the most onfield production. To me that means reducing the # of years of team control from 6 to 5 - probably by cutting out one of the arbitration years so players can reach free agency sooner. Teams like the Brewers can never, ever expect to sign a premier free agent that reaches that point in his 20s with the current system, the cost/risk is just too high (mainly in terms of years on these premium deals, now). However, they can afford to pay their best players more money if there isn't as big a percentage of their payroll dedicated to aging veteran contracts based on the current system.
  20. Fear The Chorizo
    The Yankees will be doing just what the red sox are doing this offseason a couple years from now, which is trying to trade away good pre free agency players whose arby numbers are expensive in order to dip their payroll back below the luxury tax threshold so they arent paying the equivalent of Cole's annual salary to the luxury tax penalty. The luxury tax does work, and I think it's a very good system for MLB given the fact a salary cap and revenue sharing ain't happening. It will never even the financial playing field, but it will keep things in check and help raise the overall league revenue to keep small market teams relevant by having more competitive balance than other pro sports leagues.
  21. Fear The Chorizo
    That is absurd
  22. Fear The Chorizo
    I wouldn’t mind having him, but his value lies in being able to play SS, which the brewers no longer need. I guess there aren’t many competitive teams looking for SS help other than cincy, but I see him getting more than his production would be worth as a 3B He'd probably still play some SS, particularly against righties. With how much the Brewers shift, their 3B wind up setting up where SS traditionally plays an awful lot. I guess I don't really see the downside in considering signing Gregorius as a 3B/SS option if the price is right.
  23. Fear The Chorizo
    No thanks - I know Ray had a bad 2019 and adding him at this point makes the trade value machine look evenish - but I'm not including him or just about any prospect the Brewers have with Hader as a sweetener unless it helps bring back an impact arm. I know Hader's cost is about to start going up financially for the Brewers - frankly it should given his talent. I just don't see them trading him given the fact they are expected to try and contend for the division this year. It's not like their current financial situation prohibits them from paying the expected arbitration increases Hader will receive over the next few years, either. Some of the payroll trimming undoubtedly gives them flexibility to pay their own players the raises they will be getting. Unless the Dodgers, Astros, or Mets completely knock the socks off Stearns with an offer too good to pass up, which in my book would include at least 1 proven and quality MLB player with 4-5 more years of team control and 1 impact arm either at or on the cusp of pitching in MLB, plus a low level lotto ticket prospect, I'm just fine with keeping Hader around to keep the Brewers' pen being a strength of the roster.
  24. Fear The Chorizo
    No disagreement from me if people want to speculate that Hiura would not make a good 3B, but that is not the tenor of some of the posts in this thread. If the front office is thinking of signing Didi it means they are going to do something none of us were expecting, and personally I don't think their first choice would be to move Hiura all the way down the defensive spectrum to 1B so soon. That's all. I'm a fan of Hiura and I'm also a fan of doing everything possible to keep him at 2B - many of his defensive deficiencies happened while having to make longer throws from the shift where he was playing in shallow right, and with sharply hit balls or throws that he routinely didn't handle cleanly. Stone hands and an inaccurate throwing arm are not a good combo to try and play 3B at the major league level. I'm hoping an offseason of work helps Hiura settle in a bit better defensively at 2B - IMO he shouldn't be a candidate to move around the diamond. His bat provides the most value with him playing defense at 2B. Keep him there. Didi would be a much better candidate to slide over to 3B if they view Urias as the starting SS. Gregorius gives them positional flexibility to also play SS against righty starters (lefty hitter). I can see why Stearns is interested in him if the price is right following a subpar and injury-plagued 2019.
  25. Fear The Chorizo
    Regarding Bryant and the Cubs, even if they wanted to trade him it would be difficult until the verdict on his grievance is known - there is an outside chance he is a free agent after next year, not 2021, which obviously impacts his value as a trade chip. Because of that, I'm guessing the cubs trade Contreras too soon or Schwarber too late to get good value in return. Even with Hamels gone, they have a huge payroll that limits what they can do in free agency unless they want to be permanent luxury tax payers. If they wanted to make an impact trade, Rizzo or Baez would be the piece moving - I'd love to add Rizzo to the brewers but that is a pipe dream.
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