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endaround

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Everything posted by endaround

  1. endaround
    It is apples to apples. Average is got the exact same way, seeing what percentage of balls in an area is gotten to and then looking at each individual comapred to that average. And no Hardy isn't the best. I said Wilson is the only player significantly better, and he's better but a whole bunch. . Hardy is among a group that includes him, Andrus from Texas, and Scutaro and if you want to include Furcal or Rollins go ahead.
  2. endaround
    If I say I'm 2" above average in height and my brother is 12" above average in height you are saying there is no way to tell whose taller because its all versus some imaginary average height person.
  3. endaround
    It compares each player to the average player getting the same balls hit in the same area. Yes some player do better on different types of balls than others, but unless you have very disimilar pitching staffs thats not going to make any real difference in an aggregate calculation as UZR. Hardy is a top defensive shortstop, with only Jack Wilson (likely the greatest defender of his cohort) being significantly better.
  4. endaround
    How is using play by play data to evaluate how players turn balls into outs contrived? Because it doesn't agree with your preconceived notions? Hardy has always been seen as a plus defender at short since the day he got into professional baseball.
  5. endaround
    Well we play on Earth not your baseball planet and on Earth Hardy is a plus defender at shortstop while Ramirez is distinctly average. And Hardy is good because he has good range. (fixed code --1992)
  6. endaround
    Weeks wasn't rushed so much as forced to play through an injury for no good reason. Weeks was dominating AAA and did fine in Milwaukee until his injury. Hart also was fine in Milwaukee until last season.
  7. endaround
    It would be easier to feel sorry for him if he didn't spend an unneeded rookie year burning service time as a part time palyer and then missing another entire year due to injury. Truth is Hardy should have spent at least one month in AAA his rookie season as soon as Yost stopped playing him everyday.
  8. endaround
    Thing is Kennedy is just not good enough to pitch for the Yankees as a rookie. He's almost certain to struggle and that just isn't going to fly in the Bronx.
  9. endaround
    Or he had a bad game coming off injury rehab against a buzzsaw offense in a stadium that caters to home runs.
  10. endaround
    There was a study done either at fangraphs or hardballtimes (I think) to see what effect a "base stealer" on 1B does for a team. Now having a player on 1B is always helpful for the batter because it open up a huge hole on the right side so on average all betters perform batter with men on 1B. The question that they tried to answer was does having aa speedy guy on 1B cause distraction to the defense/pitcher giving an even larger advantage to the hitter. What tehy found was that having a base stealer on 1B actually caused the batters to perform worse, Whether this was due to constant throw overs screwing up a hitters concentration or because mangers stupidly called for hit and runs forcing swings at bad pitches can't really be known. But there isn't any reason to believe there is any huge positive effect for speed at 1B.
  11. endaround
    But Capellan is exactly the type of high ceiling guy that was stated the Brewers didn't try to get.
  12. endaround
    The point is that Lopez has had a very good 1.5 seasons lately and a good season in 2005. Trying to predict if that Lopez shows up or the Lopez that played every other point in time is a gamble.
  13. endaround
    Zach Jackson was in the 2005 futures game. Can we stop pretending that a 6'5" left hander with AA success at age 22 was some low ceiling fill in?
  14. endaround
    Until he pouts about not getting a huge multi year contract and plays how he did in Washington
  15. endaround
    Not sure how Cody Ross wouldn't cost much. He's an average defensive CFer with an above average bat under arby for 2 seasons. Unless the Marlins are aiming for another sub $30m payroll they don't have to move him for anything but a good package assuming they move Uggla.
  16. endaround
    Based on what? Hall was a plus defender in the infield, Lopez isn't.
  17. endaround
    Why is this myth constantly brought up? The Brewers did look for pitchers. They wanted Lowe but he wanted nothing to do with Milwaukee. They wanted Johnson but he wanted to stay out west if possible. Now this also should be a big red flag about getting pitchers in FA. Despite having a incredibly deep FA market last season with a ton of top arms the Brewers ended up with Looper.
  18. endaround
    Hardy isn't an average 3B though. He would be like 12th and isn't even close to the top guys. Thats why he doesn't have value. He isn't among the Zimmermans, he's among the Mark DeRosa's. Why doesmove Hall and not Hardy? Because Hall played other positions, Hardy hasn't.
  19. endaround
    Probably because a player capable of a .821 does have value at 3b. Hardy's 2008 OPS would have ranked 12th in MLB among 3rd basemen this season had he been able to duplicate it. Among qualified 3Bs in 2008, he would have ranked 9th. Obviously, those numbers have greater value at shortstop than at third base, since the position is more defense-oriented. To say that he doesn't have any value at another position doesn't actually make it true. And that's all distinctly mediocre even ignoring that Hardy's OPS is SLG dominated.
  20. endaround
    Hardy doesn't have value at 3B, never really has. Why does this keep coming up? Now Hall should never have been moved out of the infield but that was because neither Braun nor Weeks deserved those spots over Hall at the time.
  21. endaround
    That would be this year. Fukudome is a 1/2-3/4 a win below average in CF while Cameron has been the same above average.
  22. endaround
    If Morgan was already on the Brewers and we were talking about spending the money to keep Cameron or starting Morgan and spending $10m elsewhere thats one thing. But you assume that Morgan is available for peanuts from the Nationals when there is just no reason to believe that. That's like saying the Brewers should have traded Sheets in 2004 for 2 B level prospects because the Brewers suck so bad they won't care.
  23. endaround
    If by slightly you mean 1.5 wins better than Fukudome, yes.
  24. endaround
    Yeah but Hall wasn't given this huge contract either. $8m at its highest level would be what an average player could be expected to earn. Meaning that there was a great deal of fall off already built into the contract, Hall just crashed past that.
  25. endaround
    Cameron's batting runs are 10.8 above replacement while Morgan's are 4.5. And right when Gallardo gets expensive so does Morgan and you're ignoring the huge cost of acquiring Morgan. It would take at least one solid prospect. Unless you believe Morgan really is the greatest defensive CFer of all time and not that UZR is spitting out an outlier it makes no sense.
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