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endaround

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Everything posted by endaround

  1. endaround
    A league average bat that can play multiple positions seems like the perfect Stearns player. Just not sure it does much for this team right now. Does provide depth in case the injuries from this spring happen again. Outside of 2020 he's been a 3.5 or better fWAR player in both '18 and '19 and has been on pace to be around that this year. I'd say he's better than league average, value wise. Right, I meant average bat. His ZIPS ROS wRC+ is 101, so average bat. His ability to play 2B makes him above average in terms of value. He just isn't better than any current infielders.
  2. endaround
    A league average bat that can play multiple positions seems like the perfect Stearns player. Just not sure it does much for this team right now. Does provide depth in case the injuries from this spring happen again.
  3. endaround
    Donaldson and cash for salary this season for Cain, Turang, and multiple low level guys. Is this fair/reasonable? Buxton and Donaldson for Turang and JBJ would be reasonable. A lot depends on what the Twins want more, to get talent back or to get rid of Donaldson's salary.
  4. endaround
    A big overpay for Bryant unless Cubs pick up his salary and we send Lindbloom back as well. Mancini hasn't played outfield since 2019 so as a 1B it would be an overpay for him as well where he's average to slightly above. Though there would be ways to make it work.
  5. endaround
    Well, I’m certainly on the record as stating that Bowden is a doofus, but if this is legitimate, then no one can say they’re not seriously looking. Still doesn’t mean there’ll be a deal, though. One of those names is not like the others, one of those names does not belong
  6. endaround
    Well that's Bowden, he might think any real prospect is an overpay for Gallo
  7. endaround
    Given his success is mostly a 9.9% HR/FB rate, yeah. His 2021 xFIP is 4.15 compared to career average of 4.12.
  8. endaround
    Unless he comes as a salary dump (unlikely) Story really doesn't do much. He hasn't been good this year and only projects to be slightly above league average or so going forward. His top end of a 115 wRC+ or so is basically the equal any number of less expensive in cost to acquire 1B types (Rizzo, Schoop, Santana, Aguilar, etc.)
  9. endaround
    While he's currently on the IL, Kyle Schwarber is one of the better bats that should be available. He has a mutual option but you would think he would opt out to get a multi year deal. Not sure who would move to 1B, but his bat is equal to than of Bryant's (Zips wRC+ 128 vs 122 for the rest of the season) if his defense isn't there.
  10. endaround
    Schefter is on record saying nobody leaked it to him, it was stuff that was out there since the season ended, he did the math on his own and decided to send it out to the masses as fact. He's been loudly standing by his statement that Rodgers will definitely not show up to play for the Packers this season as recently as earlier this month. So yeah, I blame him. Schefter said he was the one who waited until the draft to report it. He then did another leak during game 6 of the NBA finals when eyes were one Wisconsin. So yeah, he's looking to get that Wojnarowski money.
  11. endaround
    Fangraphs had Marcano at #11 and a FV 40 keeping in mind Fangraphs tends to score low. Basically don't believe he can stick defensively at short and doesn't believe a power spike is coming so he likely ends up as a utility player.
  12. endaround
    This initially seemed like a light return to me, but apparently the Rays just have a ridiculous system as Ryan was a top 100 prospect prior to 2020. Seller's market so far, not ideal for us Cruz projects to be worth about 1.3 wins going forward. That's about $13M in value given higher premium on wins now. He is owed about $6M so about $7M in in value. FV45 pitching prospects on average are valued at about $4M. Total of $8M vs $7M. So really not outside the win premium of $10M for wins for teams trying to make the playoffs vs $8M or so per win in general.
  13. endaround
    The thing is, the Brewers don't have enough to trade to go big.
  14. endaround
    For Ryan and Strotman. Two older AAA pitchers who are basically MLB ready.
  15. endaround
    If the Cubs cannot reach a contract extension agreement with Rizzo, what do they care where they trade him? They take the best offer be it Milwaukee or anywhere else and move on. The alternative is they watch him play out the string on a second rate team then leave as a free agent or trade him a somewhere for less desirable talent. Realistically if the Cubs shop Rizzo, they are probably going to get several decent offers that are all pretty close. In a video game you would just take the best offer even if it was from the Brewers, but the real life implications matter. Imagine the backlash from local media, casual fans and season tickets holders if the Brewers had traded Braun in '15 to the Cubs or Cardinals. It's not really worth that kind of headache for the team if all the offers are kind of close anyway, and it's not worth it for the Brewers to offer something head and shoulders above everyone else for a 2 month rental. 1. The Brewers are not the Cubs rival. The Cardinals are the Cubs rival. Also no one is going to care about where someone plays for two months in a dead season. If Braun was traded in 15 it would have been a one day story until the battle for the #6 wide receiver in training camp supplanted it. Similarly the White Sox are likely playoff bound and the Bears have a new QB who will definitely make things work this time. 2. The bigger issue for the Cubs is that unless the Cubs send along salary, no one they have to trade has that much value. Rizzo and Schoop have the same offensive output and one costs $4.5M this season and the other $16.5M.
  16. endaround
    People are really underestimating what it would take to get Ramirez. He has like $100 million in value. Mitchell, Hiura, Urias, and Ashby might get you half way there. If I'm Cleveland I'm not taking quantity for Ramirez. Then again I wouldn't trade Ramirez anyway.
  17. endaround
    Thy may have since dropped Adames' value some since he was traded for some bullpen arms. I mean it is a pretty big data point on his perceived value. Fangraphs also has an article on replacement level killers talking about 1B today. You'll never guess which team shows up!
  18. endaround
    Looking at pitchers out there, and my god Rich Hill is still pitching!
  19. endaround
    Burnes needs the CGSO for the Cy Young!
  20. endaround
    With Pina and Burnes up I don't understand why not just let Gray have the inning at this point. The Red's bullpen is about as tired as the Brewer's
  21. endaround
    Giving players a game off on a day game following a rain delayed extra innings night game is not the end of the world.
  22. endaround
    I also didn't realize he has 2 more years on his deal and a cheap price. I assumed he was a half year rental, but I do overvalue prospects which is hard for me to get away from! I wouldn't expect Cleveland to deal Ramirez. If they really did, I would expect some very high end prospect bidding for him. My guess is if we were to have any chance at all, our offer would have to be headlined by Mitchell and Turang and that would basically be non-negotiable. It would take Hiura, Mitchell, Turang and like 2 other prospects. Ramirez has like $100 million in value.
  23. endaround
    Yes. Gallo is owed less money and has an additional year remaining. That said Freeman projects for over 2 wins for the rest of the season so has about $20M in value (seller's premium) and is owed about $9M. So $11M in excess value. A 45 positional prospect is worth $6M. So Turang and another 45 Brewer prospect should be a fair price. For Gallo, he has like $17M value this year and another $17-20M next year. Hard to see him being gotten without Mitchell/Ashby unless Texas really wants a whole bunch of quantity.
  24. endaround
    The Cubs have been dying to sell because the Ricketts want money. Why? Who knows. The Cubs' payroll is a blip to the Ricketts but whatever. They have been trying to cut payroll. When your GM basically comes out and says were are now in sell mode it was almost likely they were wafting for the Cubs to fall below .500 to start moving salaries.
  25. endaround
    Not sure how people think Suter is a low strike out pitcher. The big issue is that the bullpen is like 4-5 deep and 2 were already used. Not sure who people think would really be better.
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