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Never Outhustled

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Everything posted by Never Outhustled

  1. Never Outhustled
    The 1st issue is I don't believe Lackey is a #1 anymore, and don't believe he will be one in the future. He was great at age 27_29, like most players, but his production, stuff, and conditioning, have all fallen off greatly since. I did compare Lackey versus Cameron, as I'm assuming we can pick up starters far better than Looper and Suppan in trades of Hardy and McGehee. I don't think thats a stretch at all. I also believe the Brewers will pick up some young guys with stuff that Peterson can mold, like he did with Oliver Perez and John Maine. Also, if you project Gerut a starter, then we have no OF depth, and that would need to be factored into the equation too.
  2. Never Outhustled
    I like Gerut, but his projection is likely assuming he get limited ABs versus LHP. You can't even begin to compare him to a super durable everyday guy like Cameron. It should also be noted that the projections for Cameron have always been lower than his actual results, so why should next year be any different.
  3. Never Outhustled
    How does Lackey instead of Cameron make us better? Our pitching improves, but we have a huge hole in CF. Lackey, even if you prorate his WAR over a full season, still is only about the same as Cameron this year. Cameron was worth twice the WAR as Lackey last season, when both players missed 1 month. Throw in the fact that Lackey will make twice as much money as Cameron next year, and that move does not seem advantageous. Also, Lackey will require a longterm deal, a poor idea for such a poorly conditioned athlete.
  4. Never Outhustled
    TheCrew07 certainly has a very intriguing idea here. The length of the contract is less of an issue because its total value isn't very high. Having multiple option years would be very exciting, and its hard to picture that turning out undesirably. Along with Shields, Ian Schnell has a similar deal. The Pirates did very well in trading Schnell, despite his refusal to play for them, in large part I theorize because of the contract he was signed to. The Brewers had stated that they already had the equipment to do a Rick Peterson style evaluation, and the 1st pitcher William Raasch was planning to do a video breakdown of was Gallardo. Was this to give the club a better idea of his risk of injury so they could project whether he was an ideal candidate for extension?
  5. Never Outhustled
    Fielder provided evidence that he is the rare player who is a client of Boars, but not a pawn of Boras, this past offseason when he accepted a 2 year deal during his arby years. Next Fielder will have decide how his destiny will unravel. Will he decide he would rather become an all-time icon in the city of Milwaukee and make more money than any sane person could ever spend, or will he strive for pride-filled gesture of becoming one of the games highest paid players, become a career nomad, and possibly gaining greater national recognition? Will a desire to win factor into choosing either path? I can't even speculate which he'll choose, much less which path is the right one when I'm not wearing his shoes.
  6. Never Outhustled
    True defensively, but were not talking about a 900 OPS guy like those guys are. Carter isn't that in AAA, he'd be more likely a mid 700 OPS in the majors. The majors is nothing like the Cal League or the west division of the PCL. Carter was only a little above average offensively in those leagues, not dominant. I don't see how he compares to Gamel. Carter has not been as good offensively when you curve thier stats, he's a LF, not a 3B, and he's been older at each level. He's never wasted his time on a MLB bench.Carter could be a nice 5th OF/1st PH off the bench, but he doesn't compare to a potential All-Star 3B.
  7. Never Outhustled
    Per Cots, the Brewers pay Hall $7.150 million in 2010. They will have to pay buyouts for Weathers and Looper (.4 and 1 million). Only $7.5 million of Hoffmans $8 million guaranteed is due in 2010. The team can easily gain payroll flexibility by non-tendering Seth McClung, and possibly Dave Bush.
  8. Never Outhustled
    Carters stats are strong, but they take a hit when you curve them for park factors. Throw in that he's a poor defender, and I don't see much there. He's the same age as Adam Heether, but he isn't as versatile, and didn't have nearly the season Heether did this year.
  9. Never Outhustled
    Mat had a 864 OPS when playing 3B. He had an oustanding season. At this age, McGehee was still a nobody. The debate rages on. I think most baseball people would project Gamel higher than McGehee for next season. I would think the king of yelling out"small sample" as Al is wouldn't completely buy into any player with such a pedestrian career as McGehee after just 1-355 AB season. McGehee has ability, but he hasn't proven anything yet. Its haphazard to keep both when the team is desperate for pitching. McGehee should be enough to acquire a pitcher on the rise, a guy like Edwin Jackson was last year. If that oppurtunity exists, the Brewers need to pounce on it. His ability to play a tollerable 2B helps his cause.
  10. Never Outhustled
    Actually, at his very best, he comes dangerously close to pitching no-hitters. So does Odell Jones. Was he good?
  11. Never Outhustled
    Mike Jones has been re-signed, per Gord Ash to a minor league contract. As far as minor league FA's go, he would have been one of the more interesting arms available. Good news.
  12. Never Outhustled
    He does to me, I'd let Peterson review his video and let him decide. Ya, with Morrow on board the Brewers could resign Cameron and still have about $5 million to spend on a pitcher. If Hart were dealt, there would be about $9 million. Thats assuming theres no increase in budget, but its very possible there will be. McGehee could also land either a very interesting unproven pitcher, or a quality guy with a big contract.
  13. Never Outhustled
    I agree that Jack Z is likely a little higher on Salome than many teams would be, but the Mariners do have another young catcher, Adam Moore, who their very high on. He has a similar experience level to Salome, but the strong defensive Rob Johnson could bridge the gap until they're sure he's ready. Its unfortunate that Moore took a big step forward this year, or they'd likely pursue Salome heavily.
  14. Never Outhustled
    How does that change his production, or how it effects the total combined production of the replacements?
  15. Never Outhustled
    Good thing where a guy fits in your lineup is completely irrelevent to Runs Scored. The teams that score the most runs have the highest OPS. Thats fact. Cameron has a high OPS for his position. Thats fact. If the team replaces Cameron with a lower OPS performer, they'll score fewer runs. Thats fact. Cameron was 4.5 Wins Above Replacement this year because he performed extremely well compared to his peers. He has been ben the best dollar/production performer of any free agent signed for $6 million or more in the 2007 offseason. Its extremely likely that he'll be the same this offseason. The team could spend his money on other FA's, but only if the want to make the team worse.
  16. Never Outhustled
    Only 2/5s of the rotation underachieved. Suppan and Looper pitched as projected. Loopers 2008 ERA was a statistical anomally. His 2007 ERA was more accurate to his ability, and now he's regressing, as expected, due to age. Its very clear that Suppan stuff is gone. Looper and Suppan project to be worse than ever next year. As for Bush, sure he's better than his ERA last year, but he also had an ERA over 5 in 2007, how many excuses are we going to make for this guy? He's average at his very best, and very few pitchers can maintain there very best over a 6 month season. He has a below average career ERA because he's a below average pitcher. The average ERA includes pitchers who have also struggled with injury, had bad luck... You can't shoot for average. Every year, theres pitchers who, because of health, greatly underachieve. You need to have someone to have a great year to make up for it and drag the team ERA down. Bush, Looper, and Suppan don't have the ability to have a great year. The team is better off taking a chance on less proven pitchers with greater upside. Also, its weak to continually blame our shortcomings last year on the replacements when Narveson had the best ERA among starters, by a wide margin.
  17. Never Outhustled
    Terrific news. This is the best hire the organization has made since Jack Z. This is bigger than any free agent signing. This move offsets Doug Melvin's weakness as a GM, his inability to recognize and acquire quality pitching. Melvin now has a chance to be a great GM. Congrats to him for pulling off the epic hire. Now let Peterson identify some scrap heap guys we can make small trades for, like Peterson did with the Mets for guys he fixed like Oliver Perez and John Maine. We might be able to do a Perez/Suppan swap. Bring in an underappriciated minor league sidearmer, Disco Hayes, who is very similar to Chad Bradford, a guy Peterson gave an oppurtunity to in Oakland. Let Peterson identify the pitchers we trade Hardy and McGehee for. Stay away from big free agents contracts, we don't need to waste money with Peterson on board. Ditch the scrubs we have now, Bush and Looper, and replace them with guys with legit velocity and stuff.
  18. Never Outhustled
    This is unreal. Ken Johjima has opted out of the last 2 years of his deal with Seattle, giving up $16 million guarateed, so he can return to play in Japan. He had just a 296 OBA last year, with a 702 OPS, and lost playing time because of his defense. Things just keep coming up roses for Jack Z. He took over what was supposed to be a massive rebuilding project, but provided a winner in year 1. Now, he enters free agency with monopoly money. Any chance Jeff Suppan opts out of his deal to return to Little League?
  19. Never Outhustled
    Pretty sure the Mets aren't going to cut Luis Castillo coming off a 387 OBA season. Theres a bunch of teams that could use Lopez, but the Mets won't be one. Better fits include the White Sox, Twins, Dodgers, Cubs, Astros and Tigers.
  20. Never Outhustled
    I think he leaned himself out after having some back issues years ago, if i remember correctly.
  21. Never Outhustled
    People love Escobar defensively because he makes routine plays look great, while Hardy makes great plays look routine. Hardy, at this point, is the better defender.
  22. Never Outhustled
    Jaret Wright was the 3rd big money signing for the Yankees that year. Brian Cashman isn't all that good.
  23. Never Outhustled
    No its not, its the steal of the century. Greinke was phenomanal this year. A massive 9.4 WAR. Thats what Fielder and Gallardo were, combined! Thats twice as much as Ryan Braun! Greinke pitched like CC did for us last year, but not for 3 months, but for an entire season. He was just 25 years old while accomplishing that, and is signed to an under-market deal through 2012. He was the best player in baseball this year, and no one else was even close.
  24. Never Outhustled
    Brian Price has been hired by the Reds, which should clear the way for Peterson to sign here.
  25. Never Outhustled
    We don't have enough of those guys actually. We finished 3rd in Runs Scored and K's. Colorado was 2nd in both categories. The problem we had this year was too many nothing or nothing guys like Kendall, Hall, and Hardy. Cameron was 3 WAR better than Cabrera, thats a huge difference. Our entire starting rotation wasn't even 3 WAR this year. Cabrera is a poor defensive CF, and he should be replaced.
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