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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    You base that on what? Kang's posted almost identical numbers to those since joining the Bucs: .273/.355/.483 and he's done it in a pitcher's park. Thames' KBO numbers were a smidge better than Kang's and he'll be playing in a hitter's park.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    Did you guys even hear the news conference when Thames was signed? It was made pretty clear that he was an integral piece in what they are planning on being contending teams within his tenure. It makes sense because first base is the one position they don't have a prospect on the near horizon. I shake my head sometimes when before a guy has even donned a uniform his trade value is being discussed. This team is being positioned to compete in 1-2 years. Remember the Braun to LA deal which fell through had Puig coming back. There will still be deals done, and some may involve prospects as the main return but mostly it's going to be positioning to improve the roster for 2018, not 2023. The current roster isn't devoid of controllable talent and there's more on the way. Getting antsy to deal a current player going well, especially one you control for 4-5 years makes little sense unless you need to fill a current spot on your roster with a glaring need or you think that player can't sustain a high level and he's got a potentially better replacement ready.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Look you don't literally cut a guy coming off a 41 HR, 94 RBI season just because he's going to make close to $10 million. That would be insane. They let Carter go because they figured Thames would be an upgrade and balance the lineup. Kang is a reprobate, but he's put up numbers very similar to those projections for Thames having had to adjust to a new culture. Thames was every bit as productive in the KBO as Kang if not more.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    I was pretty high on Hector Gomez after he tore up winter ball. It might mean something, but probably not. True, but Hernan had respectable numbers in MLB too. I dont recall Hector ever doing that. Perez hit well last year in winter ball too. He's a very talented player entering his prime. It shouldn't surprise anyone. We get all excited when a 23 year old puts up good numbers in AA, but somehow when a 25 year old like Perez puts up solid offensive numbers in the big leagues, because he wasn't on a top prospect list 3 years ago, his accomplishments are diminished. Counsell needs to find 550 or so plate appearances for him. He, along with Villar, Santana, Broxton, Arcia and Shaw are a solid group of core controllable youngish players that are poised for breakout seasons. You just never know.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    All very valid which is why it would behoove the Brewers to see if they can re-acquire Jeffress for one of their excess (Nelson or Anderson in particular) starters even if they have to include a lower B or C level prospect.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    Exactly. Braun's no-trade clause isn't going to be easily worked around. Once he becomes a 10/5 guy a couple months into the season and can veto any deal anywhere it may even make it tougher to deal him. I think that's the main reason Brewers will listen to offers, but they need to stand firm and get real value back. Getting "stuck" with the services of a Hall of Fame caliber player (even tho PED's will keep him out) for his age 33-36 seasons isn't a disaster by any means. A lot of teams would like to get his services and not give up anything of value. Doing that kind of deal doesn't make any sense.
  7. JohnBriggs12
    Those were good ones.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    Pretty reasonable deal of $3 million plus incentives. I had Storen near the top as fit for Brewers.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    Don't kid yourself, this is a symptom of a potential real threat for Brewer ownership. As long as the Brewers are intent on not even competing and there's a team 90 miles away that's not only competing but winning championships with a profile that dwarfs the product the Brewers have, there's going to be fans, particularly young ones that will gravitate toward the Cubs. The White Sox are petrified that they are going to lose an entire generation of fans in Chicago to the Cubs. Don't think that can't happen in Milwaukee? Think again. All you have to do is look at the following the Bulls have had since the Jordan era. Bradley Center has filled with Bulls fans ever since when they've played each other and not all those fans drove up from Chicago. Only now is there some light at the end of the tunnel for the Bucks. The Brewers need to compete sooner rather than later with their young talent or they'll never get some of those fans back.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    He'd never approve a deal to Philly...but if he did, I'd hold out for Alfaro and either Cozens or Hoskins and not settle for less.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    Please no on the split seasons. It was a joke. 1981 was a miserable season. Brewers had the best team and June, July and half of August there was no baseball and even with a better overall record than the Yankees, they had to play them in a playoff series.. I couldn't get excited about what were fake made up on the fly playoffs. Teams that "won" the first half didn't go through any pressure of a race, then had playoffs assured and didn't need to do anything in the 2nd half. Reds had the best overall record in the NL West but didn't qualify for playoffs. Same with Cardinals in the NL East. Yankees had the 4th best overall record in the AL East. No way they deserved to be in the postseason. Same goes for Royals who were no better than 4th in the AL West.
  12. JohnBriggs12
    Sports is the rare business where enough ineptitude eventually pays off. The issue then is do you try to be inept (tanking) or just let it happen naturally? Letting it happen naturally isn't good for job security of the management team so nowadays they do it intentionally and tell fans it's all part of the grand plan, and that way they look like geniuses if and when the fruits of ineptitude in the form of high draft picks lift the team to contender status.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    All you guys are undervaluing Perez. Perez was in the big leagues with Detroit at 21 so there's always been tremendous upside for him. He's just now tapping into his potential. His controllability adds to his value. That's not an outrageous return for him at all assuming the Brewers will sweeten the deal with say Pina, and a lower level arm. I just read that if Boston has a weakness, it's depth and with Perez able to play anywhere, he'd go a long way to solving that issue. If you threw in Garza, it would lessen the return so no.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    I still don't understand why Attanasio doesn't invest in a stadium 75 miles to the west in Madison for the Brewers AAA home. Do the Brewers fear it would be too popular and diminish home attendance at Miller Park?
  15. JohnBriggs12
    LF doesn't require the long throws that RF does. That's why weak armed OF are put in LF. Scooter's arm is likely average by LF standards. He can get it from short left to home. That's all you need. Perez was fine in CF and RF, and has the arm as well. In fact, he's a better defensive RF than Santana in my opinion. Nieuwenhuis' only attribute offensively is flashes of power. His OBP is the result of his getting deep in counts by failing to get the ball in play when he swings, not because he's particularly patient. Finally, everyone is assuming Shaw's the answer at 3B. I'm not so certain. He never hit that well in the minors and he slumped in the 2nd half of 2016. Oh he'll get plenty of time having been a trade acquisition should he start slow, but it might not be a horrible idea to hang on to some depth until he shows he's indeed the real deal.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    His arm is good enough for LF. He moves well enough too. With Perez able to play CF and RF, they could decide to keep Scooter over Nieuwenhuis as key LH bench bat and maybe they keep Reed or Wren for extra OF coverage. No need to rush. See what happens this spring. I like Gennett and believe he's an everyday player. I wouldn't give him away.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Nelson is in the rotation most probably; if not, he's at AAA/AA rotation. No way that they are going to mess with him in that tweener role. He's actually my odds on favorite for opening day starter if he does better than ok in spring training. Hader is a starter at AAA/AA to start the season. Scooter is gone, probably, agreed... Garza is in the rotation, or he will be cut or traded for not much with Brewers picking up all of his salary. Do you remember September of 2015? Brewers aren't touching that again. This thread is based on the roster of today. Certainly that will change. Nelson is the most likely of the starting candidates to be traded. Garza will be shunted to the pen to make room for guys who they control beyond this year, whether he likes it or not. If he walks away, that's a bonus. Hader needs to face major league hitters to continue his growth. Another year in Colorado or back at AAA will hurt his development more than temporarily transitioning to reliever in the big leagues. When a spot opens he'll start, but for now he's a nice arm for the pen that's short on them.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    Elmore is no longer in the Brewer organization.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    Notice that ex Pirate Jose Tabata is tearing up the VWL. Anyone know if he's available?
  20. JohnBriggs12
    SP: Guerra, Davies, Peralta, Anderson, Milone, Nelson RP: Garza (long), Torres, Barnes, Marinez, Knebel, Hader, Cravy IF: Thames, Villar, Arcia, Shaw, Gennett, OF: Braun, Broxton, Santana, Niewenhuis IF/OF: Perez C: Susac, Bandy Brewers go with 6 man rotation (rotating 5th man) as versatility of Perez allows a 13 man staff. Milone and Nelson rotate between rotation and pen depending on opponents. P.S. There is almost zero chance they don't deal away at least one starter, and add a veteran reliever before opening day and chances of Gennett being dealt are about 75% opening up a spot for one of Rivera, DeJesus or Sogard.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    Braun isn't available in the true sense. Batista, among other RH bats still out there, is.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    I'm guessing they are zeroing in on FA reliever to fill that final spot.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Going to be fun seeing where Counsell sticks Perez on any given day. Got to have his bat in the lineup somewhere almost every day, whether it's spelling any of the 3 OF, platooning either at 3B or 1B, or giving Arcia a mental break at SS occasionally.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    Interesting that Jeff Zimmerman, the fantasy guru on fangraphs projects Thames as the 21st best first basemen, between Brandon Belt and C.J. Cron. That's a far cry from their stats projections, considering Belt's posted back to back OPS seasons of .834 and .868 playing in a pitcher's park.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    A good comparison going forward for Braun might be Paul Konerko. His WAR doubled between his 33 and 34 seasons from 1.8 to 3.5. At age 35 it dropped to 2.7 and at 36 to 2.0 before falling off the proverbial cliff at 37. Braun is just now heading into his age 33 season, and throwing out the "bad thumb" season, he's still roughly a 3.0 to 3.5 WAR player, fangraphs projections notwithstanding. It's reasonable to expect some dropoff starting in his age 35 season (2019) but he figures in my estimation to likely still be in the 2.5 range in 2019 and 2.0 range for his age 36 year which is the final guaranteed year of his deal. Considering his salary goes down those two seasons, he's still not a bad contract.
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