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JohnBriggs12

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Everything posted by JohnBriggs12

  1. JohnBriggs12
    Arizona numbers are notoriously unreliable. I don't think a 6 man rotation to start the year is out of the question. Even the Cubs have talked about it because of the heavy innings their starters logged last year. Look what the Reds just got for one decent year for Straily. Brewers need their mid-career types (Anderson, Nelson, Peralta) with a bit of control left to reach those levels and they'll be able to cash them in handsomely. Nelson could go down to AAA, but if he's not back and performing close to his ability soon, his value will drop further.
  2. JohnBriggs12
    Luis Castillo, Austin Brice and Isaiah White. Brewers need to have guys like Nelson, Anderson and Peralta put up a season similar to Straily's 2016 and they'll be able to load up a year from now. Those numbers are within their reach with a bit more consistency.
  3. JohnBriggs12
    Don't have link but Brewer website carrying story that Josh Hader is the number one LH pitching prospect in all of baseball according to MLBPipeline.com.
  4. JohnBriggs12
    Amen. Brewers have cashed in a lot of their veterans and the system is pretty flush now. They'll have more opportunities with other pieces too. Once Braun becomes a 5 and 10 guy in a few months, it will all be moot. Brewer fans had a history with him so that made it easier to move on from his PED episode. He's still poison elsewhere. It's the best for all parties that he's a Brewer for life. I still think there's a good chance Braun hasn't played his last postseason game as a Brewer either.
  5. JohnBriggs12
    I see .255 and 18 hr and him sitting vs. lefties. He's not a 3, 4 or 5 hitter. Thames will hit cleanup. Shaw will hit 6th.
  6. JohnBriggs12
    An article such as this is why I don't understand there not being a little more short term optimism about this team. There's simply too many unknowns at this point for Brewers to simply be completely written off in 2017. What if Broxton becomes a star? What about Thames or Shaw or Santana or Arcia? Isn't it possible that any of these guys could break out as Villar did in 2016? Can Guerra be an ace? Aren't there plenty of viable major league arms competing for rotation spots?
  7. JohnBriggs12
    If there's a market for Sonny Gray, then there's a market for Jimmy Nelson. Nelson's never put together a full season like Gray has, but his good stretches have been very good and they are similar ages. Gray is a lottery ticket. If he returns to his 14-15 form, he can either be your ace or a guy you can cash in for a lot more than a Corey Ray. But Brewers have guys at same stages of their careers who with a good first half in 2017, can be turned into a significant return either in July or next winter.
  8. JohnBriggs12
    To underscore monty57's point, Cubs owner Tom Ricketts responded by correcting a national correspondent who mentioned to him the pain of going through multiple 90 loss seasons saying, "we wish would have had only 90 loss seasons". Dale Sveum was fired after losing 197 games in two seasons. Even rebuilding teams need to maximize their potential or the manager pays the price. As nice as Miller Park is, it doesn't have the museum type attraction that draws a large fan base even when the team is awful. There are limits on what even patient fans will endure and still show up.
  9. JohnBriggs12
    27 year old controllable healthy starting pitchers with Nelson's stuff have value even if diminished coming off a poor year. Would he bring a top prospect? No, but he may never reach that point as a Brewer. I think he's more likely to succeed in a new environment. Can the Brewers wait and see? Sure. But I wouldn't assume the lack of interest at this stage of the offseason to mean teams don't like Nelson. As long as there are better options out there in FA and the trade market, teams aren't going to clamor for Nelson, but one the FA dry up and the hot trade targets are off the market, you'll find out his actual value.
  10. JohnBriggs12
    Considering the market for controllable arms like Quintana, I'm sure Stearns might be thinking he could hit the jackpot next winter if Nelson comes around and performs for a full season like he did in April and May of 2016. But he runs the risk of losing what value he might have now if he continues to struggle. Tough calls like this are why GM's make the big bucks.
  11. JohnBriggs12
    McCarthy really is just in the deal to offset some of Braun's deal. To be honest I think this deal is more likely / realistic than the ones throwing around DeLeon or other top prospects. Not many are going to like it but if a Braun deal brings back Puig, I think it's highly likely Puig is the centerpiece of the deal. Brewers would be better.off eating a bit of Braun's contract than having to take McCarthy. I wouldn't do that one either way
  12. JohnBriggs12
    The trade market for back end starters has been completely quiet as teams grab up those guys from the low end free agent bin. It might take a guy or two to go down with an injury in spring for Stearns to move a starter. I'm not so worried about the return. Nelson's not bringing back a top prospect at this point. Maybe a need develops on the big league club or you get a lower level guy but Brewers need to start making room for the starters in waiting.
  13. JohnBriggs12
    Man I can't believe the negativity about this move. The Brewers have the lowest payroll in baseball. It's not like they are spending Aroldis Chapman money. It's likely a one year commitment and it still allows guys like Barnes and Knebel to gain plenty of experience in high leverage situations. Neither of those two has stuff that screams closer right off the bat. It's very deflating blowing game after game late, I don't care if your team is capable of 100 wins or 70 wins. We didn't have to suffer through that last year and that made a rebuilding year a little more palatable. Yes the odds them contending in 2017 are long but they aren't completely nil. A lot would have to happen sure, but there are a lot of unknowns on this team. The least they can do is start the year with a respectable competitive roster.
  14. JohnBriggs12
    The acquisition of lefties might just be a product of not having any to start with and wanting to balance the roster out. Or it could be simply because they were the best available and just happened to hit left handed. I'm not so sure it's because they ike left handed hitters better than right handed ones. The sum of the parts approach makes sense to me given our situation. If we can't afford huge contracts it makes sense to have a lot of not terrible options to keep competitive for more than a two year stretch. The Brewers led the NL in HR by RH hitters in 2016 and were last in the league in HR by LH hitters and most of their top level prospects are RH hitters. Stearns realized the need and acquired two LH bats that are controllable for a while. I also think Stearns may have been pleasantly surprised by his current roster and wanted to see how they'd do with a more balanced lineup for 2017. I also think Stearns realized that even for a rebuilding team, blowing leads late is very deflating so he's not just looking at flipping guys in the pen though that remains a possibility for sure.
  15. JohnBriggs12
    There's an awful lot of smoke to this right now. Don't be shocked if Holland is wearing a Brewer uniform come next month. Still a hunch but McCalvy's been on this.
  16. JohnBriggs12
    I don't get the excitement over Cordell. He put up good numbers at High Desert at age 23? Not impressed. He'll turn 25 in March and has yet to play a game above AA and he's coming off a year where his OBP was .319. He's got some power but he's never hit more than 19 in a season. In short, he's just a guy.
  17. JohnBriggs12
    Pagan's still out there. At 35, he's more suited to be a 4th OF, but he'd be an improvement over Kirk and be a guy who could possibly be flipped at the deadline. Imagine he's pricing himself rather high and hence nobody's taken him. Still runs well enough to have stolen 15 bases last year, so he'd fit with Counsell's style too.
  18. JohnBriggs12
    The opt-out isn't the insurance policy. The second year in a deal that the team is obligated to pay if he doesn't opt out is his insurance policy. If he's a top closer in 2017, it's almost certain he'll opt out and that benefits him. Still you might get a top closer in 2017 for less than true market value if you offer that type of deal and if he's going well, teams will still be willing to deal, just as the Cubs did for Chapman last year.
  19. JohnBriggs12
    If they just sit around and continue to trot players out who are failing, I'd agree with you that it's quite possibly bottom 5 team, but I don't expect that to happen. If Broxton's 2nd half was a mirage, then Brinson will replace him. Perez is around to fill in anywhere for a position hit with injury or poor performance. If any of the starters on opening day aren't performing, there will be any number of arms to choose from as a replacement. Likely 3 of the 5 starters on opening day still will have options. Whoever the other two are, between Anderson, Peralta, Milone and Garza can be discarded without hesitation. The bullpen for 2017 isn't fully in place yet. There's plenty of reasons to believe that there will be enough improvements to offset the downgrade at catcher too. Santana missed most of last year. CF looks completely different than it did a year ago. The lineup has better balance and much more depth to it. Can they still make it better between now and opening day? Absolutely as they have pieces that can be moved.
  20. JohnBriggs12
    I honestly don't think anyone at MLBTR has a clue about Hernan Perez.
  21. JohnBriggs12
    All the contenders are pretty well set at 3B. Valbuena can't find a job. Yankees can't get rid of Headley. White Sox can't unload Frazier.
  22. JohnBriggs12
    Brewers value in Nieuwenhuis as a guy who can platoon from time to time in CF and RF. With both Broxton and Santana with much weaker splits vs. RHP, they can definitely use a guy capable in that role. Only question I have is whether there's a better option for that role. I don't see one internally, but Nieuwenhuis' modest .732 OPS vs. RHP in 2016 would have me looking for one. Colby Rasmus is still out there though how much of an upgrade if any he would be is debatable but at least he's had some decent years as recently as 2015. Why not bring Rasmus in and let them compete or experiment this spring with Scooter in the OF? If Detroit wanted Nieuwenhuis type, they'd just go and get Rasmus, who shouldn't cost all that much.
  23. JohnBriggs12
    Hoping he lands in Toledo and has a big year.
  24. JohnBriggs12
    It's a blueprint on how to move a veteran somewhat pricy arm. You take back a useful but also overpriced veteran bat. I'd have been thrilled with a Garza for Smith deal. I'd still be offering Garza to the Rockies for Parra.
  25. JohnBriggs12
    Why would Stearns be kicking himself? He doesn't have to figure out what to with McCarthy and he's still has one of the premier bats in all of baseball manning LF who's locked up for 4 more seasons.
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