danzig6767
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Everything posted by danzig6767
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1. I'd bet Attanasio has made a large amount of money of the Brewers already. Besides that, he only paid 225 million for the team. If he put the Brewers up for sale after the season, he'd easily get 600-700 million, maybe more given the skyrocketing value for sports franchises. 2. I don't begrudge owners making money, but i'd rather see the players who actually are the product fans go to see get a bigger cut compared to already billionaire owners. -
I think Arrieta ends up getting less guaranteed years/overall compensation than he and Boras envisioned, but come down to a final decision, some team offers a better contract than the Brewers. I'm not as down as others are on how Arrieta will produce, at least for say the next two years, but i don't want to be on the hook for years four and potentially five, assuming it would take a fifth year option of some kid to get a deal done.
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Three reasons 1. He'll get more rest days off than any of those past seasons you mentioned now that he's older. Even if he miraculously went all of next season injury free, odds are high that he'd get at least 20-25 games of rest. 2. Besides those rest days, i just don't think the odds are good that Braun can avoid some sort of strain or pull to some body part of his which results in a few weeks off. 3. If Santana and both Phillips/Brinson are on the big league roster, i see Counsell trimming some starts from Braun and Santana so long as those two young guys aren't struggling. Maybe 60 games was a bit excessive, but if i had to lay odds on an over/under for how many games Braun starts this year, excluding games he is off but pinch hits, i wouldn't go higher than 105-110 starts.
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I share your concerns about Brinson and his health issues, but Phillips also has an issue to scare people and that's his K rate in the minors. He struck out a ton both in AA/AAA and then struck out 34 times in only 98 at bats last year with the Brewers. Some guys can still be productive hitters in the major even though they struggle to make contact, but it's the biggest red flag for Phillips. I'd rather trade neither guy because this season is a near ideal setup to see what we have with both. Simply trade Broxton for whatever best offer can get done. That opens up 162 games in CF. Braun is a near lock to miss 50-60 games between days off and various strains/pulls. If Santana wasn't traded, that's another 10-15 games where he rests. So you'd have around 220-230ish games that Brinson/Phillips could split to see what we have with each. Sure, if a really good offer came this offseason involving either guy for a young starting pitcher, then pull the trigger, but no prospect is a lock to be good. Keeping both Brinson/Phillips though allows the Brewers to get a nice look at each come next year without then worrying maybe we traded the wrong guy.
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Looking around the league, Walker may want 3-4 years at 10 million plus per year, but i see the odds being slim at best that he finds a team who meets those desires. I'm really curious to see if Villar can bounce back from his nightmare season, so i'm fine with standing pat at second base, but if Stearns can wait out Walker and get a deal for two years, i'd be fine with that also. There are going to be many free agents who went into this offseason with really lofty dollar amounts floating in their heads, but at some point will have to accept a reality that the market for their services simply isn't what they hoped for.
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George Springer went one pick before Jungmann. Sonny Gray isn't special, but he's certainly a quality starter. It does get rough though after Gray at 18.
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Brewers release Taylor Jungmann
danzig6767 replied to A Swing and A Drive's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
I can't believe the number of first round failures the Brewers had during that stretch. It's really stunning how little value they have been able to get out of those players. Was it a draft failure or a development failure? In nearly every year, there were players taken after the Brewers pick who went on to stardom, or at least valuable performance. Not in 2011 that draft is looking to be very bad for just about everyone. https://www.baseball-reference.com/draft/index.fcgi?year_ID=2011&draft_round=1&draft_type=junreg&query_type=year_round That's going a bit to far Lindor/Rendon/Springer all have to be looked at as very positive picks for their teams. Sonny Gray and Baez good. Jose Fernandez would be considered fabulous had he not died in the boating accident. Cole isn't a superstar for a first overall pick, but he's been far from a bust. Dylan Bundy may still amount to something. Archie Bradley was pretty dominant last year when moved to a relief role. Jackie Bradley had two nice years before struggling last season. Joe Panik a solid starting second baseman. Certainly not a stellar first round class, but not as terrible as you make it out to be. -
So much would also depend on what we got for say Santana and Broxton, along with what Cain was paid. If hypothetically though he was signed at 3yrs with a 4th year a team option or based on certain criteria being met, maybe Cain plays only a year or two in CF and then moved to RF as his speed declines, but odds are he'd be a plus defender at a corner spot. Sure, much of Cain's value had been by being a very good defensive CF, the most important defensive position in the outfield, but there still is value also at being a really good defender in RF, so long at his bat remained pretty good. Santana is the reverse. That dude is already a very good hitter and could get even better at the plate, but he's bad defensively.
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They've all set unbelievably high prices that no team is willing to bite on. Cobb and Lynn are mid tier FA. Neither should sniff anything over $15 million per year. But they're out there thinking some team will come through with $18-20 million per year. Arrieta and Darvish too are unrealistic in their demands. Both want 5 or 6 year deals at around $25 million per. That isn't going to happen. They will both be lucky to crack $88 million over four years. I'd much rather give Arrieta 100 million than Wade Davis 50 million.
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Hard to argue with this list. Overall, TT is good (not stellar, but very good) at drafting but his refusal to trade late round picks to shore up team needs has cost this team dearly. MM is not the problem. Ted isn't good at drafting defense, the roster overall has been bleeding talent since the Super Bowl. We didn't have a single player named to the Pro Bowl. Thompson needs to go before anything can get better. He runs everything. Who is on the roster and who coaches the team. A new GM should be hired and that guy be allowed to dictate who is the coach. Aaron Rodgers only has roughly five years left and no more of his greatness can be wasted by Ted's continued inability to put together competent defenses. Capers certainly also shares in that blame, but Ted could have forced McCarthy to fire Capers year ago.
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Besides that, Peralta has been terrible for three straight years. His ugly WHIP totals. 1.537 1.527 1.831 Peralta was probably the most frustrating Brewers pitcher i can recall watching. He was big guy and blessed with a dream arm. Could throw in the mid to high 90's all game long and his slider could be filthy, but he had zero command.
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Are you fretting that by doing this signing that the Brewers could end up jumping from the lowest payroll in baseball to 29th? If hypothetically the Brewers had signed Chacin for 5 million per instead of 8 million per, this would impact the team how? Attanasio made a fortune off the team last year and will back a Brinks truck up to his back account in profits next season given the payroll will being near the bottom again. It's a short term deal that won't prevent the team from making moves in the future, for a guy Stearns is hoping produces as a league average starter.
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What is smart about this for the Brewers? We just signed one of the worst starting pitchers in baseball over the last two years who excels at nothing and he'll be 32 come the start of the season. Gallardo walks to many hitters, doesn't strike out enough, is homer prone, and doesn't eat up innings. At best he should be a spring training invitee and even then i'd be very dubious of any spring training success given how bad he's been.
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There has to be somebody, anybody, more worth bringing in than Gallardo. I'd rather sit through the torture of Willy Peralta starts because he at least has a great arm and there is maybe a 2-3% chance he figures out how to use that great arm. Every stat is bad with Gallardo, from ERA/WHIP/BB9/K9/HR9/K-BB ratio/innings per start. And he was terrible the year prior, along with getting old. Let any arm in our minors try starting up here instead, be it Lopez, Jungmann, or just anybody not named Gallardo.
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I found this to be pretty funny watching the game. The announcer was supporting this "bend but don't break D". All I could think was...OK. We were down by two touchdowns and there was a ton of time left still. We didn't need to rush and could walk down the field. Yea it was amazing watching the Cleveland defensive coordinator let the Packers march up and down the field via short passes because he had his linebackers, corners, and safties play way back in a soft Cover 2 like Rodgers was the QB, not Hundley. It's as if Greg Williams didn't watch any film of the Ravens play press man and force Hundley make throws downfield into tight windows.
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Besides those three, Pritzl is nowhere near as good as the team hoped for and Iverson is a solid role player, but that's it. Shooting is a big problem for the Badgers and they really needed Pritzl to be a Ben Brust type of player. Instead Pritzl is erratic as a shooter and to often seems afraid to shoot, even when wide open.
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Cubs print money and it's only two years guaranteed. What a ride for Morrow. The dude was pitching like garbage in AAA before the Dodgers were forced to call him up and then he instantly became a shut down reliever in the majors. Sports can be so unpredictable at times.
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That was brutal to watch. The ND comeback started when Berry took that silly tripping penalty, leading to a power play goal.
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Chatwood to Cubs - 3 years $38 million
danzig6767 replied to Warning Track Power's topic in Milwaukee Brewers Talk
Given how expensive free agent pitching generally is and the good road splits of Chatwood, this seems like a reasonable risk and price tag for the Cubs. If he can stay healthy and keep his ERA somewhere in the 3's, that's a big win for the Cubs at this price. They mainly have to try and get him to cut down the walks. -
No way in hell should the Packers be running the read option with Rodgers. His health is far to important to risk injury beyond his scrambling when the pocket breaks down. Hundley is a lot younger, a vastly inferior passer, and nowhere near as valuable, so the risk is worth making him a runner multiple times a game compared to if Aaron is in the game. Once a QB becomes a runner, he loses all of his protections and as much as you could say, well Rodgers would just need to be smart, the athletes on an NFL defense are all really big and fast. It would only take one big hit from a guy Aaron didn't see coming to ruin a Packers season, especially given he has to carry the bad defenses Ted puts together every year for the team to have a chance at the playoffs.
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If i was told that i'd likely go in the first three rounds, then i'd for sure declare if i was Nelson. If though i was told instead that i might go 4th round or later, then the decision gets tougher. Staying in college to maybe improve my draft spot by only a round or two at best gets dicey when the injury risk is factored in and losing a year of paychecks, along with a year of service time. It's a tough decision for guys like Nelson who aren't a sure fire first round talent, but are good enough to get drafted for sure because the draft can be unpredictable for guys like him where maybe a team or teams sees him as a 3rd round pick, but because of how the draft plays out, he slips till say the 5th round. Every draft, some guys get picked sooner than most projected, while others slip multiple rounds than projected.
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I hear ya - I’m just lamenting that when I was a kid, I could count on a healthy slate of bowl games on network TV during my Christmas break. Now, I’m lucky to catch one or two. I use to get something for free, but now it comes at a cost. That’s my gripe. Live sports have gotten quite pricey because of DVR's and streaming. Advertisers like popular sports so much because most who watch, they watch those sports live vs recording them and fast forwarding through the commercials as is the case for so many regular shows. I'm one of those people. I DVR or stream pretty much every TV show i like and fast forward through all of the commercials, but i watch at least some sporting events live depending on my schedule. ESPN outbid networks for the big bowls. Try Slingbox, i think you can choose limited packages vs a full more expensive cable package. I prefer having cable, but make a point to call around any time a promotion i'm on ends to get the best deal, and switch services if needed. In fact, i just switched today from U-Verse to Spectrum when U-Verse didn't offer a promotion i liked. Got a better internet/cable package and saved almost 30 a month in the process.
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I don't find it puzzling at all. If say Nelson were to get drafted somewhere in the 3rd round, he'd get a signing bonus in the 700-800 thousand range and a weekly paycheck around 27 grand. Or he could stay at Wisconsin, play again for free, and risk a knee injury. Besides that, if Nelson were to become a productive NFL player, by coming out this year vs next year, he earns an extra year of service time, one season sooner towards a second contract where non-high picks can really get big money.
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Those last 45 seconds in the 2nd Minnesota game was nuts and Berry came up with some great saves. In fact, he was great all game. I don't know what to make of this team except that their inconsistency is consistent.
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http://www4.pictures.zimbio.com/gi/Francisco+Rodriguez+St+Louis+Cardinals+v+Milwaukee+U3gnFeinFjol.jpg Went from a high velocity fastball/slider reliever to a lower velocity/changeup reliever and remained very productive. Maybe Jeffress won't be able to develop a similar deadly split fingered change like Rodriguez did, but relievers in general outside of the few elite ones tend to be fickle bunch and every year new guys emerge to be sub-3 ERA with good secondary numbers.
